At the beginning of the year, I was very pessimistic about investing in the stock exchange. So far, results have been trickling in thereby changing my perspective and revealing that 2015 may still have some bargains especially for the LONG TERM INVESTOR.So far, I have spotted three opportunities that will constitute my portfolio going forward in 2015. My investment horizon is long term and since my policy is not to have more than 4 stocks at a single time, I will constantly rebalance this portfolio to book gains and pursue more attractive opportunities as they arise.
Kenya Re:- Cheap valuation with P/E of 5.5 and good growth prospects. The government recently guaranteed its business for the next five years in Kenya. Counter to watch going forward.The company has been recording increases in profitability. This year’s half year results were a 4% increase from last year. The flat growth was due to a non recurring event namely the JKIA fire which cost the company half a billion in claims. FY 2012 = 1.914 Billion, FY 2013 = 2.801 Billion, HY 2014= 1.248 Billion.
Unga Group: - Cheap valuation with P/E of 6.3. Acquisition of bakeries and venture into selling cereals expected to boost revenues. Profits increased by 40% in 2014. This years half year profits increased by 70%. I expect a stellar 2015.
KPLC:- Cheap valuation with P/E of around 4.2. Profits increased by 87% in 2014. Half year profits for 2015 increased by 38%. Massive government contracts to light bypasses in the offing. I expect massive increase in revenue from this monopoly going forward.
NB: Large government shareholding in Kenya Re and Kenya Power is not proving to have any negative effects on profitability. In fact, the government is a major KPLC client and has guaranteed Kenya Re's business for the next five years.
My Portfolio composition is therefore as follows for 2015:
40% of Portfolio (Unga Group) :- Buying Price Ksh 43.25/share
30% of Portfolio (Kenya Re) :- Buying Price Ksh 18.60/share
30% of Portfolio (KPLC) :- Buying Price Ksh 18.35/share
I will constantly update this post in case of any developments.
Happy Investing 2015.
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.