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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
Rank: Elder Joined: 5/25/2012 Posts: 4,105 Location: 08c
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obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5
NIC PBT Ksh. 6.23Bn. @obiero you should know people Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,506 Location: nairobi
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NBK was meant to be 2.43 but structuring costs bit its butt.. Where is monomotapa HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,099 Location: Nairobi
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Pesa Nane wrote:obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5
NIC PBT Ksh. 6.23Bn. @obiero you should know people BTW, you need to redo your math on NBK. 1.9 to 1.3 is not a reduction of 46% but closer to 30%. If @Obiero had said 1.3bn and it was 1.9bn then it would be +46%. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,506 Location: nairobi
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KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%)EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 Actual 12.3 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%)NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%)HFCK 1.5 HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 Actual 12.3 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5 is your red marking pen over? why has equity developed cold feet? "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Member Joined: 6/15/2013 Posts: 301
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VituVingiSana wrote:Pesa Nane wrote:obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5
NIC PBT Ksh. 6.23Bn. @obiero you should know people BTW, you need to redo your math on NBK. 1.9 to 1.3 is not a reduction of 46% but closer to 30%. If @Obiero had said 1.3bn and it was 1.9bn then it would be +46%. True...Obiero amend for NBK from -46% to -31.57%
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Rank: Member Joined: 2/1/2010 Posts: 272 Location: Nairobi
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My kibanda Exchange Bar contact intimated Memba will outdo Simba…no figures were offered The harder you work, the luckier you get
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Rank: Member Joined: 9/27/2011 Posts: 123 Location: Nairobi
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kryptonite wrote:My kibanda Exchange Bar contact intimated Memba will outdo Simba…no figures were offered He must have smoked an illegal substance. I'm amazed that you believed him.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/15/2013 Posts: 1,977 Location: Here
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KiFagio wrote:kryptonite wrote:My kibanda Exchange Bar contact intimated Memba will outdo Simba…no figures were offered He must have smoked an illegal substance. I'm amazed that you believed him. It is possible in terms of % Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
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Rank: Member Joined: 9/27/2011 Posts: 123 Location: Nairobi
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Boris Boyka wrote:KiFagio wrote:kryptonite wrote:My kibanda Exchange Bar contact intimated Memba will outdo Simba…no figures were offered He must have smoked an illegal substance. I'm amazed that you believed him. It is possible in terms of % I agree with you on this but I doubt they will. Family bank will.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,099 Location: Nairobi
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KiFagio wrote:Boris Boyka wrote:KiFagio wrote:kryptonite wrote:My kibanda Exchange Bar contact intimated Memba will outdo Simba…no figures were offered He must have smoked an illegal substance. I'm amazed that you believed him. It is possible in terms of % I agree with you on this but I doubt they will. Family bank will. Sale of HFCK (one-off) will goose the returns for Memba for 2014. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,506 Location: nairobi
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KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%)EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 Actual 12.3 (-3.9%)COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%)NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-31.5%)HFCK 1.5 HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Member Joined: 1/4/2015 Posts: 153
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mulla wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Pesa Nane wrote:obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5
NIC PBT Ksh. 6.23Bn. @obiero you should know people BTW, you need to redo your math on NBK. 1.9 to 1.3 is not a reduction of 46% but closer to 30%. If @Obiero had said 1.3bn and it was 1.9bn then it would be +46%. True...Obiero amend for NBK from -46% to -31.57% Guys..I understand how you get the 31% lakini look at the other calculations..!! (0.6/1.3 = 0.462)46.2% is correct to show by how much @obiero is off the actual results.!! If he used your 31% method he would get (0.5/8.0=0.0609) 6% for CFC..!! Where by the (0.5/7.7=0.0649) 6.5% was achieved using the actual amount at the bottom, which is correct..!! Dreams are not the thing you see in your sleep..it's the thing that doesn't let you sleep. - A.P.J. Abdul Kalam
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,506 Location: nairobi
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ayushnehra wrote:mulla wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Pesa Nane wrote:obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5
NIC PBT Ksh. 6.23Bn. @obiero you should know people BTW, you need to redo your math on NBK. 1.9 to 1.3 is not a reduction of 46% but closer to 30%. If @Obiero had said 1.3bn and it was 1.9bn then it would be +46%. True...Obiero amend for NBK from -46% to -31.57% Guys..I understand how you get the 31% lakini look at the other calculations..!! (0.6/1.3 = 0.462)46.2% is correct to show by how much @obiero is off the actual results.!! If he used your 31% method he would get (0.5/8.0=0.0609) 6% for CFC..!! Where by the (0.5/7.7=0.0649) 6.5% was achieved using the actual amount at the bottom, which is correct..!! @nehra 10% variance on a prediction is acceptable.. ulizia ufunzwe sokwe HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Member Joined: 1/4/2015 Posts: 153
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obiero wrote:ayushnehra wrote:mulla wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Pesa Nane wrote:obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5
NIC PBT Ksh. 6.23Bn. @obiero you should know people BTW, you need to redo your math on NBK. 1.9 to 1.3 is not a reduction of 46% but closer to 30%. If @Obiero had said 1.3bn and it was 1.9bn then it would be +46%. True...Obiero amend for NBK from -46% to -31.57% Guys..I understand how you get the 31% lakini look at the other calculations..!! (0.6/1.3 = 0.462)46.2% is correct to show by how much @obiero is off the actual results.!! If he used your 31% method he would get (0.5/8.0=0.0609) 6% for CFC..!! Where by the (0.5/7.7=0.0649) 6.5% was achieved using the actual amount at the bottom, which is correct..!! @nehra 10% variance on a prediction is acceptable.. ulizia ufunzwe sokwe HIo si katazi..The prophet is only one..Mweshimiwa Obiero!! I was only assuring the people that the math you did the first time round was correct. Dreams are not the thing you see in your sleep..it's the thing that doesn't let you sleep. - A.P.J. Abdul Kalam
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,506 Location: nairobi
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ayushnehra wrote:obiero wrote:ayushnehra wrote:mulla wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Pesa Nane wrote:obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5
NIC PBT Ksh. 6.23Bn. @obiero you should know people BTW, you need to redo your math on NBK. 1.9 to 1.3 is not a reduction of 46% but closer to 30%. If @Obiero had said 1.3bn and it was 1.9bn then it would be +46%. True...Obiero amend for NBK from -46% to -31.57% Guys..I understand how you get the 31% lakini look at the other calculations..!! (0.6/1.3 = 0.462)46.2% is correct to show by how much @obiero is off the actual results.!! If he used your 31% method he would get (0.5/8.0=0.0609) 6% for CFC..!! Where by the (0.5/7.7=0.0649) 6.5% was achieved using the actual amount at the bottom, which is correct..!! @nehra 10% variance on a prediction is acceptable.. ulizia ufunzwe sokwe HIo si katazi..The prophet is only one..Mweshimiwa Obiero!! I was only assuring the people that the math you did the first time round was correct. Actually the percentage of variance is being calculated by @pesanane.. I am not the one who is doing those percentages HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/22/2009 Posts: 7,452
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obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 Actual 12.3 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5 @Obiero - You might want to change your predictions on Equity (Upwards to be specific). The results will surprise you! Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
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Rank: Member Joined: 7/24/2010 Posts: 236 Location: nairobi
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@obiero Do you have any forecast for insurance companies? Am expecting jubilee insurance to be super.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 8/16/2011 Posts: 2,297
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obiero wrote:NBK was meant to be 2.43 but structuring costs bit its butt.. Where is monomotapa Obiero is now a millionaire after having sold his 19600 KCB shares at 60. Run for NSE stock at 20 Kes now or are you courting Britam?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,506 Location: nairobi
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MaichBlack wrote:obiero wrote:KCB 24.1 Actual PBT 23.8 (-1.2%) EQTY 20.6 SCBK 15.8 BBK 12.8 Actual 12.3 COOP 12.7 CFC 8.2 Actual PBT 7.7 (-6.5%) NBK 1.9 Actual PBT 1.3 (-46.2%) HFCK 1.5 @Obiero - You might want to change your predictions on Equity (Upwards to be specific). The results will surprise you! @maichblack I get the info from sources. They have not advised me to adjust.. :) HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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