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NSE SHARES PERFORMANCE: THREE YEAR FORECAST WITH 2012 IN MIND
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Cicero
#11 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 8:01:08 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/7/2009
Posts: 111
@sparkly, i will consider selling Sasini once i get more information in favour of a more solid counter ... Thanks
Don't gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up, then sell it. If it don't go up, don't buy it...
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Cicero
#12 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 8:04:08 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/7/2009
Posts: 111
@VVS thanks for your advice. I may still sell in 2012 unless i see solid committment by politicians to make the elections free & fair and the coutry stable ... i'd rather keep my cash in my pocket than risk them burning down EABL with me as a part ownersmile ...
Don't gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up, then sell it. If it don't go up, don't buy it...
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2012
#13 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 8:16:14 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
@VVS. For me 2012 is buy, buy, buy!
I know it's a risk but what isn't? If the worst happens, who knows what the value of the money in your accounts will be? I can tell you that there are many politicians and aspirants buying right now to fund their campaigns in 2012 for that I can almost bet mid 2012 will be a great time to buy

BBI will solve it :)
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VituVingiSana
#14 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 8:34:37 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
Another option is to buy shares in Uganda or Tanzania in 2012... LOL...

In 2008, the Ugandans were complaining that fuel prices were up coz of shortages since all/most fuel comes via Kenya.

Uganda has started looking at Tanzania as an alternate route for fuel. Plus in a few years, they will be producing their own mafuta!!!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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the deal
#15 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 8:44:38 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
@Cicero reduce on kengen 2 much debt on their shoulders...mumias going forward i dont(comesa sugar) but 4 2010 its the best...kenya re going forward aint that promising,let me say i dont trust insurance firms to much risk...put in some hfck,scom n scan those r for the future...
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2012
#16 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 8:48:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
@VVS. I get shocked and annoyed at how we mess about with some serious cash cows eg the railway. How do you go around replacing Mercedes with VWs in the name of saving while you're running museum pieces on rail that breakdown all the time holding an entire port at ransom? Why spend billions building by-passes for trailers while all the cargo can be transported by train?

BBI will solve it :)
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VituVingiSana
#17 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 8:55:45 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
@the deal: except for safcom... u r mirroring my thots!

KenGen is scary coz they took liberty with IAS 21. READ THE ANNUAL REPORT.

Mumias should do well but I will wait for a dip. I have time coz next results in 6-7 months.

BTW, I look at profits/EPS first... then the shares... coz no point in buying high P/E shares even for great firms...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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VituVingiSana
#18 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 9:18:10 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
A must read:

http://www.bloomberg.com...088&sid=aH4r5gwyu_OE
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Chaka
#19 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 11:07:36 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/16/2007
Posts: 2,114
@VVS,
Is this citadel the same as the one from Egypt?
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Wa_ithaka
#20 Posted : Wednesday, February 10, 2010 11:44:35 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Not going to advice on specific shares because I don't belive in diversifying equities as a strategy, but my words for you is do you know how many others are thinking along the same lines i.e. selling in 2012? Are you better at selling than they are? Would it be better to sell just before end 2011 when everybody is chasing the dividend? So all over sudden your time horizon is 18-21months rather than 30 months...
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
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