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STAR PERFORMERS
guru267
#11 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 6:44:24 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
did u look at the analyst's review after the interview of the olympia CEO?? he said they were grossly underestimating those projections so that they would outperform them... its hard to believe they would earn 1billion in revenues and only 40m profits.. and theyve greatly improved there balnce sheet

I've seen the details of KPLC's share restructuring and technical analysis i've done is in favour of this counter especially if one has the financial muscle for the rights issue..

kenya re is on a cost cutting mission and basing on its half year results and its current valuations its really undervalued..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
guru267
#12 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 6:45:49 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
did u look at the analyst's review after the interview of the olympia CEO?? he said they were grossly underestimating those projections so that they would outperform them... its hard to believe they would earn 1billion in revenues and only 40m profits.. and theyve greatly improved there balnce sheet

I've seen the details of KPLC's share restructuring and technical analysis i've done is in favour of this counter especially if one has the financial muscle for the rights issue..

kenya re is on a cost cutting mission and basing on its half year results and its current valuations its really undervalued..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
VituVingiSana
#13 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 6:55:40 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
did u look at the analyst's review after the interview of the olympia CEO?? he said they were grossly underestimating those projections so that they would outperform them... its hard to believe they would earn 1billion in revenues and only 40m profits.. and theyve greatly improved there balnce sheet


Highly leveraged so getting rid of the leverage in 2010?

Off a low base so perhaps the 2010 results will be better. Like you said, are they under'talking' the potential for an upside surprise?

Looks cheap at 7x PE even if we use the numbers the CEO gave in the interview.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
cnn
#14 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 7:02:26 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
@guru267,could you give us a peek on KPLC restructuring,i would be very intrested.
@vvs..KQ seems to have resisted 50 even when supply was plenty,destined higher.
VituVingiSana
#15 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 7:11:36 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
News on KPLC restructuring was in the papers but hope @guru can provide more info... there is a conversion of Preferred Shares to Ordinary Shares for the benefit of GoK.

KQ @ 52.50 at the moment. Demand 2x supply. 22% net foreign buying. Weak US$ means lower loan payments for fuel & lease/loan payments as well.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#16 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 7:22:49 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
@cnn - Someone just bought 100,000 shares in KQ in one lot. They got them at 50/- coz on the Prompt Board.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#17 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 7:28:30 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
about KPLC i dont know if this is common knowledge but the GOK will convert its pref shares to ordinary shares making its holding in the company rise to above 70%.. but it will have a rights issue in which GOK DOESNT plan to particpate.. this which will see its holdings fall to about 50% and it currently owns 40%..
And after that it will split the shares which means more liquidity and much more affordabilty for the counter hence sparking interest local and foreign... And dont forget a cleaner balance sheet cos currently the pref shares appear as a huge liabilty...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
VituVingiSana
#18 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 7:32:48 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Preference Shares are equity not liabilities. The bulk of these on KPLC Balance Sheet are accounted for as Equity. Ignore the 4% & 7% for now!

I do not know the order of the restructuring as mentioned by @guru but I think these will all happen almost simultaneously i.e. the conversion & split.

The Rights will probably be after the split to make them more attractive to buyers.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Wa_ithaka
#19 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 7:36:36 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Always be aware of the all boats rising efefct i.e. where all shares rise because there is a more positive sentiment in the stock market in general.
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
gathinga
#20 Posted : Thursday, February 04, 2010 7:49:22 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/30/2006
Posts: 635
Anyone with details on the impact on KPLC income statements from the deals signed for lease of their terestial fibre cables. Perhaps these could have significant impact on their results in the second half of 2010. Good prospects on this counter
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