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Safaricom HY 2014/2015 EPS up 32%
muganda
#1 Posted : Tuesday, November 04, 2014 4:21:48 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
LIVE right now

21.85m customers after disconnecting 300,000
1,500 km of fibre about an equal amount to go
139,000 Lipa na MPESA but only 32,000 active

Voice 6.4% represents 55%
Non-voice up 27% represents 40%

Total Revenue up 15%
Service Revenue up 14%
Non voice up 27%
EBITDA up 16%
Increase in tax up 38%
Net income up 31%

Free cash flow up 13%
hisah
#2 Posted : Tuesday, November 04, 2014 4:27:49 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
I was expecting some cashflow dip as the Equitel squaring happens as well as the Yu acquisition. That's a huge pile of cash to fight off the expected Equitel onslaught. This will be an interesting fight.

Full highlights


Cashflow guidance for full year is between 25 - 25.5B. If the div payout rate as last year is maintained it means the div pay will be between 51 - 52cts or a 8-10% div pay increase. Div investors won't like this. Div yield on the div estimate at current price (12.20) is 4.18%.

Div yield history
08/09 DPS - 0.10
09/10 DPS - 0.20 - 100%
10/11 DPS - 0.20 - 0%
11/12 DPS - 0.22 - 10%
12/13 DPS - 0.31 - 40.9%
13/14 DPS - 0.47 - 51.6%
14/15 DPS - estimate 0.51/0.52 - 8.51%/10.63%

If you follow the DPS revisions, the years when there was a hike the share has rallied.

The acquisition bit may create some excitement, but 13.50 is a solid barrier. Once broken top side target is 15.50 - 16.00, but will need a huge push to achieve. At which point NSE20 5500 barrier will likely be tested or letting go!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
muganda
#3 Posted : Tuesday, November 04, 2014 5:33:24 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
Alright, here we go:

2014-2015 HY Presentation and the Press Commentary

• Mobile Data (not fixed data) at 53% (why does everyone talk of MPESA, this is the future)

• EBITDA of Voice + mobile Data should be double the rest (meaning 50% of revenue becomes 75% of bottom line)

• Wow, net finance costs positive because of no debt (money from interest)

• In conclusion, this giant of a company, comparable in revenues say to KQ, TOTL, KENOL, is growing faster than a small company.


murchr
#4 Posted : Tuesday, November 04, 2014 8:03:37 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
I see very few Wazuans remained here. Very well. We keep marching on. As the digital tv battle goes on in the courts,they lay more cable
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Kingotore
#5 Posted: : Tuesday, November 04, 2014 9:37:22 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 12/27/2013
Posts: 87
@murchr.it called business strategy. Been ahead of other .l passed by narok town and l learned they are already laying cable. This reduce call drop rate.
GOOD TO GREAT. KINGOTORE
MaichBlack
#6 Posted : Tuesday, November 04, 2014 10:44:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,882
muganda wrote:
Alright, here we go:

2014-2015 HY Presentation and the Press Commentary

• Mobile Data (not fixed data) at 53% (why does everyone talk of MPESA, this is the future)

• EBITDA of Voice + mobile Data should be double the rest (meaning 50% of revenue becomes 75% of bottom line)

• Wow, net finance costs positive because of no debt (money from interest)

In conclusion, this giant of a company, comparable in revenues say to KQ, TOTL, KENOL, is growing faster than a small company.



And yet 6 hours later, there are only 5 posts! Now 6!!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
Boris Boyka
#7 Posted : Tuesday, November 04, 2014 11:13:18 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
murchr wrote:
I see very few Wazuans remained here. Very well. We keep marching on. As the digital tv battle goes on in the courts,they lay more cable

@MB this first sentence says it all.
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
hisah
#8 Posted : Wednesday, November 05, 2014 5:45:16 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Equitel will definitely need such deal makers in this case the president was the deal maker for mpesa bank and moneygram! State House as your deal maker! Can't beat that...

http://www.businessdaily...4/-/pmmhtaz/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
maka
#9 Posted : Wednesday, November 05, 2014 7:22:19 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Boris Boyka wrote:
murchr wrote:
I see very few Wazuans remained here. Very well. We keep marching on. As the digital tv battle goes on in the courts,they lay more cable

@MB this first sentence says it all.

Am all in...for the very long term....
possunt quia posse videntur
Knight-027
#10 Posted : Wednesday, November 05, 2014 8:51:17 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/13/2014
Posts: 12
Dont know how long to hold on this. Kupimwa subira ndio hii
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