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What about the financials Sector???
mufasa
#1 Posted : Tuesday, January 19, 2010 12:06:57 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 238
Ever since the NSE started to rally back, the financials seem to be abit hestant to jump onto the bandwagon. What could they be waiting for? Are they a safe bet?
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
kizee
#2 Posted : Tuesday, January 19, 2010 12:24:30 PM
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Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
i think any financial counter other than kcb is a gud bet
VituVingiSana
#3 Posted : Tuesday, January 19, 2010 1:07:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
@kizee - Why not KCB?
In 2008, they had the triton debacle... not so (I hope) in 2009.

And they might even recover their loans in Uchumi as it emerges from receivership...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sparkly
#4 Posted : Tuesday, January 19, 2010 9:03:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
CFC- who understands this company? Did its fortunes improve or get worse after the merger. What is the bank doing with the corporate bond issue?
Life is short. Live passionately.
mukiha
#5 Posted : Wednesday, January 20, 2010 5:47:01 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
I have a black spot on my portfolio in the name of CFC. Not a bad company fundamentally, but very sluggish since the Stanbic buy-out. I entered at 115, have reduced that to the low 70s so far, but the stock is trading in the low 40s.

I'm looking out for EQTY to touch 18.50 at which point I will take some 15% or so profit and put it into CFC.

I'm also taking other profits from KENRE and KENGEN [order is with the broker] and planting it into CFC.

If all goes to plan, I'm looking at averaging CFC down to below 65. This is assuming it doesn't suddenly start rising....

After that, I sit and wait for the de-merger of the banking and insurance businesses
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
mufasa
#6 Posted : Wednesday, January 20, 2010 6:15:15 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 238
@VituVingi, I tend to agree with Kizee that KCB might not perform in 2010 mainly because they are investing too much in regional branches which is chewing up on there profits, not to mention the losses they are incurring due to mis-management. Speculatively, it might go up but i don't see it reaching 30/= any time soon
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
kizee
#7 Posted : Wednesday, January 20, 2010 6:58:26 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
agree with mufasa

too many write offs triton uchumi kpcu and the list goes on...bad customer service leading to drop in customer base, their admin costs are outrageously high leading one to question theyr effeiciency...subsidiaries are all in the red but south sudan..which cud blow up and day...kcb is way too inefficient a bank and the slowdown in 09 exposed them for waht they are
Wa_ithaka
#8 Posted : Wednesday, January 20, 2010 7:26:48 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
2009 was a rotten yr for most apart from DTB and StanChart.
For 2010, pick of the bunch in order will be
StanChart (t-bills are paying out very well and it offcourse has the lowest cost/income ratio in the industry)
HFCK-has obviuosly picked up the JM genius for innovation. has some very good products in the market like Makao.
DTB-well thought out expansion nationally and regionally and avoided the PEV debacle
NIC-fairly effecient and growing and good rate without the npls
Equity- will recover as the economy does
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
VituVingiSana
#9 Posted : Wednesday, January 20, 2010 7:41:29 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Triton was provisioned in 2008. KCB might even get something back as Triton's assets (including the building in Westlands) are sold off.

Uchumi is recovering & might be listed. I expect KCB will eventually get its money back. At least the Principal. I am not sure if this loan was provisioned.

KPCU - This does not look good coz it is under receivership... Who knows the loan KCB made to KPCU?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
kizee
#10 Posted : Wednesday, January 20, 2010 7:56:09 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
vvs- provisionin aside..the bank has way too many problems,profit motive u feel is never the key driver...i had an account there and closed it...pathetic customer service as in ludicrously pathetic...u cant even compare it to anything else...i wonder why they hav soo many loans goin bad yet they take 6 months odd to approve a loan
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