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Kenya Economy Watch
Ericsson
#821 Posted : Friday, October 03, 2014 9:19:31 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,808
Location: NAIROBI
Jamaa wa machozi ako na mastory tu.
Double digit growth,drop in electricity prices by 30%...
The list is endless
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mkonomtupu
#822 Posted : Friday, October 03, 2014 10:11:51 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
murchr wrote:
mkonomtupu wrote:
hisah wrote:
Mucene wrote:
hisah wrote:
Rahatupu wrote:
What about this debasing thing? Keenly watching this space.

http://www.theeastafrica...1/-/b2ek5e/-/index.html

If GDP is rebased today by whatever factor does that add more KES to your coffers to boost your purchasing power? It's a mirage. Same as removing some CPI items from the inflation formula to fudge the inflation rate downwards. They did this in Feb 2010. Now its GDP rebasing. 2011 cycle will repeat again just like the rising and setting of the sun!

When you are done debating with yourself about the above reality check then read this article - http://ow.ly/C411X




Rebasing is meant to accurately measure the GDP, that is, get to know what the size of the current GDP more accurately.

Wow! So this will reduce the unemployment rate, poor access to education and healthcare, insurance and food since KE is now an overnight middle income econ... Poor wanjiku.

The way I see it is this is just a gimmick to permit for more gok borrowing by making the debt to GDP ratio appear small. Since the tax base cannot shoulder the expected debt binge from the coming sizable gok borrowing, massive inflation pressure is coming.

$KES is already telling the story. Soon wanjikus will start asking why their pockets are shrinking while the econ is a middle income "rich" econ.

And I pray that bond vigilantes don't shark in on the eurobond when they start getting uneasy with the shaky fiscal policies. That will be really painful and worse if oil will not be flowing by 2017.




@hisah please look at the break-even for shale oil production in the next 3 years it's headed to $ 65 so our oil in 2017 will be coming to a market with a low price on the world market


How are you able to calculate that?


@murchr see the links below

http://kuow.org/post/tur...ent-oil-prices-bubbling

http://en.ria.ru/russia/...io-of-60-Oil-Prices.html
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#823 Posted : Friday, October 03, 2014 10:12:23 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
dunkang wrote:
I thought H.E the D-PORK William Samoei Ruto announced that cost of Electricity is going down by as much as 30% this month, kwani it was also empty talk?

Kusema na kutendasmile My power bills down 42.44%
Applause Applause Applause
@SufficientlyP
poundfoolish
#824 Posted : Friday, October 03, 2014 11:15:13 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/2/2009
Posts: 2,458
Location: Nairobi
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
dunkang wrote:
I thought H.E the D-PORK William Samoei Ruto announced that cost of Electricity is going down by as much as 30% this month, kwani it was also empty talk?

Kusema na kutendasmile My power bills down 42.44%
Applause Applause Applause


Oh please
Mine shot up by 50% in August, then dropped by 40% in September.. so much for Kusema na Kutenda. before that it had been rising at 20-30% every month for an entire year.Tell me another one
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#825 Posted : Friday, October 03, 2014 12:01:33 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
poundfoolish wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
dunkang wrote:
I thought H.E the D-PORK William Samoei Ruto announced that cost of Electricity is going down by as much as 30% this month, kwani it was also empty talk?

Kusema na kutendasmile My power bills down 42.44%
Applause Applause Applause


Oh please
Mine shot up by 50% in August, then dropped by 40% in September.. so much for Kusema na Kutenda. before that it had been rising at 20-30% entire year.Tell me another one

Just in case you missed out on the question(September billings payable this month).
As to what you paid for August billings or before, i think that is irrelevant as far as the question is concerned.
@SufficientlyP
jerry
#826 Posted : Friday, October 03, 2014 1:13:48 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
poundfoolish wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
dunkang wrote:
I thought H.E the D-PORK William Samoei Ruto announced that cost of Electricity is going down by as much as 30% this month, kwani it was also empty talk?

Kusema na kutendasmile My power bills down 42.44%
Applause Applause Applause


Oh please
Mine shot up by 50% in August, then dropped by 40% in September.. so much for Kusema na Kutenda. before that it had been rising at 20-30% entire year.Tell me another one

Just in case you missed out on the question(September billings payable this month).
As to what you paid for August billings or before, i think that is irrelevant as far as the question is concerned.

Check this: https://regulusweb.com/kenyan-electricity-costs
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
murchr
#827 Posted : Sunday, October 05, 2014 6:13:25 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
the EastAfrican wrote:
The Treasury has drafted the Kenya National Sovereign Wealth Fund (KNSWF) Bill, that aims to ensure proceeds from oil, gas and mining activities do not destabilise the economy.

The fund would build a portfolio of investments in Kenya and abroad, with a special-purpose investment vehicle consisting of a stabilisation fund, a future generations fund and an infrastructure and development fund.

According to the draft Bill, which is being discussed by relevant ministries and stakeholders, the stabilisation fund will facilitate levelling of current spending in a sustainable way, insulating the national budget and economy from the impact of volatility in revenues, including mineral and petroleum revenues.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
aemathenge
#828 Posted : Tuesday, October 07, 2014 4:35:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/18/2008
Posts: 3,434
Location: Kerugoya
Kenya Shilling Currency Futures to be traded in South Africa. Does this mean that other than the Central Bank of Kenya, the JSA will have a say on the value of the Kenia Shilingi?

Quote:
7 October 2014

The first currency futures that track the exchange rate between the South African rand and and select African currencies was launched by the Johannesburg Stock Exchange on Friday, the JSE announced in a statement.



Link: http://goo.gl/el1QUj
kizee1
#829 Posted : Tuesday, October 07, 2014 6:27:47 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
[quote=aemathenge]Kenya Shilling Currency Futures to be traded in South Africa. Does this mean that other than the Central Bank of Kenya, the JSA will have a say on the value of the Kenia Shilingi?

Quote:
7 October 2014

The first currency futures that track the exchange rate between the South African rand and and select African currencies was launched by the Johannesburg Stock Exchange on Friday, the JSE announced in a statement.



Link: http://goo.gl/el1QUj[/quote]
a future is an exchange traded forward, cbk rules ban offshores from buying USDKES forwards for a duration of less than a year, i wonder how JSE will circumvent this, unless these will be NDFs?

so who do you think is in charge here?
Cde Monomotapa
#830 Posted : Tuesday, October 14, 2014 8:55:55 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Mwaks ya Short Rains

Seaonal Forecast for the Next Three Months https://www.scribd.com/d...he-Next-Three-Months-OND
263 Pages«<8182838485>»
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