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STOCKS TO WATCH IN 2010
Githinji
#41 Posted : Wednesday, January 13, 2010 10:48:13 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/5/2010
Posts: 7
Location: nairobi
@CNN

........and do you know where i can get a breakdown of those results??
Wat was their working capital & asset capital base as compared to last year??
VituVingiSana
#42 Posted : Wednesday, January 13, 2010 12:28:24 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Actually for the price... the results are not too bad...

CMC remains the strongest car dealer out there with a diversified range of brands. Furthermore, the rains should be an uptick in demand for tractors.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
chaliwong
#43 Posted : Wednesday, January 13, 2010 10:32:51 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/10/2010
Posts: 73
Location: kenya
@member,my observation on mumias is based on the situation on the ground.MSC has taken enough precaution to ensure that cane harvested(which is in plenty this rainy season)reaches their mills and issues with transporters are sorted to avoid leakage to other smaller pivate millers.With Tarda I believe its a major plus as there will be no rival millers nearby where cane 'stollen' will be directed to, as is the case in western kenya.So the mills will be operating at full capacity and no extra costs will be incured for cane intransit security (I want to believe the cane for Tarda will also be milled at Tarda).
VituVingiSana
#44 Posted : Thursday, January 14, 2010 8:56:14 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Mumias has been on a tear of late! It is at 8.20 (20% higher in 1 week)
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Njung'e
#45 Posted : Thursday, January 14, 2010 3:47:47 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
If you bought at 3.20 why wouldn't you whistle from dawn to dusk?....and the ride just started.

@Chaliwong,
For heaven's sake MSC doesn't have enough cane...!!
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
VituVingiSana
#46 Posted : Friday, January 15, 2010 11:01:14 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Mumias is angling to buy Nzoia to increase cane harvesting for its factory...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
bushy
#47 Posted : Friday, January 15, 2010 11:26:55 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/13/2008
Posts: 5
I believe KQ will be a jewel in 2010. Primarily because of the already mentioned world cup but considerably also because of strategies taken last year.
firstly the carrier set out to patch holes that were bleeding its revenue and this has worked tremendously well so far. case in point is the greatly improved on-time performance that must have saved the carrier quite some much in hotel fees and the mandatory IATA allowances to pax for missed flights.Insiders will also tell you there have been a raft of measures to seal loopholes within departments to further reduce the carriers expenses.
secondly, the carrier acquired extra737-800 towards end of 2008 and early 2009 and the impact of this extra capacity is bound to have been felt last year and further more this year. they also retired one old b767 and acquired a newerer one that reduces the ground time wasted by the older one in maintenance.
tihrdly, many of the new route opened last year have picked up very well. Gaborone is already being serviced by the larger b737-800 and the plane is full on most of the flights. Naikuni's personal focus on reclaiming the Lagos cash cow seems to be bearing fruit big time alredy. there are now two flights a day to Lagos one by a 767 and the other a 737 and both are doing pretty well. Other smaller destinations like Malabo,Libreville and Bangui that were started to shore up revenue per seat on the excess capacity camerounian route are doing just that. Obviously it will take time to break even on the new route but they are already looking promising. there is talk of even more new destinations this year with Burkina Faso,jeddah,juba and Luanda in the pipeline.
lastly and I stand to be corrected on this, the unrealised losses reported last financial year due to the hedge on oil was pegged on oil at Usd 59 a barrel. ever since the price has risen and has been teasing the $80 mark recently. this I believe has been a boon for the carrier. Im not well versed on the accounting rules on this thats why I stand to be corrected.
I took a position on this stock at 24.75 last year and I'm smiling already and I believe the smile is hear to stay for most of 2010
VituVingiSana
#48 Posted : Friday, January 15, 2010 11:36:02 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
@bushy. good points.

As for the hedges... they made a huge 'paper' loss but there is a cash impact when the hedges 'expire'. That said:

1) The price of oil was $50 on 31 March 2009
2) The price of oil was $70 on 30 Sep 2009

So... it means they will benefit from the reduced losses since 31 Mar 2009.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
cnn
#49 Posted : Friday, January 15, 2010 1:28:07 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
The hedges were @$110,as long as oil prices are below this kq will be actualising losses.The big question is when do the expensive hedges roll off?
ecstacy
#50 Posted : Friday, January 15, 2010 2:08:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
2010 is the year for Kenya-Re, HFCK, KQ, MSC and SCOM.
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