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Home Afrika Listing at NSE!
obiero
#641 Posted : Tuesday, August 12, 2014 9:02:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,488
Location: nairobi
YoungMulla wrote:
I agree someone was trying to pump this stock. This cat is on its last bounce. This time it will drop to the bottom.

This one is to be watched from the sidelines by all gurus.. :)

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
mlennyma
#642 Posted : Wednesday, August 20, 2014 11:15:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
Can you tell us also how a squirrel climbs a hill ?i think its climbing.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
whiteowl
#643 Posted : Wednesday, August 20, 2014 12:05:40 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
mlennyma wrote:
Can you tell us also how a squirrel climbs a hill ?i think its climbing.

it's just raising its head.
patrazi
#644 Posted : Wednesday, August 20, 2014 2:16:23 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/18/2012
Posts: 76
whiteowl wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Can you tell us also how a squirrel climbs a hill ?i think its climbing.

it's just raising its head.

Those who were courageous enough to buy this squirrel at 3 bob can make over 50% now. Some squirrels make some people rich.
Mucene
#645 Posted : Thursday, August 21, 2014 12:32:33 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/4/2012
Posts: 155
Location: Kenya
What the news on this counter or are the half year results expected to be good? Just wondering
If you don't want to go to plan B have a good plan A.
DBLyon
#646 Posted : Thursday, August 21, 2014 1:57:14 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/28/2014
Posts: 149
Location: Nairobi
The behaviour of the share price may suggest that...prices tend to rise before good news is made public. However, @obiero mentioned he heard the news is not very good on that front, on the exchange bar results thread a couple of days ago.
When you live for others' opinions, you are dead.

- Carlos Slim Helu
littledove
#647 Posted : Thursday, August 21, 2014 5:06:54 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky
patrazi wrote:
whiteowl wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Can you tell us also how a squirrel climbs a hill ?i think its climbing.

it's just raising its head.

Those who were courageous enough to buy this squirrel at 3 bob can make over 50% now. Some squirrels make some people rich.

it seems the squirrel met a predictor who chased it towards the hill, once the predictor is out of the way it will start going to its destination before clumping the other side of the hill with surerity. I think the signs of the bull in the market is the cause of u turn, in case the bulls fails it will again start going down, people are making money but again as usual it will trap another batch
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
obiero
#648 Posted : Thursday, August 28, 2014 10:26:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,488
Location: nairobi
DBLyon wrote:
The behaviour of the share price may suggest that...prices tend to rise before good news is made public. However, @obiero mentioned he heard the news is not very good on that front, on the exchange bar results thread a couple of days ago.

@mucene the answer lay inside ua question!!! @DBL the exchange bar established in 1902 is an authority on matters concerning the NSE since its creation in the year 1954

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
stocksmaster
#649 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 11:49:26 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 400
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
stocksmaster wrote:
cnn wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
A crazy observation is that they paid PKF to value the company at KES 8.5B. Thats a price per share of a whopping 21 bob!!! ... No details given on valuation methodology!!! ... DAMN!!!... CMA is sleeping on the job for not demanding information memorandum before this counter is listed!!!

I saw that and i was thinking how did they get to this....without the IM,my money stays safe.


At a net income of Ksh 167.7M for 2012 and a Book Value of Ksh 8.5B (which i assume will be the basis of determination of listing price); its return on equity = net income/shareholders equity is a depressing 1.97%.

Compare this with the ROE of Trans Century at 15.1% (P/B of 1.8); Centum at 18.4% (P/B of 1.0); Housing Finance at 15.0% (P/B of 1.1).

At such a low ROE, which is about an eighth of its peers,i would price the share at a tenth of Ksh 21 hence a price of Ksh 2.00.

The price of Ksh 2.00 would mean a P/E of 4.30 which would be comparable to HFCK (p/e 7.5); Centum (p/e 5.6), trancentury (p/e of 12) all of which have better investor returns.

Based on the 2011 results which were a loss position, i think i'll stay out of this one unless their is a significant discount on the Ksh 2.00.

Happy Hunting.


A year later......

Happy Hunting.
mlennyma
#650 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 12:06:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
This is a company of mouth talk without action,I doubt whether their debt and financing will ever work,is selling plots and stalled projects able to service debt and meet a company's operational costs.you have all reasons to worry if inside
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
mlennyma
#651 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 12:09:25 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
nimetoka with 1.50bob loss to soldier on elsewhere and next profit warning and no dividend or if lucky .05cts
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
mlennyma
#652 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 12:33:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
its helped by the bull to navigate and not fall as required
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
S.Mutaga III
#653 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 1:28:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
King G wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
Museveni wrote:
dunkang wrote:
13.70/= has forced itself in! How much longer for sub 10/=?


13.30


The slaughter continues!


bailed out or averaging down?


NEVER try that, dangerous with a clear falling share .....


copy @guru .... ???


Averaging down... After purchases made at 13.30 My average is now down to 14.05! Hopefully we will have a strong rebound before I run out of cash!


In the words of Kevin O'leary, "YOU KILLED THAT MONEY"
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
obiero
#654 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 7:50:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,488
Location: nairobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
King G wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
Museveni wrote:
dunkang wrote:
13.70/= has forced itself in! How much longer for sub 10/=?


13.30


The slaughter continues!


bailed out or averaging down?


NEVER try that, dangerous with a clear falling share .....


copy @guru .... ???


Averaging down... After purchases made at 13.30 My average is now down to 14.05! Hopefully we will have a strong rebound before I run out of cash!


In the words of Kevin O'leary, "YOU KILLED THAT MONEY"

This share should have never been listed.. The public were duped into the IPO price which was at a heavy premium. In addition, the fundamentals of the firm are more than shaky. If you are on the bus, please alight. The dead cat bounce is now in full effect and we are headed for 2bob unless the PPT (headed by Mwai Kibaki) show up

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
S.Mutaga III
#655 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 8:43:12 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
Only Wanjiku could have bought Home Afrika at any price above 2 bob. There was absolutely no reason to buy this counter, extremely high valuation, almost zero dividend yield, unpredictable performance, management with competing interests are just but a few. Those who bought, mtajilaumu wenyewe. This begs the question, What exactly do you look for when buying a stock? Personally, I look for:
- Single digit P/E
- Healthy earnings growth in last 1.5- 3 years (above 15% is okay)
- High dividend yield above 6%
- For counters that do not offer good dividend yields, I require more earnings growth from them (above 25%) in last 1.5-3 years.

Just my two cents. My method may be very shallow, but it works well although not perfect.
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
obiero
#656 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 9:05:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,488
Location: nairobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Only Wanjiku could have bought Home Afrika at any price above 2 bob. There was absolutely no reason to buy this counter, extremely high valuation, almost zero dividend yield, unpredictable performance, management with competing interests are just but a few. Those who bought, mtajilaumu wenyewe. This begs the question, What exactly do you look for when buying a stock? Personally, I look for:
- Single digit P/E
- Healthy earnings growth in last 1.5- 3 years (above 15% is okay)
- High dividend yield above 6%
- For counters that do not offer good dividend yields, I require more earnings growth from them (above 25%) in last 1.5-3 years.

Just my two cents. My method may be very shallow, but it works well although not perfect.

Above all else.. I look at the management as my very first step

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
VituVingiSana
#657 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 11:13:39 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,084
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
King G wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
Museveni wrote:
dunkang wrote:
13.70/= has forced itself in! How much longer for sub 10/=?


13.30


The slaughter continues!


bailed out or averaging down?


NEVER try that, dangerous with a clear falling share .....


copy @guru .... ???


Averaging down... After purchases made at 13.30 My average is now down to 14.05! Hopefully we will have a strong rebound before I run out of cash!


In the words of Kevin O'leary, "YOU KILLED THAT MONEY"

This share should have never been listed.. The public were duped into the IPO price which was at a heavy premium. In addition, the fundamentals of the firm are more than shaky. If you are on the bus, please alight. The dead cat bounce is now in full effect and we are headed for 2bob unless the PPT (headed by Mwai Kibaki) show up

IPO or a Listing By Introduction. Either way, folks bought without reading the Information Memorandum. Too bad.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#658 Posted : Friday, August 29, 2014 11:15:20 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,084
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Only Wanjiku could have bought Home Afrika at any price above 2 bob. There was absolutely no reason to buy this counter, extremely high valuation, almost zero dividend yield, unpredictable performance, management with competing interests are just but a few. Those who bought, mtajilaumu wenyewe. This begs the question, What exactly do you look for when buying a stock? Personally, I look for:
- Single digit P/E
- Healthy earnings growth in last 1.5- 3 years (above 15% is okay)
- High dividend yield above 6%
- For counters that do not offer good dividend yields, I require more earnings growth from them (above 25%) in last 1.5-3 years.

Just my two cents. My method may be very shallow, but it works well although not perfect.

Above all else.. I look at the management as my very first step

And you bought KQ? What attracted you to the management?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#659 Posted : Saturday, August 30, 2014 2:26:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,488
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Only Wanjiku could have bought Home Afrika at any price above 2 bob. There was absolutely no reason to buy this counter, extremely high valuation, almost zero dividend yield, unpredictable performance, management with competing interests are just but a few. Those who bought, mtajilaumu wenyewe. This begs the question, What exactly do you look for when buying a stock? Personally, I look for:
- Single digit P/E
- Healthy earnings growth in last 1.5- 3 years (above 15% is okay)
- High dividend yield above 6%
- For counters that do not offer good dividend yields, I require more earnings growth from them (above 25%) in last 1.5-3 years.

Just my two cents. My method may be very shallow, but it works well although not perfect.

Above all else.. I look at the management as my very first step

And you bought KQ? What attracted you to the management?

chief.. how dare you compare the two firms?? KQ is a pan African carrier with revenues in excess of 100B.. The management is top tier with allumni of schools such as UoN, Soborne, Harvard, Alliance, Starehe.. Please dont compare the two

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#660 Posted : Saturday, August 30, 2014 2:29:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,488
Location: nairobi
Here are the key management staff at KQ

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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