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Your Stocks Predictions for 2009
Tusker Baridi
#31 Posted : Thursday, March 12, 2009 4:33:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/9/2006
Posts: 186
@slykat,I'm surprised that NSE cheerleaders did not go for your neck for daring to predict a downturn in the index. I see SK has either shaken off the weaker minds or the weaker minds are slowly getting stronger.

I gave up on the NSE after the 2007 bloodbath and I'll never regain hope until the underlying issues(land reform and constitutional review) are resolved once and for all. Right now,my biggest concern in investing in Kenya is not whether I'll make gains but whether the shilling will hold steady against the dollar.

Furthermore,the worldwide downturn in the economy has created some amazing bargains in more stable economies including the great USA. I have several stocks that have the potential to be 10-baggers within a year!! Already my portfolio is up 358% year-to-date,happy trading everyone.
murenj
#32 Posted : Thursday, March 12, 2009 9:45:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/22/2008
Posts: 851
Location: nairobi
Stock markets are like casinos. The rich of the country continue to play at them even as the poor continue to starve.

The cunning of the Buffalo
Sober
#33 Posted : Friday, March 13, 2009 7:20:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
no one would have predicted how the last three months would heve gone eve with the largest margin of error. no one.

A likely impossibility is always preferable to an unconvincing posibility.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
Viceroy
#34 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 1:13:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/16/2008
Posts: 5


@ slykat&hellip;.. earlier you said:-
&hellip;&hellip;.. am riding the recession with KCB for the next 2 yrs unless a reliable source informs me that exporters hold a good chunk of its loan portfolio. but,mefeels,foreign investors will inevitably come back to this Ai top index when liquidity finally edges upwards.


A Querry from nimimi


Your Stocks Predictions for 2009 [nimimi]
Wednesday,January 07,2009 12:56

I'm not sure about KCB given their exposure in Triton. Pg 19 of today's nation has them suiing Triton. If this ends up as a write off...


@ all

Your take? Still a good buy?


Take chances,make mistakes. Thats how you grow. Pain nourishes your courage. You have to fail in order to practice being brave
jammo
#35 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 6:22:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/12/2008
Posts: 345
@niwewe..assumin nimimi will refer to myself... Well... Triton debt.... Consider KCB has provision for bad n doubtful debts..plus insurance on loans issued...chasin after triton thro court is more a matter of prudence than crippled financials. KCB's still a buy.

DISCLAIMER: This is the opinion of one Jammo,CFA,CPA,Opinionated and Loud,based in nairobi. Whilst care has been taken in compiling the data to be as most factual n logical,he doesn't accept any responsibility of accuracy or completeness of info contained herein..neither does he purport to be a genius!
slykat
#36 Posted : Thursday, July 16, 2009 6:39:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/20/2007
Posts: 359
Half the year gone by. A look at that shows I was way off the mark on~

1. the safcon with the fibre thingy! Over 4 now seems like hyperbolic extrapolation; in hindsight!
2. the pata potea has panned out as potea!

On a good note,KCB has not disappointed.
When buying shares,ask yourself,would you buy the whole company?
muganda
#37 Posted : Tuesday, December 29, 2009 7:16:09 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
Hmmmn, I must admit I can't help looking back. Always teaches you what to do right in the next year. Now we are at the end of 2009, this thread makes for very interesting reading:

@slykat economic review ok
@tmatekwa on the mark
@murenj seems to have been smoking something
@djinn very clear on tech
@morey, @obi1, @green, @tony stark the worst was yet to come by a long short etc etc

Look at what happened to KCB, Centum, EA Cables, or to the NSE Index and Economy in the end... I tell you, though we don't admit it, investment is more a game of chance than analysis.
slykat
#38 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2010 1:35:11 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/20/2007
Posts: 359
Happy new 2010 with great returns!

Methinks the NSE is now taking off. Next slump will be in Q2 and 3Q of 2012. Take positions for real. Those who had vacated, come back.

Half of the listed up! Only 3 down. Plus volumes are high.
VituVingiSana
#39 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2010 9:01:06 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
Easier to buy an under-valued stock than pick a market bottom...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#40 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2010 9:03:01 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
@slykat - If an aeroplane (not KQ) were to slam into parliament in 2012 (pre-election) when all MPigs are in session then the NSE stocks would rise!

Another salary raise?
New digs for their fat arses?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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