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Housing Finance: HFCK a diamond in the rough
mlennyma
#1021 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 5:06:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,180
Location: nairobi
I thought 51 was an error,only to confirm several trades.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1022 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 8:30:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,218
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
obiero wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Richie rich wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Richie rich wrote:
muganda wrote:
sparkly wrote:
SOLD final lot @46.5! I have enjoyed the ride from 13.20-15 range. I now join @Obiero on the sidelines as a former passenger of this bus.


Congratulations Laughing out loudly how long was the journey @sparkly?

@sparkly, Congratulations, i still have some lot when do you think the music will stop?


Why ask former passengers when the driver is here. The music is not about to stop, let this takeover first happen. After that i still wouldn't sell. Britam may eventually buy everything at an even higher price. Unless you are afraid of making money hold!

Of course between now and then it may go up down abit sideways, but the direction is up. If your speculating, this may not work for you.

@aguy thanks wacha tuendelee


@Muganda boarded the bus mid 2012. Took some profits at 24 and at 33 and also enjoyed the half-yearly divs.

@Richie hard to tell when the music will stop. My original target was 28 which i hit and surpussed. Time to look for other diamonds in the rough.

@Aguy @Murchr the bus is now in your able hands. I am now strapping my seat elsewhere.

HFCK is now trading at an 'engineered' price.. Caution is advised here

In a proper bull, HF,Britam and Centum will be trading at trailing PEs of 30,40 even 50.At one point, in 2006,with an EPS of 0.51 and at a price of 45,HF was trading at a PE of 88smile
Now do the math. @aguy i hope you're reading this.
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1023 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 8:33:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,218
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
@aguy calls them private clubs,@Obiero justs calls them chamaas. But who cares, as long as it feels good putting money in your pocketsmile
@SufficientlyP
Wondergirl
#1024 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 8:46:50 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/12/2009
Posts: 312
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
@aguy calls them private clubs,@Obiero justs calls them chamaas. But who cares, as long as it feels good putting money in your pocketsmile

I intend to disembark at 50 . I hope the price is achieved tomorrow. It was one fruitful trip. Trouble is how to identify the next good bus!
MaichBlack
#1025 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 8:51:33 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,452
Wondergirl wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
@aguy calls them private clubs,@Obiero justs calls them chamaas. But who cares, as long as it feels good putting money in your pocketsmile

I intend to disembark at 50 . I hope the price is achieved tomorrow. It was one fruitful trip. Trouble is how to identify the next good bus!

Price was achieved and surpassed today.

#WhileYouwereAway
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
MaichBlack
#1026 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 8:53:08 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,452
Should I give in to temptation???

50/= too tempting!!!

Kuvumilia ni kazi kweli!!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
obiero
#1027 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 8:53:29 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,484
Location: nairobi
Wondergirl wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
@aguy calls them private clubs,@Obiero justs calls them chamaas. But who cares, as long as it feels good putting money in your pocketsmile

I intend to disembark at 50 . I hope the price is achieved tomorrow. It was one fruitful trip. Trouble is how to identify the next good bus!

@SPT.. We just hope that shit does not hit the fan.. Hizi chamaa bana zinaweza kumess mtu naive. Ama nani hapa anadhani Merali, Kirubi, Mwangi et al, ni rafiki wa mtu yeyote kwa NSE

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Wondergirl
#1028 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 8:59:49 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/12/2009
Posts: 312
MaichBlack wrote:
Wondergirl wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
@aguy calls them private clubs,@Obiero justs calls them chamaas. But who cares, as long as it feels good putting money in your pocketsmile

I intend to disembark at 50 . I hope the price is achieved tomorrow. It was one fruitful trip. Trouble is how to identify the next good bus!

Price was achieved and surpassed today.

#WhileYouwereAway

😃 Ata kesho Ni siku....
murchr
#1029 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 9:16:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
@Wondergal indeed thats the problem, spotting the next gem
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Aguytrying
#1030 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 9:29:05 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
@aguy calls them private clubs,@Obiero justs calls them chamaas. But who cares, as long as it feels good putting money in your pocketsmile


true. we hold shares packed with value and potential but doesn't move an in inch years. So when this happens we sell a brate!
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Wondergirl
#1031 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 10:08:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/12/2009
Posts: 312
murchr wrote:
@Wondergal indeed thats the problem, spotting the next gem

Murchr, I have been flirting with Carbacid of late,though I noticed that it's not very popular with wazua gurus,infact I tried to seduce them with a thread,some dismissed it,most ignored. What is your opinion of it?
murchr
#1032 Posted : Wednesday, July 02, 2014 10:26:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Wondergirl wrote:
murchr wrote:
@Wondergal indeed thats the problem, spotting the next gem

Murchr, I have been flirting with Carbacid of late,though I noticed that it's not very popular with wazua gurus,infact I tried to seduce them with a thread,some dismissed it,most ignored. What is your opinion of it?


The valuation at the moment is favorable.

But why the decline?

H1 Earnings through 31st January 2014 versus 6 months through 31st January 2013

H1 Turnover 473.761m versus 546.713m -13.343%
H1 Cost of Sales [180.436m] versus [222.197m]
H1 Gross Profit 293.325m versus 324.516m -.9.611%

Caution, buy at a lower price
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
osango
#1033 Posted : Thursday, July 03, 2014 9:59:29 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 9
why is it that Britam who bought into HFCK is dropping ...isn't it supposed to be the other way round. who's leaning on who here ?
Wondergirl
#1034 Posted : Thursday, July 03, 2014 10:10:19 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/12/2009
Posts: 312
murchr wrote:
Wondergirl wrote:
murchr wrote:
@Wondergal indeed thats the problem, spotting the next gem

Murchr, I have been flirting with Carbacid of late,though I noticed that it's not very popular with wazua gurus,infact I tried to seduce them with a thread,some dismissed it,most ignored. What is your opinion of it?


The valuation at the moment is favorable.

But why the decline?

H1 Earnings through 31st January 2014 versus 6 months through 31st January 2013

H1 Turnover 473.761m versus 546.713m -13.343%
H1 Cost of Sales [180.436m] versus [222.197m]
H1 Gross Profit 293.325m versus 324.516m -.9.611%

Caution, buy at a lower price

Thanks Broda. I'm already in, albeit at a higher price, I think its a sound business I can hold on for longer, I will average down.... another not very popular concept with the gurus.
eggnest
#1035 Posted : Thursday, July 03, 2014 10:19:20 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/11/2011
Posts: 48
Oh my gosh! i thank God for wazua gurus, really i do, i just sold HF at 50 bob...once again i thank God for the guyz here.smile smile
holycow
#1036 Posted : Thursday, July 03, 2014 10:30:06 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 971
Location: Home
osango wrote:
why is it that Britam who bought into HFCK is dropping ...isn't it supposed to be the other way round. who's leaning on who here ?

Nope, that's the way it is. The company being "acquired" has some value in it that the other company lacks or needs.
Othelo
#1037 Posted : Thursday, July 03, 2014 10:35:30 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
holycow wrote:
osango wrote:
why is it that Britam who bought into HFCK is dropping ...isn't it supposed to be the other way round. who's leaning on who here ?

Nope, that's the way it is. The company being "acquired" has some value in it that the other company lacks or needs.

Thought so too. You buy what is being bought because of presumed quality!
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
osango
#1038 Posted : Thursday, July 03, 2014 12:17:26 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 9
Makes sense, but now that britam has HFCK in the pocket then it's value is better right ?.....i think i'l move in the opposite direction on this....see you guys @35 for britam really soon
sparkly
#1039 Posted : Thursday, July 03, 2014 12:48:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
holycow wrote:
osango wrote:
why is it that Britam who bought into HFCK is dropping ...isn't it supposed to be the other way round. who's leaning on who here ?

Nope, that's the way it is. The company being "acquired" has some value in it that the other company lacks or needs.


A win-win for Britam and the Equity.

Britam gets a stable but growing investment into which they can invest long term pension and life insurance funds.

Equity gets to harvest its investment in HF, to re-invest in other market beating ventures. Remember venture capitalists own close to 50% of Equity.
Life is short. Live passionately.
The optimist
#1040 Posted : Thursday, July 03, 2014 6:38:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/14/2010
Posts: 521
Location: Nairobi
Hfck now gets licence for REITs smile
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