Possible scenarios:

1. The attackers were purely alshabaab from Somalia. Revenging KDF invasion of Somalia. And KDF joining AMISOM. I saw one of the claims that alshabaab said they attacked Mpeketoni because it is inhabited by Christians from elsewhere...that makes it also possible for another scenario(number 3 below)

2.The attackers were Kenyans. Kenyan Somalis and Bajuni. Or MRC. Reason for attack here would be Islamic terrorism and ethnicity.

3.The attackers were Kenyans, locals of Lamu who've crossed into Somalia and joined alshabaad. Attack would then have killed two birds with 1 stone: Expell the settler upcountry people and act as alshabaab's revenge against Kenya.

I increasingly see the point in no.3 above. Coz first, as I've pointed out, there was a claim that alshabaab came to remove the Christians settlers. Why would shabaads be interested in 'historical injustices'?



The attackers spoke to each other in Somali but some also in FLUENT SWAHILI



http://www.nation.co.ke/.../-/iy5gy5z/-/index.html

Then there's this article written by someone who seems to be a native of Lamu. It was written in 2011. He says govt was relocating Kikuyu IDPs in the Lamu region thus intensifying the feeling of injustice among locals.

He warned that unless the govt stopped it, local youth would cross the border and team up with shabaads



http://uchunguzi.wordpre...oni-ni-ya-walamu-milele/

alshabaab, kenya office/branch should be the one to blame. The attackers carried flags similar to the one below

Firstly, humans are ruled by means of strategy, things are usually never what they appear to be. Who, or what, one chooses to see, and say, depends on political motives. And the level of indoctrination- the intended effects of strategy.

I don't doubt that Cord have a strategy to help them secure their needs. And one weakness or opportunity they may wish to capitalize on is the heightened insecurity. If this is true then the counter-strategy would be to also associate the insecurity with the 'opposition'.

It makes strategic sense if the al Shabaab can be feared without firing a bullet, and sow confusion to boot. So why not claim credit even where it's undue?

Interpretation is always open till one commits to a strategy.

Your desperation can only make me laugh, arraigned in court and realeased without any conviction, a free kenyan who can chose where to be!!!!

Could the president be in the dark about the real security situation in Kenya? Could there be a group of composed of Kibaki leftovers in the current administration that the president is not in control of this ggroup works to ensure that security warnings are ignored...........