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Kenya to rebase GDP; base from 2001 to 2009
innairobi
#1 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 10:30:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/2/2010
Posts: 845
Kenya to rebase GDP. Base year changes from 2001 to 2009

Taking the cue from Nigeria?

Highlights:

"Kenya is set to achieve the key middle-income economic status next month following a government-led statistical review that is likely to increase the size of the country’s economy by a fifth to $50bn.

Benjamin Macharia Muchiri, senior manager at the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, said the gross domestic product for 2009, the new base year, was “about 20 per cent higher than previously estimated”. He added: “Preliminary results for other years between 2006 and 2011 show revised GDPs going up by between 15 to 25 per cent.”

The increase – expected to be announced in May, although 2014 quarterly figures will not be updated until September – would push Kenya’s GDP for 2009 to about $37bn. Applying the same jump to 2013 could put the country’s economy above $50bn. At that level, Kenya, a nation of more than 43m people, will enjoy a GDP per capita of more than $1,136, up from a current estimate of $943, and within the benchmark of $1,036 set by the World Bank for middle-income nations.

Kenya’s bureau of statistics, which is changing the base year for calculating GDP from 2001 to 2009, says the upward revision reflects previously uncaptured data that shows growth in the manufacturing, agricultural, transport and communication sectors.

The recalculations may still underestimate total GDP as 2009, the new base year, saw the country affected by drought that depressed agricultural output and household spending. The statistics bureau rejected 2008 as a possible replacement base year because of post-election violence that had a dramatic impact on the economy: growth fell to 1.5 per cent, down from 7 per cent the year before, and more than 1,100 people were killed."

http://www.ft.com/intl/c...abdc0.html#axzz2yQV0EPwM
All my friends are heathens, take it slow. Wait for them to ask you who you know. Please don't make any sudden moves.
innairobi
#2 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 10:36:58 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/2/2010
Posts: 845
Even the new numbers might not be a true reflection. Kenya's GDP is probably above $60B already.

An interesting read here on the understating of African GDPs.

http://africanarguments....ssance-by-morten-jerven/
All my friends are heathens, take it slow. Wait for them to ask you who you know. Please don't make any sudden moves.
masukuma
#3 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 10:57:48 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,823
Location: Nairobi
this is quite interesting!! we are data poor! informal businesses may be racking in the big bucks but since we cannot account for them we appear worse off than we really are!
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
xtina
#4 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 12:55:07 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/26/2008
Posts: 401
masukuma wrote:
this is quite interesting!! we are data poor! informal businesses may be racking in the big bucks but since we cannot account for them we appear worse off than we really are!


Applause Something Obi wan Kanobi explained in another thread kitambo..
Tebes
#5 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 1:31:25 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/26/2008
Posts: 2,097
Is Anne Waiguru aware of these latest developments???
"Never regret, if its good, its wonderful. If its bad, its experience."
InnovateGuy
#6 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 2:13:10 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/15/2012
Posts: 1,110
[quote=innairobi]Taking the cue from Nigeria?

Highlights:

"Kenya is set to achieve the key middle-income economic status next month following a government-led statistical review that is likely to increase the size of the country’s economy by a fifth to $50bn.

Benjamin Macharia Muchiri, senior manager at the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, said the gross domestic product for 2009, the new base year, was “about 20 per cent higher than previously estimated”. He added: “Preliminary results for other years between 2006 and 2011 show revised GDPs going up by between 15 to 25 per cent.”

The increase – expected to be announced in May, although 2014 quarterly figures will not be updated until September – would push Kenya’s GDP for 2009 to about $37bn. Applying the same jump to 2013 could put the country’s economy above $50bn. At that level, Kenya, a nation of more than 43m people, will enjoy a GDP per capita of more than $1,136, up from a current estimate of $943, and within the benchmark of $1,036 set by the World Bank for middle-income nations.

Kenya’s bureau of statistics, which is changing the base year for calculating GDP from 2001 to 2009, says the upward revision reflects previously uncaptured data that shows growth in the manufacturing, agricultural, transport and communication sectors.

The recalculations may still underestimate total GDP as 2009, the new base year, saw the country affected by drought that depressed agricultural output and household spending. The statistics bureau rejected 2008 as a possible replacement base year because of post-election violence that had a dramatic impact on the economy: growth fell to 1.5 per cent, down from 7 per cent the year before, and more than 1,100 people were killed."

http://www.ft.com/intl/c...bdc0.html#axzz2yQV0EPwM[/quote]

Useless obsession with GDP. Is Kenya a middle-income country, really? That is so bookish.
Live Full Die Empty - Les Brown.
Alba
#7 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 3:59:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/27/2012
Posts: 2,256
Location: Bandalungwa
Why are they focusing on changing numbers instead of trying to find ways to put the hoardes of unemployed youth to work ? Swali tu
murchr
#8 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 5:42:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Alba wrote:
Why are they focusing on changing numbers instead of trying to find ways to put the hoardes of unemployed youth to work ? Swali tu


Innovate guy wrote:
Useless obsession with GDP. Is Kenya a middle-income country, really? That is so bookish.


You two need to make google your friend. Then ask why economies have to be evaluated in all ways. Its like telling the mechanic not to check your engine because all you need is new tires.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
newfarer
#9 Posted : Thursday, April 10, 2014 11:17:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/19/2010
Posts: 3,505
Location: Uganda
Alba wrote:
Why are they focusing on changing numbers instead of trying to find ways to put the hoardes of unemployed youth to work ? Swali tu



isorite

if you cant make ,it cook it!.

anyway bill gates is 1.5times richer than our $50 billion economy.tuko bali sana.
punda amecheka
Jangwa la Jangili
#10 Posted : Friday, April 11, 2014 6:58:36 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/9/2009
Posts: 311
long overdue. definitely a good thing. lets get africa's stats up to date with the rest of the world.
Katika Jangwa la Jangili ndipo Pwagu hupata Pwaguzi.
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