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Realities of Forex Investment
mnandii
#2521 Posted : Friday, April 04, 2014 4:04:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Prices should visit the 61.8% level soon.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#2522 Posted : Monday, April 07, 2014 5:58:20 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:


Prices should visit the 61.8% level soon.

Market has not moved much. RSI is at overbought. This should be the 'A' wave of a zigzag. If so then prices should retest the 1.3700s level before resuming the uptrend. An alternate scenario is that there may be a triangle forming. PA will confirm.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#2523 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 3:32:54 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Russell 2000 has been a strong index for many months, but since Feb a trend shift triggered while the majority is stuck watching Dow & SPX print new all time highs. I wonder how many have noticed SPX printing all time highs and then turning red for the year. A lot of turbulence at this height... The risk on camp (bulls) is struggling, choose your side carefully.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#2524 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 9:37:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Wave [3] = 1.618 X Wave [1]

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#2525 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 10:29:37 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Appears the BIG sell off is due.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#2526 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 10:36:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
I expect EURUSD to drop strongly down from current levels.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#2527 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 10:41:27 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:
I expect EURUSD to drop strongly down from current levels.

Indeed a nice selloff is setting up smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#2528 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 12:19:01 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
mnandii wrote:
I expect EURUSD to drop strongly down from current levels.

Indeed a nice selloff is setting up smile

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#2529 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 12:21:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Confidence that we are on the right track should increase once 1.3736 level is overtaken to the downside. Since this move should be a third wave any lazy moves downward will warn us to re-assess the situation.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#2530 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 5:51:53 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:
Confidence that we are on the right track should increase once 1.3736 level is overtaken to the downside. Since this move should be a third wave any lazy moves downward will warn us to re-assess the situation.


EURUSD has raced to 1.3800 and taken out stops just as expected. Selling should now show up.

GBPUSD just like EURUSD has taken out stops at 1.6700 and 1.6750. I expect selling to now kick in.

Short GBPUSD@1.6749 and EURUSD@1.3797. These are fast trades. Looking for a quick 20 - 40pips.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
stockshunter
#2531 Posted : Tuesday, April 08, 2014 10:42:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/16/2014
Posts: 114
hisah wrote:
mnandii wrote:
Confidence that we are on the right track should increase once 1.3736 level is overtaken to the downside. Since this move should be a third wave any lazy moves downward will warn us to re-assess the situation.


EURUSD has raced to 1.3800 and taken out stops just as expected. Selling should now show up.

GBPUSD just like EURUSD has taken out stops at 1.6700 and 1.6750. I expect selling to now kick in.

Short GBPUSD@1.6749 and EURUSD@1.3797. These are fast trades. Looking for a quick 20 - 40pips.

@hisah, in order to understand forex I need to go to school but first passed via a ponzi Scheme 8-). If I may ask which company do you use as a broker. If I don't burn my fee in the previous venture I will do it Learning.
fear makes people live a miserable life.
hisah
#2532 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 3:21:23 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@stockhunter - I use saxobank, fxcm and fxdd.
I saw you ventured into VIPortal. My gut feeling has rejected it due to those crazy returns similar to HYIP schemes, but good luck.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2533 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 3:49:23 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Yen bears caution, fast running out of space. It's Q2 and I still maintain my yen bull bias. If Abe throws another fat stimulus, I'll change my stand.

CNH or CNY scope still remains 6.30 and above vs $.

Le Squid aka goldman sucks is closing GSET aka sigma X aka dark liquidity pool aka algo utopia. Also noted that JP Morgue is quite subdued of late. It's like something is homing in on the western money masters.

http://www.reuters.com/a...0N04V320140408?irpc=932

*markets dislike confessions, a debasement event is coming soon* How soon not sure, but a sell side cycle is due just like day and night.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#2534 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 7:56:08 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Revised count.


In Elliott Price Action (PA) is very important. Every move has a bearing on what should happen next. Hence the need to revise counts if necessary.

It is important to remember though that Elliott has very specific points of invalidation. So if price moves beyond what you should expect then you imediately know that your count may be wrong.

Also in Elliott, you may have a risk of about only 30 pips against a potential target of >100 pips. That's a risk:reward of over the recommended 3:1. If you lose you lose a little. But if you strike, you strike big.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#2535 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 7:59:33 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
@stockhunter - I use saxobank, fxcm and fxdd.
I saw you ventured into VIPortal. My gut feeling has rejected it due to those crazy returns similar to HYIP schemes, but good luck.

Yep. VIPortal is funny. They even claim that a month is a pip! Sad So if u invest for two months you have invested for two pips smile

@stockshunter, which forex school do you want to go to?
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#2536 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 8:05:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:

EURUSD has raced to 1.3800 and taken out stops just as expected. Selling should now show up.

GBPUSD just like EURUSD has taken out stops at 1.6700 and 1.6750. I expect selling to now kick in.

Short GBPUSD@1.6749 and EURUSD@1.3797. These are fast trades. Looking for a quick 20 - 40pips.



Ok. Me I expect 1.3820 to be visited before a fall to about 1.3670s. smile

@hisah. Your links above lead to outlook. Any idea how to open them?

Nice day guys.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Angelica _ann
#2537 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 9:33:17 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,916
mnandii wrote:
hisah wrote:
@stockhunter - I use saxobank, fxcm and fxdd.
I saw you ventured into VIPortal. My gut feeling has rejected it due to those crazy returns similar to HYIP schemes, but good luck.

Yep. VIPortal is funny. They even claim that a month is a pip! Sad So if u invest for two months you have invested for two pips smile

@stockshunter, which forex school do you want to go to?

Invest there but be on the outlook. Listened to the whole of the interview of the 'owner/MD', with my basic knowledge in FX he sounded not convincing. Goodluck and bring updates on performance!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
hisah
#2538 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 11:09:10 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@mnandii - they're not links. It's coz I used the @ sign and the forum engine thinks they're are email addresses.

I've taken the EURUSD short out after 1.3778 was tested in Asia session as well as GBPUSD @1.6731. Like I said I was looking for a quick 20 - 40 pips on lot size 3. Definitely the upside is still favoured for now. However, GBPUSD sits at multi-yr resistance since 2009. Break above 1.7100 will target 1.8700 before the next large selloff while EURUSD targets 1.4500. This is why I've been onto GBP trades. Failure to break 1.7100 will see large declines and breakout will see sizable rally. The beast (GBPJPY) has already taken out 163 multi-yr resistance with scope towards 184. But from what I see on the yen, should those levels be tested, sizable declines will make yen bulls smile when the time comes.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2539 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 11:25:42 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
For yen this is what I see in the futures side. Weekly chart.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#2540 Posted : Wednesday, April 09, 2014 2:40:12 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
@mnandii - they're not links. It's coz I used the @ sign and the forum engine thinks they're are email addresses.

I've taken the EURUSD short out after 1.3778 was tested in Asia session as well as GBPUSD @1.6731. Like I said I was looking for a quick 20 - 40 pips on lot size 3. Definitely the upside is still favoured for now. However, GBPUSD sits at multi-yr resistance since 2009. Break above 1.7100 will target 1.8700 before the next large selloff while EURUSD targets 1.4500. This is why I've been onto GBP trades. Failure to break 1.7100 will see large declines and breakout will see sizable rally. The beast (GBPJPY) has already taken out 163 multi-yr resistance with scope towards 184. But from what I see on the yen, should those levels be tested, sizable declines will make yen bulls smile when the time comes.

Ok. smile
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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