Kaigangio wrote:An article in todays daily Nation newspaper by Deputy President William Ruto gives a dark future on the country's economic growth/development due to the high wage bill...An extract from the article reads thus;
Quote:...On the other hand, we can forget Vision 2030, attainment of middle-income status and double-digit economic growth if we don’t contain the wage bill.
Currently, the public sector wage bill is Sh458.7 billion, projected to reach Sh548.8 billion if suggested recommendations as well as other sub-sectoral demands are incorporated. As a percentage of the GDP, the wage bill stands at 12.2 per cent, of which 7.8 per cent represents the civil service wage, projected to rise to 14.6 per cent, with the civil service taking 9.3 per cent.
To put these figures into perspective, levels for middle-income economies average 8.5 per cent, whilst low income countries require levels of 7 per cent to unlock economic growth. Currently, Africa trends at 9.5 per cent.
To further bring the point home, the Public Finance Management Act, 2012, requires a provision of 30 per cent of the total national budget for development expenditure. Currently, recurrent budget gobbles up 74 per cent, leaving 26 per cent for development.
The proposed wage bill would push recurrent expenditure to 79 per cent. This leaves only 21 per cent for development which contravenes the law. Equally it is incompatible with the national economic development roadmap...
Bearing the above in mind, Ruto did not tell us how the government intends to prevent the disastrous effects of this wage bill or what steps it is taking to cut the payroll to a bare minimum...
The full article is in the link below:
http://www.nation.co.ke/.../-/uixluaz/-/index.html
If Deputy President reads wazua forum, which I hope he does, what would you advise him?
I was trying to look at this issue from a different perspective...
The annual collection by KRA is now about kshs 800 billion being the domestic taxes, customs/excise duties, VAT and other forms of taxes...
It means that the wage bill is almost 60% of the total annual revenue collection!!!
The 40% portion (kshs 300 billion) partly finances the recurrent bill (services provision) and development projects... In Kenya today about 15% ( kshs 45 billion) of the total revenue goes to finance the corruption deals...
Assuming each and every civil servant agrees to the 20% slash, this translates into kshs 92 billion...
We can therefore say that corruption will swallow half of the savings!!!!
So if the government is slashing 20% to save kshs 92 billion (which is only 6.6% 0f 2013-2014 budget of ksh 1.4 trillion) and kshs 45 billion goes to corruption, then it makes sense to deal with corruption first followed by the slash to save a hooping kshs 140 billion...
My thoughts...
...besides, the presence of a safe alone does not signify that there is money inside...