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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
hisah
#4431 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 6:24:13 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Metasploit wrote:
This one from FT

Investors scramble for Kenya’s blue-chip stocks

http://www.ft.com/intl/c...tion=intl#axzz2lnB8zj6p


Caution when global media starts trumpeting... NSE's strong rally is foreign dominated.

Read post 1 and pg 1 to see bull signals.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4432 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 6:30:20 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
I'm invested, but i love what is happening to the n.s.e. Why? Its an opportunity to buy, and by 2013, which ever way elections go the market will recover. Like last time, besides, i'm rather optimistic of a peaceful election.

Post 15 stated back in July 14 2011.

@aguy - tumetoka mbali smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Mukiri
#4433 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 8:48:15 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
cnn wrote:
After such a day,the NSE 20 closes at 5085 on a 1.5 billion shillings turnover.Safaricom doing more than half a billion in turnover with foreigners who contributed much to the rise in its share price strongly on the sell side and i have noted the same with K.C.B

Booking profits for the year.

Quote:
“Safaricom was the day’s top mover with foreigners selling off the counter on profit taking and local investors accounting for the bulk of demand,” said
Standard Investment Bank its analysis of Tuesday’s trading. Kestrel Capital, a brokerage firm based in Nairobi,
has put the highest possible price of the share at Sh11.66 and recommended that investors should
buy more when the price falls below Sh9.65.

www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/rn829yz/-/index.html


Nice for BD to put this article.

Jan - Feb will be interesting. Sucker rally or continuation is the game with 5100 the ref...

How would one be able to tell the difference between Sucker rally and Continuation?

Proverbs 19:21
stocksmaster
#4434 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 9:01:26 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 463
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
Mukiri wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
cnn wrote:
After such a day,the NSE 20 closes at 5085 on a 1.5 billion shillings turnover.Safaricom doing more than half a billion in turnover with foreigners who contributed much to the rise in its share price strongly on the sell side and i have noted the same with K.C.B

Booking profits for the year.

Quote:
“Safaricom was the day’s top mover with foreigners selling off the counter on profit taking and local investors accounting for the bulk of demand,” said
Standard Investment Bank its analysis of Tuesday’s trading. Kestrel Capital, a brokerage firm based in Nairobi,
has put the highest possible price of the share at Sh11.66 and recommended that investors should
buy more when the price falls below Sh9.65.

www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/rn829yz/-/index.html


Nice for BD to put this article.

Jan - Feb will be interesting. Sucker rally or continuation is the game with 5100 the ref...

How would one be able to tell the difference between Sucker rally and Continuation?


Check whose buying and whose selling.
A. When it is foreigners buying with locals selling= continuation.
B. When its foreigners selling and locals buying then thats a sucker rally.
NSE rallys typically follow that model. 'A' happens sucking in locals then ' B' happens. After B happens a correction occurs and we go back to A after sometime.

Happy hunting.
x handle: @stocksmaster79
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#4435 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 9:32:55 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
cnn wrote:
After such a day,the NSE 20 closes at 5085 on a 1.5 billion shillings turnover.Safaricom doing more than half a billion in turnover with foreigners who contributed much to the rise in its share price strongly on the sell side and i have noted the same with K.C.B

Booking profits for the year.

Quote:
“Safaricom was the day’s top mover with foreigners selling off the counter on profit taking and local investors accounting for the bulk of demand,” said
Standard Investment Bank its analysis of Tuesday’s trading. Kestrel Capital, a brokerage firm based in Nairobi,
has put the highest possible price of the share at Sh11.66 and recommended that investors should
buy more when the price falls below Sh9.65.

www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/rn829yz/-/index.html


Nice for BD to put this article.

Jan - Feb will be interesting. Sucker rally or continuation is the game with 5100 the ref...

Interesting to see how mpesa trades today.
Looks like 11 will be the new resistance level,for now.
I watched that foreign sell off jana and it was quite telling.
@SufficientlyP
YoungMulla
#4436 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 9:43:29 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/14/2012
Posts: 577
Location: Nairobi Kenya
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
cnn wrote:
After such a day,the NSE 20 closes at 5085 on a 1.5 billion shillings turnover.Safaricom doing more than half a billion in turnover with foreigners who contributed much to the rise in its share price strongly on the sell side and i have noted the same with K.C.B

Booking profits for the year.

Quote:
“Safaricom was the day’s top mover with foreigners selling off the counter on profit taking and local investors accounting for the bulk of demand,” said
Standard Investment Bank its analysis of Tuesday’s trading. Kestrel Capital, a brokerage firm based in Nairobi,
has put the highest possible price of the share at Sh11.66 and recommended that investors should
buy more when the price falls below Sh9.65.

www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/rn829yz/-/index.html


Nice for BD to put this article.

Jan - Feb will be interesting. Sucker rally or continuation is the game with 5100 the ref...

Interesting to see how mpesa trades today.
Looks like 11 will be the new resistance level,for now.
I watched that foreign sell off jana and it was quite telling.


Its funny, I thought foreigners were in for the long-term.Apparently not..
Before I die - i will touch the sky!!
cnn
#4437 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 11:22:55 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
YoungMulla wrote:
Am just wondering how much money the guys who had CARB three weeks ago have made, must be quite a tidy sum

If one had bought 2000 shares @ 140(spending kSh280 000) just before the announcement for the bonus/split he is looking at 15000 shares when the shares are credited next month,if today's (54)price levels hold until then,that is worth kSh 810,000 plus the dividend...not a bad return in two months.
underweight
#4438 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 11:53:52 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/25/2009
Posts: 184
Location: For now El-Fashier - Darfur
This reminds me of East Africa cables pre and post split where the shares shot to almost 1000 and came to 100 after split and crashed after the news shares were credited to the CDS account. This scenario will repeat itself in Carbacid as soon as the split and bonus shares are deposited on the CDS account.....If you have this shares I advice sell just before the crediting.....otherwise expect the above.....The fume volumes tells it all.....a case of being lured to a suitable killing ground.
"A bad decision made now is beta that a good one made later!!"
King G
#4439 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 12:12:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2012
Posts: 3,855
Location: Othumo
cnn wrote:
YoungMulla wrote:
Am just wondering how much money the guys who had CARB three weeks ago have made, must be quite a tidy sum

If one had bought 2000 shares @ 140(spending kSh280 000) just before the announcement for the bonus/split he is looking at 15000 shares when the shares are credited next month,if today's (54)price levels hold until then,that is worth kSh 810,000 plus the dividend...not a bad return in two months.

Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you split & bonus not yet credited to CDSA, therefore the shares the person still has is 2k. Let us wait for the liquity. But again money will still be made.
Thieves
cnn
#4440 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 12:20:51 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
King G wrote:
cnn wrote:
YoungMulla wrote:
Am just wondering how much money the guys who had CARB three weeks ago have made, must be quite a tidy sum

If one had bought 2000 shares @ 140(spending kSh280 000) just before the announcement for the bonus/split he is looking at 15000 shares when the shares are credited next month,if today's (54)price levels hold until then,that is worth kSh 810,000 plus the dividend...not a bad return in two months.

Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you split & bonus not yet credited to CDSA, therefore the shares the person still has is 2k. Let us wait for the liquity. But again money will still be made.

I said as much.
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