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Kenya Airways...why ignore..
Sober
#471 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 10:07:16 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
obiero wrote:
I hereby repeat my rhetoric question. Between KQ & SCOM which one is likely to reach KES 30 faster..


I bet on Safaricom, the market is less hostile. KQ normally has so many factors affecting its market share; political & Social stability, oil prices,exchange rate among others
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
ProverB
#472 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 10:28:07 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
Sober wrote:
obiero wrote:
I hereby repeat my rhetoric question. Between KQ & SCOM which one is likely to reach KES 30 faster..


I bet on Safaricom, the market is less hostile. KQ normally has so many factors affecting its market share; political & Social stability, oil prices,exchange rate among others


Talking purely share price appreciation..it comes down to demand and supply volumes.

Please note..the only reason a share price will go up is because someone somewhere with deep enough pockets and for whatever reason wants that share more than those who have it..hence will offer a higher price for it.

When demand outweighs supply..price goes up.

That said..at current levels..it is easier to wipe out supply of KQ than it is the supply of Safaricom comparatively. Hence..quite easier for KQ to get to 30 than safaricom..

Supply volumes of safaricom need quite abit of cash load to wipeout...especially when prices are higher.. With KQ..Kshs100million is enough to spark a rally toward new highs irregardless of what fundamentals are. A similar cash load on safaricom is like a drop in the ocean.

#Lessons Uchumi, KQ(2007-08)#MomentumInvesting
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
Magnate
#473 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 11:04:19 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/1/2013
Posts: 257
ProverB wrote:
Sober wrote:
obiero wrote:
I hereby repeat my rhetoric question. Between KQ & SCOM which one is likely to reach KES 30 faster..


I bet on Safaricom, the market is less hostile. KQ normally has so many factors affecting its market share; political & Social stability, oil prices,exchange rate among others


Talking purely share price appreciation..it comes down to demand and supply volumes.

Please note..the only reason a share price will go up is because someone somewhere with deep enough pockets and for whatever reason wants that share more than those who have it..hence will offer a higher price for it.

When demand outweighs supply..price goes up.

That said..at current levels..it is easier to wipe out supply of KQ than it is the supply of Safaricom comparatively. Hence..quite easier for KQ to get to 30 than safaricom..

Supply volumes of safaricom need quite abit of cash load to wipeout...especially when prices are higher.. With KQ..Kshs100million is enough to spark a rally toward new highs irregardless of what fundamentals are. A similar cash load on safaricom is like a drop in the ocean.

#Lessons Uchumi, KQ(2007-08)#MomentumInvesting


i have learnt through experience that the shares outstanding play a major role in the accelaration of prices.

Safaricom= 40B shares issues
KQ= 1.5B shares issues

thus KQ may move 20 times faster.simple as it may seem.

i predicted NBK will accelerate faster than COOP.watch the market ..momentum investing



No diagnosis,no pragnosis,no pragnosis no profit......Jesse livermore
obiero
#474 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 11:45:52 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,304
Location: nairobi
Sober wrote:
obiero wrote:
I hereby repeat my rhetoric question. Between KQ & SCOM which one is likely to reach KES 30 faster..


I bet on Safaricom, the market is less hostile. KQ normally has so many factors affecting its market share; political & Social stability, oil prices,exchange rate among others

@sober thank you for your thoughts, but the answer is not correct
COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
obiero
#475 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 7:35:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,304
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
anyone interested in sellin at 14 should do so tomorrow.. the price is likely to draw back for atleast two weeks before regainin ground. eventually, upon nearing release of full year results, plus chance of modest dividend, the price will crack past 20 with ease. watch and learn

COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
obiero
#476 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 7:40:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,304
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
anyone interested in sellin at 14 should do so tomorrow.. the price is likely to draw back for atleast two weeks before regainin ground. eventually, upon nearing release of full year results, plus chance of modest dividend, the price will crack past 20 with ease. watch and learn

COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
obiero
#477 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 7:43:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,304
Location: nairobi
^ prophetic words I posted exactly two weeks ago.. look at the price today. @all wazuans and in particular KQ followers, KES 20 will print by early Jan 2014. Im a buyer at any price below KES 17. Thank me later
COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
obiero
#478 Posted : Saturday, November 30, 2013 8:07:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,304
Location: nairobi
some people still ask why KQ is increasing its fleet size..
www.the-star.co.ke/news/...-fly-more-times-december
COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
obiero
#479 Posted : Saturday, November 30, 2013 9:02:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,304
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
some people still ask why KQ is increasing its fleet size..
www.the-star.co.ke/news/...-fly-more-times-december

KQ new flights to Delhi provides more wood for the fire..
COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
VituVingiSana
#480 Posted : Sunday, December 01, 2013 6:11:52 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,369
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
some people still ask why KQ is increasing its fleet size..
www.the-star.co.ke/news/...-fly-more-times-december

KQ new flights to Delhi provides more wood for the fire..
I saw plenty of increased flights to various detinations but I don't think I saw Delhi on that list!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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