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Kenya Economy Watch
hisah
#511 Posted : Tuesday, November 19, 2013 4:49:33 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Will KPLC get that tariff hike? http://www.businessdaily.../-/dv0ogkz/-/index.html

Consumption tax everywhere. Power hike, weak GDP and wide current account deficit continued into 2014 will pull the handbrake on equities...

KES saving grace remains eurobond as well as FDI spike due to mining etc. Tourism and agri revenues (egypt yet again like in 2010) are on the back foot unless diaspora remittance provides the expected fx shortfall. KES has been resilient with all the headwinds. But for how long after the election euphoria...

Repeating 2011 with a frothy global econ will not be an interesting outcome at this 5000 lofty height...

Interbank rate spike, inflation spike and KES back to 90 vs USD should be the warning signs for bulls if sustained for more than a quarter (3 mths).
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Museveni
#512 Posted : Tuesday, November 19, 2013 1:03:14 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/16/2012
Posts: 661
Live and learn; and don’t forget, nothing ventured, nothing gained.
Hunderwear
#513 Posted : Tuesday, November 19, 2013 1:13:04 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/14/2011
Posts: 639
hisah wrote:
Will KPLC get that tariff hike? http://www.businessdaily.../-/dv0ogkz/-/index.html

Consumption tax everywhere. Power hike, weak GDP and wide current account deficit continued into 2014 will pull the handbrake on equities...

KES saving grace remains eurobond as well as FDI spike due to mining etc. Tourism and agri revenues (egypt yet again like in 2010) are on the back foot unless diaspora remittance provides the expected fx shortfall. KES has been resilient with all the headwinds. But for how long after the election euphoria...

Repeating 2011 with a frothy global econ will not be an interesting outcome at this 5000 lofty height...

Interbank rate spike, inflation spike and KES back to 90 vs USD should be the warning signs for bulls if sustained for more than a quarter (3 mths).



@Hisah have you seen this?A nyc surprise answer to ur concerns I think.
http://www.businessdaily.../-/qc9ojmz/-/index.html
wazuaguest
#514 Posted : Tuesday, November 19, 2013 1:58:27 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/9/2012
Posts: 576
mwekez@ji wrote:
GDP Growth Rate:

2005; 5.9%
2007; 7.0%
2009; 2.7%
2010; 5.8%
2011; 4.4%
2012; 4.6%
2013; 6.0% (projected)
10% coming soon

2008?
Africa belongs to Africans.
Cde Monomotapa
#515 Posted : Thursday, November 21, 2013 4:22:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Tuseme Uncle Barry heard our grumbles?

POTUS on Africa - "The more, the merrier." Nairobi to host US’s Power Africa project http://www.nation.co.ke/...a-project/-/996/2081840

Sababu zinginezo; “Kenya is the second most populous country in the region; it has a young, ambitious and well-educated workforce — eager to contribute to development of the country,” reads the introduction in part. smile
murchr
#516 Posted : Sunday, November 24, 2013 7:09:55 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
The number of multi-millionaires in Nairobi is set to increase by more than half in the next seven years, outpacing growth in some of the most developed countries in the world.

This trend follows the growth of Africa’s super-rich, with statistics showing that the region’s segment of high-net-worth individuals grew by 9.9 per cent in 2012, the second-highest in the world after North America, and above the global average of 9.2 per cent.

According to the latest World Wealth Report by the consulting firm Capgemini, the number of dollar millionaires (people with a net worth over $1 million (about Sh85 million) in Nairobi is expected to increase 62 per cent to over 8,000 from about 5,000 currently by 2020.
http://www.nation.co.ke/...8/-/o8v32uz/-/index.html
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
murchr
#517 Posted : Sunday, November 24, 2013 7:19:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Kenya could shoulder a heavy bill for the Mombasa refinery if it accepts a proposal by Essar Energy as the Indian conglomerate exits from the facility.

Essar, the government’s partner in the Kenya Petroleum Refineries Ltd-run facility, wants the government to take over debts owed to banks and other creditors.

http://www.theeastafrica...24/-/yx5h32/-/index.html
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
hisah
#518 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 7:04:52 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Hunderwear wrote:
hisah wrote:
Will KPLC get that tariff hike? http://www.businessdaily.../-/dv0ogkz/-/index.html

Consumption tax everywhere. Power hike, weak GDP and wide current account deficit continued into 2014 will pull the handbrake on equities...

KES saving grace remains eurobond as well as FDI spike due to mining etc. Tourism and agri revenues (egypt yet again like in 2010) are on the back foot unless diaspora remittance provides the expected fx shortfall. KES has been resilient with all the headwinds. But for how long after the election euphoria...

Repeating 2011 with a frothy global econ will not be an interesting outcome at this 5000 lofty height...

Interbank rate spike, inflation spike and KES back to 90 vs USD should be the warning signs for bulls if sustained for more than a quarter (3 mths).



@Hisah have you seen this?A nyc surprise answer to ur concerns I think.
http://www.businessdaily.../-/qc9ojmz/-/index.html


http://www.businessdaily...8/-/cxpn0t/-/index.html

This power hike thing I dont like.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#519 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 8:04:53 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Let's see if we can spin this one. If a consumer is used to paying 4,000 for electricity but (more than) half of that has been fuel costs and later pays the same 4,000 for pure* electricity but which costs a bit more (tariff wise) - is there any relief in real terms?
Cde Monomotapa
#520 Posted : Wednesday, November 27, 2013 8:28:06 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Let's see if we can spin this one. If a consumer is used to paying 4,000 for electricity but (more than) half of that has been fuel costs and later pays the same 4,000 for pure* electricity but which costs a bit more (tariff wise) - is there any relief in real terms?


Wanjiku version: Let's say we've been buying half a loaf for 70 but later we pay 80 for a full loaf. Deal or no deal? smile
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