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Equity 1Q Results
McReggae
#11 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2009 9:26:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Hapo iko maneno,less provision on loan loss when the loaned amounts have grown.....mmmmh!!!.....clearly they want the profits to look higher!!!!! The chief value of money lies in the fact that one lives in a world in which it is overestimated.
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
The General
#12 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2009 10:46:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
Assumption 1 LLP should have been somewhere in the range of approx 300m. True/False? The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
Mainat
#13 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2009 10:53:00 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Ngwono,Eli and other prayerful brethren are needed here. I counted 6 eminent commentators out of 11- who are clueless in reading financial statements! 1stly,the A in accounts stands for the 4 types of accounts that make up the financial statement. A balance sheet,Profit and Loss acc,Cash Flow Statement and the less well know shareholder movements. Please learn what they all do. Suffice to say that non-performing loans (NPL) are a balance sheet item. They are therefore cumulative over time reducing or increasing. CBK has specific rules around when a loan can be declared as an NPL. I believe this after 90 days of non-payment. A non-performing loan is still a loan. It&rsquo;s just that it&rsquo;s not doing what its supposed i.e. being reduced at a given time. The loan loss provision is a P&L item and is therefore not cumulative. It reflects the fact that there is no chance a bank will recover an NPL. There are specific rules around when you can take a LLP hit in your P&L mainly to do with probability of recovering the loan. Its therefore possible to have Ksh10bn of npl and not take a hit on a given quarter based on your assessment of all the various loan that make up this Ksh1obn Equity took a Ksh1bn hit in &rsquo;08 to reflect the fact that out of its Ksh2.7bn npls,the probability of recovering Ksh1bn is very low. For the other Ksh1.7bn,it clearly deems that they are still recoverable. Saying all that,I expected 40% growth in Q1 and probably 20% in Q2. These are the two quarters it benefited from Safcom&hellip; www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Tusker Baridi
#14 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2009 11:45:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/9/2006
Posts: 186
Mainat Dont change the subject,the issue here is that NPL are up 138% yet provision for these loans are down 59%. In an environment when the economy is shrinking and massive layoffs are the order of the day,shouldnt they be increasing provisions for NPLs? Bottom line is that Equity is cooking its books to hide the fact that they are over-extended and over-leveraged. But the truth is slowly coming out.
Mainat
#15 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2009 12:34:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Change of subject? Errm-you missed my explanation below by a mile. Never mind. Enjoy your weekend... www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
starr
#16 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2009 12:47:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/22/2009
Posts: 31
@Mainat or any other sk user : A quick one is it possible for a bank to use the loan loss provision to inflate profits in their unaudited reports? isn't there a significant level of subjectivity and discretion in arriving at the final figure? assuming worst case scenario CBK is playing ball.
nyari
#17 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2009 1:59:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 94
@ Mainat, Banks traditionally increase LLP to reduce their profits & hence deny the tax man his dues for a rainy day; check all Q1 published results from baks. The term provision is used because they are actually 'providing' for losses emanating from bad loans. if a loan becomes hardcore then its written off and expensed as such (bad loans written off). I actually need a good explanation from an insider on what their finance guys were upto. The good thing is that they are now looking to expand outside the country a they might have realised the Kenyan market is slowly creeping into the plateau phase. Any bank whose net income goes up by more than 15% this quarter will raise a red flag on my radar.
gabrini
#18 Posted : Thursday, May 28, 2009 10:00:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/11/2008
Posts: 19
Hey i don't have anything sinister about this bank but it seems something aint right.from morning their systems are completely dead cant access your balance nor make withdrawals,they're just accepting deposits.is this a sigh of what is coming at the end of the month
The General
#19 Posted : Thursday, May 28, 2009 10:40:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
I read in one of the dailies recently that: Interviews with players revealed that Equity Bank appears to be the only major bank with enough liquidity to lend to others. http://www.nation.co.ke/magazines/smartcompany /-/1226/602816/-/satbs5z/-/index.html The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
Kausha
#20 Posted : Thursday, May 28, 2009 12:24:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
There wasn't book cooking,what happened is that most of the loans are small and they were already showing weakness last year. Management went conservative way and provided well ahead of the provision trigger -90 days unpaid,Equity's provisions for last were were 1 billion which was out of line with previous trends but it as to address the weakness. KCB appears to have done so as well thus low quarter 1 provisions. The cooks are in BBK,low provisions althrough even as the NPL book grows and which we all suspect is understated given the mess they ran into trying to do an MPESA like campaign and sales of consumer loans.
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