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Kenya Airways...why ignore..
obiero
#321 Posted : Sunday, October 13, 2013 12:47:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,497
Location: nairobi
SittingPretty wrote:
obiero wrote:
today I have loaded more of KQ. when it starts rising it will be too swift and most passengers will be left on the ground.. watch and learn


What makes you so convinced that this stocks will rebound HEAVILY... for the long haul that is! Please convince me with some facts, I only have my guts. What has changed so far from historical information.

That rights issue money is percolating www.planespotters.net/Airline/Kenya-Airways

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#322 Posted : Sunday, October 13, 2013 12:57:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,497
Location: nairobi
apart from Dreamliner, all the other planes under Mawingu money are on schedule with the novel Boeing 777-300ER jetting into JKIA on 25th October. Here is a summary of their plans which I am sold to: www.centreforaviation.co...-continent-by-2017-71784

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#323 Posted : Sunday, October 13, 2013 1:37:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,497
Location: nairobi

This is part of the silver bullet that will turnaround KQ.. He who has money, let him/her invest now www.kenya-airways.com/Ho...R_direct_to_China/?dis=y

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
VituVingiSana
#324 Posted : Sunday, October 13, 2013 4:19:48 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,095
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
apart from Dreamliner, all the other planes under Mawingu money are on schedule with the novel Boeing 777-300ER jetting into JKIA on 25th October. Here is a summary of their plans which I am sold to: www.centreforaviation.co...-continent-by-2017-71784
Interesting. KQ is already past 1H for 2013-14 but I haven't seen any moves on the following. On the other hand they do have 5.5 months left in the current financial year.

Kuala Lumpur 3x on 767-300
Bangalore 3x on 787
New Delhi on 767-300 [Flight timetable shows 737-700]

I want KQ to succeed but IMHO, they are expanding too fast too soon using large amounts of debt.

Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
SittingPretty
#325 Posted : Sunday, October 13, 2013 9:38:18 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/16/2013
Posts: 123
Location: MSA
obiero wrote:
apart from Dreamliner, all the other planes under Mawingu money are on schedule with the novel Boeing 777-300ER jetting into JKIA on 25th October. Here is a summary of their plans which I am sold to: www.centreforaviation.co...-continent-by-2017-71784

@Obiero am sold on this one already for the long haul, boarding tomorrow. The Airline business has been tough for some time and the narrow body fleet strategy for the short haul could pay off. Thanks for the info.
Timely advice is as lovely as golden apples in a silver basket. Proverbs 25:11
Kausha
#326 Posted : Monday, October 14, 2013 5:59:21 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
@vvs I echo you view, the organization is off rail on its long term strategy blame it on Boeing or whoever you want to but in modern day avaiation, management should build in capacity constraints in their strategy plans. They only have Delhi in the plan, Bangalore and KL are off Sao Paolo and Berlin will probably be off. What is also not highlighted is that as they are missing these milestones their existing routes are getting nibbled away by the competition especially african routes. The narrow body strategy was at the very least 50% forced by competition who just keep making it difficult for KQ to fly wide bodies to certain routes in Africa. At KQ's prime it used to fly a 777 to Lagos via Abidjan/doualla daily, it now does a 737-800 and largely because of range and belly space for the oga traders but in essense it could easily fly a E-190jet there. It also used to fly a 777 to Dubai and back but now flies a 767 which also goes to Bangkok or or at times fly a 737-800 largely for belly space.

Reality is KQ is a very short term technical play, which you keep play around the results and nothing else not even arrival of jets because these jets are debt funded and competition isn't relenting. Days of KQ bringing in a 777 and that translating into revenue and profit jumps are a few years behind us.

I am in but largely for the huge mispricing between 1H14 results and the price. Once that realigns am out soonest. I await the day the BOD and Management can control many more factors in this business before taking a long punt.
VituVingiSana
#327 Posted : Monday, October 21, 2013 3:40:16 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,095
Location: Nairobi
Will KQ have to write-down its investment in Precision Air?

http://www.theeastafrica...1/-/179sowz/-/index.html
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mwekez@ji
#328 Posted : Thursday, October 24, 2013 3:47:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Tomorrow, Friday 25th will Kenya Airways’ latest and biggest bird ever take to the air from the Boeing manufacturing plant in Seattle to start the ferry flight home to the airline’s base in Nairobi. The 400 seat aircraft, offering 28 seats in Premier Class and 372 seats in Economy, will after arrival later on Friday be prepared for service at the Embakasi hangar of Kenya Airways, before entering service on 05th November with a planned flight to Guangzhou in China.

http://wolfganghthome.wordpress...r-homebound-for-nairobi/
obiero
#329 Posted : Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:59:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,497
Location: nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
Tomorrow, Friday 25th will Kenya Airways’ latest and biggest bird ever take to the air from the Boeing manufacturing plant in Seattle to start the ferry flight home to the airline’s base in Nairobi. The 400 seat aircraft, offering 28 seats in Premier Class and 372 seats in Economy, will after arrival later on Friday be prepared for service at the Embakasi hangar of Kenya Airways, before entering service on 05th November with a planned flight to Guangzhou in China.

http://wolfganghthome.wordpress...r-homebound-for-nairobi/

watch and learn

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
murchr
#330 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 3:15:15 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Take off
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Gordon Gekko
#331 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 9:04:42 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
Its great that KQ is getting the 777-300, but it is not a game changer. They have always had the 777-200 (which are in seriously dilapidated state) and in need of replacement. The -300 will not open new routes, but replace the existing -200s, the only advantage being an extra 100 or so seats and extra belly space. In fact, if the -200 crew cant fly the -300, it means that KQ will have to maintain three sets of crew specifically for one plane, and those are overheads.
VituVingiSana
#332 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 10:00:08 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,095
Location: Nairobi
Gordon Gekko wrote:
Its great that KQ is getting the 777-300, but it is not a game changer. They have always had the 777-200 (which are in seriously dilapidated state) and in need of replacement. The -300 will not open new routes, but replace the existing -200s, the only advantage being an extra 100 or so seats and extra belly space. In fact, if the -200 crew cant fly the -300, it means that KQ will have to maintain three sets of crew specifically for one plane, and those are overheads.
Bingo!
- 1 plane is not a game changer as you point out. Only when the 787s come in consistently will a difference be made.
- Does KQ still have the ancient 767s? Those need to go! The 777-200 is a great plane in comparison!
- Boeings are designed in a manner that the crew that flies the 777-200 should be able to fly the 777-300 [& they would have been trained on the new plane]
- Until the staffing is sorted out, KQ will still face problems.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
rest.easy
#333 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 10:55:52 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/9/2010
Posts: 39
VituVingiSana wrote:
Gordon Gekko wrote:
Its great that KQ is getting the 777-300, but it is not a game changer. They have always had the 777-200 (which are in seriously dilapidated state) and in need of replacement. The -300 will not open new routes, but replace the existing -200s, the only advantage being an extra 100 or so seats and extra belly space. In fact, if the -200 crew cant fly the -300, it means that KQ will have to maintain three sets of crew specifically for one plane, and those are overheads.
Bingo!
- 1 plane is not a game changer as you point out. Only when the 787s come in consistently will a difference be made.
- Does KQ still have the ancient 767s? Those need to go! The 777-200 is a great plane in comparison!
- Boeings are designed in a manner that the crew that flies the 777-200 should be able to fly the 777-300 [& they would have been trained on the new plane]
- Until the staffing is sorted out, KQ will still face problems.


Even the 787's are not coming in huge numbers. Only one is scheduled for delivery soon. Link

Only one probably to be delivered in Q2 next year. Yet Ethiopian will be operating 8 787's around the same time.
murchr
#334 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 2:51:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Time for some education the 777-300 is replacing no plane, its an addition will fly the to china. The 787 (dreamliners) will replace the 767s not 777s, over the years. 787s are a smaller plane but fuel efficient. And dont forget that KQ has been receiving embraer planes every other month. Ethiopian flies boeing planes even short distance eg Addis - Nbo
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Cde Monomotapa
#335 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 10:32:59 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
KQ flaunting the new plane. See pictures on @KenyaAirways
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#336 Posted : Saturday, October 26, 2013 1:42:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
KQ flaunting the new plane. See pictures on @KenyaAirways

Kenya@50smile
@SufficientlyP
obiero
#337 Posted : Saturday, October 26, 2013 5:21:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,497
Location: nairobi
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
KQ flaunting the new plane. See pictures on @KenyaAirways

Kenya@50smile

What KQ is doing is good and should yield some results.. Let nay sayers talk until release of results in a few days time.. How can we compare Ethiopian to KQ? We know Ethiopian is an NGO-like outfit

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Gordon Gekko
#338 Posted : Sunday, October 27, 2013 6:51:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
Engineer Kamau decrees that henceforth all gaarment officials must fly KQ. The following day WSR jets in onboard a KLM. Is it a case do as I say, not as I do? Or is it that ICC flights are personal and not underwritten by the tax payer?
Horton
#339 Posted : Sunday, October 27, 2013 7:08:59 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Gordon Gekko wrote:
Its great that KQ is getting the 777-300, but it is not a game changer. They have always had the 777-200 (which are in seriously dilapidated state) and in need of replacement. The -300 will not open new routes, but replace the existing -200s, the only advantage being an extra 100 or so seats and extra belly space. In fact, if the -200 crew cant fly the -300, it means that KQ will have to maintain three sets of crew specifically for one plane, and those are overheads.
Bingo!
- 1 plane is not a game changer as you point out. Only when the 787s come in consistently will a difference be made.
- Does KQ still have the ancient 767s? Those need to go! The 777-200 is a great plane in comparison!
- Boeings are designed in a manner that the crew that flies the 777-200 should be able to fly the 777-300 [& they would have been trained on the new plane]
- Until the staffing is sorted out, KQ will still face problems.



GG- the B772s KQ has are in great nick! The B773 could well be a game changer....think about it, they have the short range connectivity airplanes, what they lacked was a big boy, with bunks for the crew, this allows them to fly longer distances direct without the dog-legs.

yes the crew on the existing B772 can intact fly the B773 with a short course...

B788---start trickling in one by one, as they are custom made....
Gordon Gekko
#340 Posted : Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:24:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
@Horton, I used a 772 from LHR in August and wouldn't exactly say the kite was in great shape. My personal screen was hardly responsive to touch, my seat wobbled wildly during takeoff, the under carriage made a deafening noise as it retracted - not exactly a nice user experience, unless you gauge a/c fitness solely by the soundness of the engines.
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