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Kenya Economy Watch
mwekez@ji
#161 Posted : Thursday, July 25, 2013 9:31:05 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
hisah wrote:
USDKES threatening to break 88 and fly to 90/- level. Inflation has already reversed and oil price has spiked. If VAT bill is passed more inflation issues will pop up. NSE bulls had better keep this in mind.


@hisah, what is your projection of the oil price¿ Is the spike likely to keep on¿
mwekez@ji
#162 Posted : Thursday, July 25, 2013 9:33:44 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Cabinet okays building of 30,000 houses in Mavoko

The Cabinet has given the greenlight for the construction of 30,000 houses in Mavoko, Machakos County.

It approved a plan by the National Social Security Fund (NSSF) to build the housing units on its 1,000-acre farm in Mavoko.

"This is a Public Private Partnership (PPP) arrangement. A strategic partner will be identified to construct houses and build other amenities.

"The project is key to Government delivering on its pledge to reduce the acute shortage of houses in our nation’s capital in line with the Jubilee manifesto," said a cabinet brief sent to newsrooms Thursday.

President Kenyatta chaired the Cabinet meeting at State House, Nairobi.
mwekez@ji
#163 Posted : Thursday, July 25, 2013 10:12:35 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji
#164 Posted : Friday, July 26, 2013 11:42:38 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Government announces feasibility studies for Free Trade Zone in Mombasa.

The Ministry of Industrialization and Enterprise Development has requested for expressions of interest for consultancy services for the proposed Free Trade Zone in Mombasa. The location measures 500-1000 acres accessible to the Kilindini Port, Mombasa to Kisumu/Malaba- Uganda Railway, Mombasa-Nairobi highway and Moi International Airport. The zone will provide a point of re-export and import and is expected to make Kenya a preferred link in the trade distribution channel. The Free Port is also expected to promote intra-African trade for diverse products such as electronics, motor vehicles, and machinery, marketing and distribution services for local and international companies amongst other trade activities. The expected outputs of the consultancy will determine the role of Government, private sector and other stakeholders. It will also provide models to be adopted in the development and management particularly infrastructure, relevant rules, procedures and regulations, promotion of investments from interested parties and management of the zone. The planned Free Trade Zone will allow the Port of Mombasa to evolve from a pure centre of transport and become more directly involved in added value activities such as cargo processing and logistics. This in turn would allow Mombasa to play a greater role in the development of international trade, thus helping to stimulate the Kenyan economy. (Ministry of Industrialization and Enterprise Development, Standard Investment Bank)
hisah
#165 Posted : Friday, July 26, 2013 12:39:09 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mwekez@ji wrote:
hisah wrote:
USDKES threatening to break 88 and fly to 90/- level. Inflation has already reversed and oil price has spiked. If VAT bill is passed more inflation issues will pop up. NSE bulls had better keep this in mind.


@hisah, what is your projection of the oil price¿ Is the spike likely to keep on¿

The bounce is still weak as per TA. But with oil, fundies change rapidly due to geopolitical events which are not easy to forecast.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mwekez@ji
#166 Posted : Friday, July 26, 2013 9:05:12 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
hisah wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
hisah wrote:
USDKES threatening to break 88 and fly to 90/- level. Inflation has already reversed and oil price has spiked. If VAT bill is passed more inflation issues will pop up. NSE bulls had better keep this in mind.


@hisah, what is your projection of the oil price¿ Is the spike likely to keep on¿

The bounce is still weak as per TA. But with oil, fundies change rapidly due to geopolitical events which are not easy to forecast.


Muchas gracias señor hisah
mwekez@ji
#167 Posted : Friday, July 26, 2013 9:07:32 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
Government announces feasibility studies for Free Trade Zone in Mombasa.

The Ministry of Industrialization and Enterprise Development has requested for expressions of interest for consultancy services for the proposed Free Trade Zone in Mombasa. The location measures 500-1000 acres accessible to the Kilindini Port, Mombasa to Kisumu/Malaba- Uganda Railway, Mombasa-Nairobi highway and Moi International Airport. The zone will provide a point of re-export and import and is expected to make Kenya a preferred link in the trade distribution channel. The Free Port is also expected to promote intra-African trade for diverse products such as electronics, motor vehicles, and machinery, marketing and distribution services for local and international companies amongst other trade activities. The expected outputs of the consultancy will determine the role of Government, private sector and other stakeholders. It will also provide models to be adopted in the development and management particularly infrastructure, relevant rules, procedures and regulations, promotion of investments from interested parties and management of the zone. The planned Free Trade Zone will allow the Port of Mombasa to evolve from a pure centre of transport and become more directly involved in added value activities such as cargo processing and logistics. This in turn would allow Mombasa to play a greater role in the development of international trade, thus helping to stimulate the Kenyan economy. (Ministry of Industrialization and Enterprise Development, Standard Investment Bank)


“A free port facility will create up to 200,000 jobs in the Coast immediately it is complete,” DWU general secretary Simon Sang said in a statement.
mwekez@ji
#168 Posted : Sunday, July 28, 2013 11:38:53 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
murchr
#169 Posted : Monday, July 29, 2013 1:54:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Quote:
Executives in companies that have issued securities in Kenya’s capital market are set to come under renewed scrutiny as the regulator seeks increased supervisory powers in rules meant to boost Kenya’s quest to be a global financial hub.

Through the Capital Markets (Amendment) Bill, 2013 that came up for debate in parliament on Thursday, the Capital Markets Authority is seeking to tighten the noose on insider trading and other market abuses by sealing legal loopholes that made it almost impossible for the regulator to prove cases of insider trading in court.


Obiero be warned smile
http://www.theeastafrica...84/-/nnufjl/-/index.html
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
hisah
#170 Posted : Monday, July 29, 2013 5:46:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
murchr wrote:
Quote:
Executives in companies that have issued securities in Kenya’s capital market are set to come under renewed scrutiny as the regulator seeks increased supervisory powers in rules meant to boost Kenya’s quest to be a global financial hub.

Through the Capital Markets (Amendment) Bill, 2013 that came up for debate in parliament on Thursday, the Capital Markets Authority is seeking to tighten the noose on insider trading and other market abuses by sealing legal loopholes that made it almost impossible for the regulator to prove cases of insider trading in court.


Obiero be warned smile
http://www.theeastafrica...4/-/nnufjl/-/index.html

Just hot air. Slap on the wrist punishment for gross misconduct will be it. Happens in the top markets and KE operations are not different to the same setups...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#171 Posted : Monday, July 29, 2013 5:50:07 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
I too just like WB have been wondering how milk prices can be more volatile than crude oil?! The KE oil cartel must be envious of the milk processors cartel?! Milk should be included in VAT to arrest this rampant price manipulation that hits on the inflation index.

http://www.businessdaily...98/-/yecoex/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#172 Posted : Monday, July 29, 2013 6:47:14 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
I too just like WB have been wondering how milk prices can be more volatile than crude oil?! The KE oil cartel must be envious of the milk processors cartel?! Milk should be included in VAT to arrest this rampant price manipulation that hits on the inflation index.

http://www.businessdaily...8/-/yecoex/-/index.html


Don't you know cows refuse? Ha ha...i guess the weather is a great determinant here.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
mwekez@ji
#173 Posted : Monday, July 29, 2013 10:57:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Good news for common mwananchi and inflation >>> House team keeps essential goods out of VAT bracket
... & KQ has been given a life line ;-)
mwekez@ji
#174 Posted : Monday, July 29, 2013 11:20:38 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Kenya seeks closer ties with Ethiopia in three-day trade mission.

The Ministry of East African affairs, Commerce and Tourism has led a delegation including the Kenya Association of Manufacturers for a three day trade mission to Ethiopia. The delegation comprises over 40 senior government officials and captains of industry who plan to establish closer ties between the two countries. This is the first visit since the two countries signed a Special Status Agreement (SSA) was signed in 2012, which allowed Kenyan businesses to start businesses in Ethiopia. Several strategic industrial areas will be represented in the trip including food and beverage, metals, building and construction and paper. Ethiopia has consistently insisted that it would maintain control on some key sectors specifically telecommunications, power, finance and logistics with the aim of protecting its citizens against exploitation. Being one of the most populous nations in Africa with a population of 90m people, Ethiopia has despite the challenges managed to sustained double digit economic growth over the last decade, placing it among the strongest performing economies in Sub-Sahara Africa and one of the countries that are making good progress in reducing poverty levels. (The Standard, Standard Investment Bank)
mwekez@ji
#175 Posted : Tuesday, July 30, 2013 7:47:30 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji
#176 Posted : Tuesday, July 30, 2013 12:33:47 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Kenya’s Rotich Says Very Little to No Room for Further Rate Cuts

Kenya may not have any room left to cut interest rates further this year as the inflation outlook for East Africa’s biggest economy detoriorates, Treasury Secretary Henry Rotich said.

The Monetary Policy Committee, led by central bank Governor Njuguna Ndung’u, will review the benchmark interest rate again in September and November, after leaving it unchanged at 8.5 percent this month. Kenya has cut the rate by 9.5 percentage points since the easing cycle began last year.

“There is very little room if any left for more monetary easing because inflation is picking up,” Rotich said in an interview today in the capital, Nairobi. “Inflation could accelerate, but remain within our target.”

Annual inflation accelerated to 4.9 percent in June from 4.1 percent in May, according to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, staying within the government’s target of 2.5 percentage points above or below 5 percent. The statistics office is expected to release July inflation data tomorrow.


New taxes may fan inflation, according to Deloitte. Kenya introduced a railway development levy of 1.5 percent on all imported goods from July 1, while lawmakers are debating a bill in which the government wants to scrap exemptions of the 16 percent Value Added Tax on some processed products.

Rotich said the shilling is expected to stablize at about 85 per dollar “as long as fundamentals such as inflation are in order.” The shilling is Africa’s second-worst performing currency this month, after Ghana’s cedi. The currency was trading unchanged at 87.30 per dollar by 2:14 p.m. in Nairobi, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Kenya’s plan to sell its first Eurobonds in September or October to raise $1 billion to fund infrastructure is moving forward, according to Rotich. “Global market conditions have not changed significantly and we expect they will still favour us when we sell this year,” he said.


Economic growth is expected to accelerate to 5.8 percent this year from 4.6 percent in 2012,
according to Rotich. The country is the world’s biggest exporter of black tea and supplies a third of all of the flowers traded in Europe.
mwekez@ji
#177 Posted : Wednesday, July 31, 2013 12:34:31 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
hisah
#178 Posted : Wednesday, July 31, 2013 1:00:51 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
July inflation hits 6% - http://www.nation.co.ke/...0/-/cihs02/-/index.html

Bottomed out, now heading north. CBK is 9%. Above that level stocks begin to slid.

VAT bill on the way, volatile oil, current account deficit... Sovereign bond saving grace for now...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mlennyma
#179 Posted : Wednesday, July 31, 2013 1:28:38 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
Iam about to press my nse exit button.keenly watching a combination of factors including political intorelance.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
newfarer
#180 Posted : Wednesday, July 31, 2013 1:53:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/19/2010
Posts: 3,504
Location: Uganda

why water for western and nyanza?
why not ukambani and north EASTERN?
punda amecheka
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