I have just heard that Natwood liquidated this afternoon.

Only website up & running is Natwood. I cant seem to load Olympia Kenya or Plush-Yokota. That is never a good sign.

*** Longships - I am getting worried. On the other hand,who is buying the shares on the NSE?

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB

@ Vitu

True! One cannot just act on hearsay; 'people who work there told me' or ati 'i heard'. Better to lose k coz you misread the mkt than to miss out on profits coz u flow with the wind like a flag. A company going into receivership is normally public knowledge,newspapers etc. I have my doubts about longslips.

Especially coz he is a new pinger! If it was a known pinger,I would be quaking in my boots! But who is this Longslips who hears things before all else?



When buying shares,ask yourself,would you buy the whole company?

This counter could be the best counter in the entire NSE when it comes to risk factor. It is only a matter of time,,,,,but only for the patient. I have been stock pilling - lowering my average cost price(8.45). just do your analysis

I hope you are wrong BUT I also concede that you may know more than us since you are in the business. The website does show/tell us more. Look at KQ which had decent 1H results than wham! They showed a huge hedging loss in 2H that wiped out 1H profits & prior year profits.

* Other firms that took a huge hit in the price include Co-op Bank & Safaricom whose models remain profitable except for a few hitches.

**Please continue following this thread since we may have questions to ask you regarding the business.

*** BTW,nice website! The products look great. Perhaps Plush should have collaborated with you rather than competed!

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB

I bought 1,000 shares of this thing about a year back at 14. Buying decision was based on the fact that I didn't know the company apart from the fact that it shed the name Dunlop at some point. It was mysterious and alluring. Today,I still don't know it,so @mainat I can confidently say that there is no strategy.

On December 2 2008,in response to a thread relating to OCH's 1/2 yr results,I posted the following statements below,which I have copied below for ease of reference....

'I held this counter for quite a long time back from the days when the NSE was a sterling performer. I am afraid to say that this counter was and has been a major disapointment. I have not seen anything from the recent results to dispel this conclusion.

The commentary on results invariably starts with excuses for poor or below target performance. The results are invariably late (3 months for the most recent interim results) and are never published in the press. The second half of the year practically ALWAYS tends to be lower than the first half. That means any projections made from 1st half results turn out to be OVERLY OPTIMISTIC. They have also changed their Auditors at least 3 times in the last 5 years. All these issues smack of very poor corporate governance if not poor management!

In the prospectus for the rights issue they talked of deepening their investments in the whole spectrum of the building industry. They have now turned around and are presenting themselves as an investment company. This leads me to question how sure they are of their strategy or if they are just fumbling.

Note the company only managed to pay a dividend for the first time in a zillion years from the proceeds of the rights issue - and even then it was a paltry 20 cents. Further,their main new investments are in South Africa in a niche part of the residential real estate space. This part of the South African real estate sector has bombed. Their lastest Kenyan acquisition was in Mather & Platt - a company thet Centum divested from after years of loss making. With all these factors at play,and the counter trading at a forward PE of over 15 at a time when bargains are a plenty on the NSE,I am afraid that this is a counter that I would not touch with a 10 feet pole!'

IT SEEMS THAT THINGS HAVE ONLY GOTTEN WORSE EVER SINCE. HOWEVER,I DO HOPE IT IS NOT AS BAD AS LONGSLIPS HAS INDICATED,ALTHOUGH I AINT HOLDING MY BREATH.


Opportunity calls but few respond.