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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
mwekez@ji
#3321 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 10:55:25 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
>>>How to tell the stock market has bottomed out. >>> Treasury securities interest rates decline further and expectation of further decline maintained >>> For the 5th straight auction, short-term gilt rates declined weighed down by high demand. In this week’s auction, the 182 day T-Bill shaved off a further 55bp to 9.43% a level last seen in January. Performance rate on the instrument remained high at 268%. Also on auction this week was the 364 T-bill. The weighted average rate of accepted bids on this paper declined by 105bp, on the back of a 472% performance rate. The highlight of the week was the auction of the re-opened 20 year paper at a coupon of 12%. Against the target KES 10bn on offer, the paper attracted bids of KES 25.88bn at a market average weighted rate of 13.31%, down 57bp. The weighted average rate of accepted bids on the 20 year declined 71bp to 12.981% (interestingly, notwithstanding the disparity between the market average bid rate and the accepted rate, CBK was able to fully fill up the offer). As at start of trading today, the 20 year has traded at levels of 12.2%, adding further impetus to markets expectation of further decline in rates. (Central Bank of Kenya, Standard Investment Bank)
kazee
#3322 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 11:26:39 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/18/2006
Posts: 131
hisah wrote:
EABL melt up continues. Trades @410. Next aim 500!?



@Hisah Appears like it has finally topped out at 420?
hisah
#3323 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 11:29:26 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
kazee wrote:
hisah wrote:
EABL melt up continues. Trades @410. Next aim 500!?



@Hisah Appears like it has finally topped out at 420?

Taking breather. The melt up will resume. Very similar to Bralirwa.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3324 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 11:33:26 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mwekez@ji wrote:
>>>How to tell the stock market has bottomed out. >>> Treasury securities interest rates decline further and expectation of further decline maintained >>> For the 5th straight auction, short-term gilt rates declined weighed down by high demand. In this week’s auction, the 182 day T-Bill shaved off a further 55bp to 9.43% a level last seen in January. Performance rate on the instrument remained high at 268%. Also on auction this week was the 364 T-bill. The weighted average rate of accepted bids on this paper declined by 105bp, on the back of a 472% performance rate. The highlight of the week was the auction of the re-opened 20 year paper at a coupon of 12%. Against the target KES 10bn on offer, the paper attracted bids of KES 25.88bn at a market average weighted rate of 13.31%, down 57bp. The weighted average rate of accepted bids on the 20 year declined 71bp to 12.981% (interestingly, notwithstanding the disparity between the market average bid rate and the accepted rate, CBK was able to fully fill up the offer). As at start of trading today, the 20 year has traded at levels of 12.2%, adding further impetus to markets expectation of further decline in rates. (Central Bank of Kenya, Standard Investment Bank)

Too much liquid in money markets. Good for CBK to raise funds. Those rates are definitely going down.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mwekez@ji
#3325 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 11:47:32 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
hisah wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
>>>How to tell the stock market has bottomed out. >>> Treasury securities interest rates decline further and expectation of further decline maintained >>> For the 5th straight auction, short-term gilt rates declined weighed down by high demand. In this week’s auction, the 182 day T-Bill shaved off a further 55bp to 9.43% a level last seen in January. Performance rate on the instrument remained high at 268%. Also on auction this week was the 364 T-bill. The weighted average rate of accepted bids on this paper declined by 105bp, on the back of a 472% performance rate. The highlight of the week was the auction of the re-opened 20 year paper at a coupon of 12%. Against the target KES 10bn on offer, the paper attracted bids of KES 25.88bn at a market average weighted rate of 13.31%, down 57bp. The weighted average rate of accepted bids on the 20 year declined 71bp to 12.981% (interestingly, notwithstanding the disparity between the market average bid rate and the accepted rate, CBK was able to fully fill up the offer). As at start of trading today, the 20 year has traded at levels of 12.2%, adding further impetus to markets expectation of further decline in rates. (Central Bank of Kenya, Standard Investment Bank)

Too much liquid in money markets. Good for CBK to raise funds. Those rates are definitely going down.


The liquidity is also good for stock market. smile ... Further interest rate melt down is more music to the stock market smile smile
mwekez@ji
#3326 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 11:52:27 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
@murchr, it would be best if you supported your hypothesis preferably with numbers. .... On matter of morning Vs afternoon, i can tell that afternoons are by and large more active coz both europeans and americans are in the market in the afternoons


@Mwekez@ji next time the server crashes ill inform you na tutaangalia volumes.. Sawa??


Sawaz ...


@Mwekez@ji it also looks like we are down this morning though no officials communications from management!

Check volumes


Checking. Current Turnover, KES 39.83M - 10.20am


...KES 50.54M, 10.53am


...KES 76.81M, 11.52am
mwekez@ji
#3327 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 12:51:21 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
@murchr, it would be best if you supported your hypothesis preferably with numbers. .... On matter of morning Vs afternoon, i can tell that afternoons are by and large more active coz both europeans and americans are in the market in the afternoons


@Mwekez@ji next time the server crashes ill inform you na tutaangalia volumes.. Sawa??


Sawaz ...


@Mwekez@ji it also looks like we are down this morning though no officials communications from management!

Check volumes


Checking. Current Turnover, KES 39.83M - 10.20am


...KES 50.54M, 10.53am


...KES 76.81M, 11.52am


...KES 112.45M 12.51pm
mkeiyd
#3328 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 12:52:04 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 1,182
guru267 wrote:

@Mwekez@ji it also looks like we are down this morning though no officials communications from management!

Check volumes


Word out is, they are having issues with their system.
mwekez@ji
#3329 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 1:51:12 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mkeiyd wrote:
guru267 wrote:

@Mwekez@ji it also looks like we are down this morning though no officials communications from management!

Check volumes


Word out is, they are having issues with their system.


Does this mean that all you D&B clients cannot execute your deals (even email/hardcopy orders)
mwekez@ji
#3330 Posted : Thursday, May 23, 2013 1:52:57 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
@murchr, it would be best if you supported your hypothesis preferably with numbers. .... On matter of morning Vs afternoon, i can tell that afternoons are by and large more active coz both europeans and americans are in the market in the afternoons


@Mwekez@ji next time the server crashes ill inform you na tutaangalia volumes.. Sawa??


Sawaz ...


@Mwekez@ji it also looks like we are down this morning though no officials communications from management!

Check volumes


Checking. Current Turnover, KES 39.83M - 10.20am


...KES 50.54M, 10.53am


...KES 76.81M, 11.52am


...KES 112.45M, 12.51pm


...KES 182.85M, 01.52pm
569 Pages«<331332333334335>»
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