I&M Bank has reported 2012 EPS at 134/- (or something close to it) with a weak increase in earnings in Kenya due to high cost of deposits & volatile forex environment.
Assumptions: I expect a 20% increase in 2013 with a boost from Rwanda (acquired in mid-2012) & Kenya (2013 is calmer, elections are over, interest rates have stabilized, loans will grow).
Tanzania and Mauritius will probably be steady performers.
134 x 120% = 161 (EPS based on current number of I&M shares) which when adjusted for the split (post-merger) = almost 12/-
If we use an PER of 10 then this is 120/- per share. If I calculate backwards then current City Trust should trade at 120 x 5 = 600 vs last traded price of 448
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett