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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
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dunkang
#2701 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 12:10:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,818
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
And Jubilee has decided to wear its own uniform. RED
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

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hisah
#2702 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 1:58:35 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
dunkang wrote:
And Jubilee has decided to wear its own uniform. RED

The insurance buses are reversing back to the stage after realizing they left a lot of stranded passengers smile Those wanjikus that boarded the buses while on full speed sustained injuries.

For now the election petition is creating an interesting spin of events and charging up the insurance fear. I like this. Once that barrier is cleared, the buses become rockets for good... Stay tuned.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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VituVingiSana
#2703 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 2:37:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,292
Location: Nairobi
KQ results out May/June. A disaster is coming.

Though if you read Satchu's stuff:

"It is a strong Wind but the bad News has been Factored in. The Upside is the Only Game in Town for Kenya Airways. It can go Up like the Plane that never lands under the Uplifting Hand of Titus"

KQ had to 're-employ' the 800 or so staff it fired. It has cut flights & seats to Europe. It has increased Africa connectivity but are these profitable yet?

The Rights Issue expenses may be included in the EOY results thus higher costs.

KK results will be much lower than my expectations [I though 2H would be break-even to strong but the Profit Warning dissuaded me] though I remain (biased?) confident that there will be another buyer knocking on the door by 2014. In the meantime, Segman has to perform in 2013.

Mumias - Losses all the way.
No cane = No sugar = No sales = No revenue
No cane = No molasses = No alcohol = No revenue
No cane = No bagasse = No raw material for power plant = No power = No revenue
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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kazee
#2704 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 2:39:56 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/18/2006
Posts: 131
hisah wrote:
dunkang wrote:
And Jubilee has decided to wear its own uniform. RED

The insurance buses are reversing back to the stage after realizing they left a lot of stranded passengers smile Those wanjikus that boarded the buses while on full speed sustained injuries.

For now the election petition is creating an interesting spin of events and charging up the insurance fear. I like this. Once that barrier is cleared, the buses become rockets for good... Stay tuned.



Demand is building up on most counters. The rally might reinvent itself at around tuesday/wednesday next week.
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murchr
#2705 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 2:49:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mwekez@ji wrote:
dunkang wrote:
hisah wrote:
murchr wrote:
@Mwekez@ji, where r the updates on buyers and sellers?

They avoided the stampede by being net sellers...


Effects of the Kibra Rally? The market started fainting the day after.


Local investors need to develop a thick skin to get to the promised land coz by and large, they are the net sellers and while foreigners have remained the net buyers. .... The market has alot of headroom and the foreigners are playing well against locals


Asante @mwekez@ji...seems locals get excited by 10% increases.

ChessMaster wrote:

Can't remember who said it,but they said foreigners could be locals using foreign based companies as proxies


And I said, it cant be..the volumes are just too high these are people coming to take advantage of the 50-60% gains. I understand NSE was discussed on (Quest means business) CNN.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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hisah
#2706 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 2:54:11 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Btw today is a bloodbath intraday on both the FTSE NSE15 and 25. Intraday the indices have shed -5.90% and -5.63% which is threatening to reverse the entire berserk rally from Monday. The heavy slide is coming from mpesa bank, BBK and Equity.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Metasploit
#2707 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 2:57:01 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
@Mwekezaji,what is the foreign participation on equity bank (% buy and sell)?
I have got a net buy of 18% from live.mystocks.co.ke

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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dunkang
#2708 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 2:57:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,818
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
kazee wrote:
hisah wrote:
dunkang wrote:
And Jubilee has decided to wear its own uniform. RED

The insurance buses are reversing back to the stage after realizing they left a lot of stranded passengers smile Those wanjikus that boarded the buses while on full speed sustained injuries.

For now the election petition is creating an interesting spin of events and charging up the insurance fear. I like this. Once that barrier is cleared, the buses become rockets for good... Stay tuned.



Demand is building up on most counters. The rally might reinvent itself at around tuesday/wednesday next week.


FORGET! FORGET! FORGET!
Until after the election petition is dealt with, don't look at the Market with a smile.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

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hisah
#2709 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 3:51:06 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
FTSE NSE15 and 25 close the week having erased the entire euphoric rally. NSE20 should also close at 4700 or slightly below. Many wanjikus are definitely trapped by the well laid post election euphoria bull trap. Next time don't come late to the party.

Now that sanity is back in fashion kazi iendelee...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mwekez@ji
#2710 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 7:21:59 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Metasploit wrote:
@Mwekezaji,what is the foreign participation on equity bank (% buy and sell)?
I have got a net buy of 18% from live.mystocks.co.ke .


this counter was the highest mover today with a turnover of KES 234.8M. Foreign buys were 78.4% of that while foreign sells were 60.2%. ... CFCFS used to have a very good Online Trading System that had separate columns for the foreign buys Vs foreign sells unlike mystocks which only gives the net figure. I am yet to know any other system that gives the foreign buys and sells in two separate columns. Anybody in the know pls inform
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mwenza
#2711 Posted : Friday, March 15, 2013 9:43:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2009
Posts: 2,863
hisah wrote:
FTSE NSE15 and 25 close the week having erased the entire euphoric rally. NSE20 should also close at 4700 or slightly below. Many wanjikus are definitely trapped by the well laid post election euphoria bull trap. Next time don't come late to the party.

Now that sanity is back in fashion kazi iendelee...


Got a gut feeling that many seasoned traders were also caught up in the loop.
IF YOU EXPECT ME TO POST ANYTHING POSITIVE ABOUT ASENO, YOU MAY AS WELL SIT ON A PIN
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theking
#2712 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 11:14:09 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/25/2010
Posts: 344
bright Monday morning,green slowly replacing red in the market REA PAFR TCL Kengen NBK leading the pack SASINI Safcom NIC WTK Uchumi trailing
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hisah
#2713 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 11:43:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
theking wrote:
bright Monday morning,green slowly replacing red in the market REA PAFR TCL Kengen NBK leading the pack SASINI Safcom NIC WTK Uchumi trailing

From the FTSE NSE15 and 25 positioning the market will either be flat or gain some. Downside momentum for now is overextended and a bounce is due.

Globally, equities are a sea of red due to that Cyprus deposits raid (tax on deposits) for bailout money. This has rattled markets and europe season which just opened is selling off.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2714 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 12:15:13 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
So far Mpesa bank and EABL pulling up the FTSE NSE indices back in green.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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theking
#2715 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 12:48:12 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/25/2010
Posts: 344
i like the way CIC n CFCI traders play around with the market. CIC supply has been cleared out. next wl b CFCI. the rally is just about to begin
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SittingPretty
#2716 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 1:09:23 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/16/2013
Posts: 123
Location: MSA
theking wrote:
i like the way CIC n CFCI traders play around with the market. CIC supply has been cleared out. next wl b CFCI. the rally is just about to begin

... would it be wrong to say this counters are being manipulated by supply? The small trades, and lifting the prices and in 5 mins supply is wiped outd'oh!
Timely advice is as lovely as golden apples in a silver basket. Proverbs 25:11
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streetwise
#2717 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 1:46:13 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
At this rate we need a true online system the changes are not only sudden but also there is hardly any steady state to react.
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theking
#2718 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 1:59:21 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/25/2010
Posts: 344
SittingPretty wrote:
theking wrote:
i like the way CIC n CFCI traders play around with the market. CIC supply has been cleared out. next wl b CFCI. the rally is just about to begin

... would it be wrong to say this counters are being manipulated by supply? The small trades, and lifting the prices and in 5 mins supply is wiped outd'oh!


1:57p.m. DEMAND 676,100 5.40/= zero SUPPLY having done a low of 4.80/=. casino game
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streetwise
#2719 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 2:54:50 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
I would greatly love to see a trend graph of the volumes traded in this counter over the last two weeks.
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hisah
#2720 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2013 3:41:15 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
streetwise wrote:
I would greatly love to see a trend graph of the volumes traded in this counter over the last two weeks.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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