Candidate Votes %
Uhuru 5159344 50.39564143
Raila 4516660 44.11800761
Madvd 369491 3.609128593
PK 62265 0.608194494
Dida 49084 0.479444608
Karua 36890 0.36033558
Kiyapi 32600 0.318431551
Muite 11345 0.110816133
Total 10237679
239 Constituencies
Time 17:35pm
Magic Number 5118839.5

10% vote not tallied

90% of tallied vote hit magic number over 50% + 1 officially hit.

With a normal distribution through the election(bell curve + or - 4 %) thorough the balance, it will e also 50+1 with the 10%remaining, (10% of 291 = 29 (or 30 contingencies remaining) is obviously 50 + 1, especially given rift and perhaps Meru is carrying the bulk of remaining distribution.

You can with a statistical certainty of 98% say even digitally, Jubilee has hit the 50 + 1 rule.

Prove me wrong

Uliza Steadman

a quick API to help wazua calculate this
package org.iebc.prezzo.votes;

import java.util.Scanner;

/**
* @author xxxx yyyy
*
*/
public class WinnerCalculator {

/**
* @param args
*/
public static void main(String[] args) {
// TODO Auto-generated method stub

/*
* @non-javaDocs
* Prompt user to enter totalVotesCast,
* 2d prompt - UhuruVotes
*/
Scanner scan = new Scanner(System.in);
System.out.println("Enter total Votes Cast: ");
int totalCast = scan.nextInt();
System.out.println("Enter Uhuru votes: ");
int uhuruVotes = scan.nextInt();

// This sh*t returns true if second roundi :)
System.out.println("Is Second round? : " + isSeccondRound(totalCast, uhuruVotes));
// test data
// isSeccondRound(10115704, 3115704)
}

/**
* evaluate if runoff
*
* @param totalVotesCast (not null)
* @param uhuruVotes (not null)
*
* @return isSecondRound - true or false
*/
public static boolean isSeccondRound(int totalVotesCast, int uhuruVotes) {

int fifty_Percent_Plus_One = 0;

fifty_Percent_Plus_One = totalVotesCast / 2;
int _holder = uhuruVotes - fifty_Percent_Plus_One;

// conditional if
return (_holder < 1 ? true : false); // runoff if true else nope
}
}

Out put with sample data
Enter total Votes Cast:
10115704
Enter Uhuru votes:
6115704
Is Second round? : false