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IEBC Official Results - Form 36 - Bomas of Kenya
Magigi
#561 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:10:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/31/2008
Posts: 7,081
Location: Kenya
Some of the outstanding constituencies: Maara, Buuri, Chuka, Chuka/IgaraNgombe, Tharaka, Manyatta, Mbeere South, Bahati, Nakuru Town, Njoro, Molo, Olkalou, Ndaragwa, Kieni, Kangema, Othaya, Nakuru South, Narok North, Konoin, Emurwa Dikkir, Kilgoris, Marakwet East, Marakwet West, Baringo North, Baringo South, Tiaty, Kesses, Saboti, Endebes, Tongeren, Ikolomani, Turbo, Sabatia, Luanda, Mbita, Kaloleni, Tala Mbala, North Horr, Fafi.

Others include: Isiolo North, Turkana South, Loima, Turkana East, Kapenguria, Samburu West, Samburu North, Samburu East, Suna East, Suna West, West Mugirango, Matungulu, Mavoko, Kangundo, Mathare, Navakholo, Teso North, Teso South, Rangwe, Ndhiwa, Kitutu Masaba, Starehe, Narok South and Narok West, Nyatike.
http://www.nation.co.ke/...2/-/aygk5a/-/index.html

Lets support whoever wins.

sparkly
#562 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:10:53 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mukiha wrote:
The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


@Mukiha funny way to look at it. You are ware that even the 82% is an approximation that could range between 81.51%-82.44%.

mathematically speaking, when dealing with the figure of 14,352,545 of regd voters, 0.000007% is a whole person! that would determine whether we have a run off or not.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Marty
#563 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:11:02 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/31/2008
Posts: 761
Location: Nairobi
mukiha wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
mukiha wrote:
The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


They both mean the same. 50% plus 1 vote is much more precise n clear.It is the minimum by which one can win.


Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 5.

Now do you see the difference?


@Mukiha, are you a teacher?
When I admire the wonder of a sunset or the beauty
of the moon, my soul expands in worship of the Creator.
IT'd
#564 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:11:56 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/25/2010
Posts: 111
Location: Nairobi
Balambala Rao 6,970k Uk 6,339
Mavoko Rao 421,85k Uk 15,109
Mvita Rao 39,096k Uk 17,565
Kisauni Rao 39,196 Uk 10,884
jomvu Rao 23,221 uk 7,332

copy pasted.

xyzee
#565 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:16:02 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/9/2009
Posts: 1,262
Mdvd concedes defete and promises to work with the winner.

In other news Muite is still waiting for returns from his strongholds.
Kratos
#566 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:16:40 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/19/2011
Posts: 1,694
Bura Constituency: Raila 10,130, Uhuru 10,424

Nyali Constituency: Raila 35,419, Uhuru 13,867

Bomet East Constituency: Raila 1,202, Uhuru 35,010

Turkana Central Constituency: Raila 13,277, Uhuru 11,254

Sigor Constituency: Raila 5,739, Uhuru 13,626

Kiminini Constituency: Raila 25,643, Uhuru 9,505

Pokot South Constituency: Raila 5,752, Uhuru 24,981

Turkana West Constituency: Raila 10,730, Uhuru 4,696

North Imenti Constituency: Raila 4,685, Uhuru 48,165

Central Imenti Constituency: Raila 2,697, Uhuru 41,082

Mbeere North Constituency: Raila 916, Uhuru 30,555

Laisamis Constituency: Raila 9,567, Uhuru 7,658

Sirisia Constituency: Raila 16,057, Uhuru 1,135

Igembe North Constituency: Raila 2,820, Uhuru 36, 983

Webuye East Constituency: Raila 16,401, Uhuru 992

Butula Constituency: Raila 33,585, Uhuru 282

Lugari Constituency: Raila 27,446, Uhuru 1,186

Butere Constituency: Raila 34,912, Uhuru 524

Lurambi Constituency: Raila 30,876, Uhuru 2,366

Mumias West Constituency: Raila 26,521, Uhuru 692

Mt Elgon Constituency: Raila 7,958, Uhuru 29,286

Gichugu Constituency: Raila 829, Uhuru 57,104

Thika Town Constituency: Raila 16,389, Uhuru 71,358

Kabete Constituency: Raila 2,547, Uhuru 54,233

Roysambu Constituency: Raila 18,827, Uhuru 69,751

Lari Constituency: Raila 733, Uhuru 55,232

Dagoreti South Constituency: Raila 21,606, Uhuru 51,272

“People will believe a big lie sooner than a little one, and if you repeat it frequently enough, people will sooner or later believe it.” ― Walter C. Langer
QD
#567 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:19:15 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2009
Posts: 597
Think i need the cast figures to do my percentages.
Anyone with the current official cast votes?
The problem with the world is that the intelligent people are full of doubts while the stupid ones are full of confidence
Rahatupu
#568 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:20:06 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
xyzee wrote:
Mdvd concedes defete and promises to work with the winner.

In other news Muite is still waiting for returns from his strongholds.



Na za Dida bado.
Forester
#569 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:26:07 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/7/2010
Posts: 520
Location: Epicentre - Ngamia 1
Nithii votes zinacome, be patient...

Build your own dreams, or someone else will hire you to build theirs - Farrah Gray.
simonkabz
#570 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:30:11 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
Forester wrote:
Nithii votes zinacome, be patient...



Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Umenimada walai Laughing out loudly
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
141 Pages«<5556575859>»
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