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Google Spreadsheet with Projection from Official Results
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Mpenzi
#31 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 9:27:50 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 10/17/2008
Posts: 1,234
And Mars Group is stuck at 182 constituencies

http://election2013.mars...ya.org/results/official/
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QD
#32 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 9:33:37 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2009
Posts: 597
@Gladiator looking at your spreadsheet there seem to be many assumptions hence probabilistic errors.
In majority of the already called constituency you give the horses same figures.
Examples
Kirinyaga Central 53610 .
The problem with the world is that the intelligent people are full of doubts while the stupid ones are full of confidence
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QD
#33 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 9:37:07 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2009
Posts: 597
Deleted
The problem with the world is that the intelligent people are full of doubts while the stupid ones are full of confidence
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jaggernaut
#34 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:36:45 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/9/2008
Posts: 5,389
@gladiator. Update hiyo kitu.
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gladiator
#35 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:22:23 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/25/2006
Posts: 101
I have not had time to update the latest 20 results that were given out in the past hour (had meetings to attend to-gotta earn my keep you know)

Even though some figures in the spreadsheet from before differ slightly from the displayed due to misentry, accounting for those minor errors & looking at back of the envelope calculations from the 20 that have just been given combined with the previous projection, I can predict with about 90% certainity that Uhuru will go over 50%+1 and be declared president within the night.
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alma
#36 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:29:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/20/2007
Posts: 4,432
how come everyone is coming up with different numbers? How hard is bodmas?
Jose: If I make it through this thug life, I'll see you one day. The Lord is the only way to stop the hurt.
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Kratos
#37 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:35:03 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/19/2011
Posts: 1,694
gladiator wrote:
I have not had time to update the latest 20 results that were given out in the past hour (had meetings to attend to-gotta earn my keep you know)

Even though some figures in the spreadsheet from before differ slightly from the displayed due to misentry, accounting for those minor errors & looking at back of the envelope calculations from the 20 that have just been given combined with the previous projection, I can predict with about 90% certainity that Uhuru will go over 50%+1 and be declared president within the night.


Are your figures inclusive of these

Quote:
The constituencies whose results the coalition claimed had been left out of the tabulated results include Kitui South, Kubuachai, Changamwe, Kanduyi, Homa Bay ,Ganze ,Vihiga, Khamisi, Magarini, Kitutu Chache, and Mumias East.



“People will believe a big lie sooner than a little one, and if you repeat it frequently enough, people will sooner or later believe it.” ― Walter C. Langer
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Shak
#38 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:49:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/22/2009
Posts: 2,449
Location: Africa
Kratos wrote:
gladiator wrote:
I have not had time to update the latest 20 results that were given out in the past hour (had meetings to attend to-gotta earn my keep you know)

Even though some figures in the spreadsheet from before differ slightly from the displayed due to misentry, accounting for those minor errors & looking at back of the envelope calculations from the 20 that have just been given combined with the previous projection, I can predict with about 90% certainity that Uhuru will go over 50%+1 and be declared president within the night.


Are your figures inclusive of these

Quote:
The constituencies whose results the coalition claimed had been left out of the tabulated results include Kitui South, Kubuachai, Changamwe, Kanduyi, Homa Bay ,Ganze ,Vihiga, Khamisi, Magarini, Kitutu Chache, and Mumias East.



That is the million shilling question
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