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murchr
#11 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:07:33 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
McReggae wrote:
Opinion polls do not factor in turnout!!!


Tyranny does
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Bigchick
#12 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:07:52 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
Tom Wolf said.........."Mimi nafikiri .......pengine watu wengine wana tudanganya.....sielewi kabisa kabisa...."

Therein lies the answer.

But for Infotrack the problem maybe different and more serious than kudanganywa.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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Lucid_Iam
#13 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:13:29 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2011
Posts: 483
McReggae wrote:
Opinion polls do not factor in turnout!!!

Did you know this all along? Could that be the reason WR said wengine ni Rais wa opinion polls peke yake.

My greatest disappointment with this polls was Nairobi, how could they get it this wrong. Margin unlikely to be grater that 3% while they had predicted 11%. Mutahi Ngunyi warned about this, he must be the only credible analyst we have around.
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xtina
#14 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:21:30 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/26/2008
Posts: 405
McReggae wrote:
Opinion polls do not factor in turnout!!!


Applause Applause Applause Applause Applause Applause Applause Applause Applause

This is what a4architect said when he first brought the Excel sheets. a4architect, come out from your hiding smile
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Euge
#15 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:32:07 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/4/2008
Posts: 2,849
Location: Rupi
simonkabz wrote:
They showed my guy PK with between 1.9~3.5%. They were so so wrong. Same to madvd who was overated. Dida n mapengo had been zero rated.


smile
Lord, thank you!
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mpobiz
#16 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 8:35:33 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/10/2010
Posts: 2,275
Bigchick wrote:
Tom Wolf said.........."Mimi nafikiri .......pengine watu wengine wana tudanganya.....sielewi kabisa kabisa...."

Therein lies the answer.

But for Infotrack the problem maybe different and more serious than kudanganywa.


Thats why its called a secret ballot. Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Politics is just things to keep the people divided and foolish and put your trust in men and none of them can do nothing for you...
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Intelligentsia
#17 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 9:53:30 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/1/2009
Posts: 2,436
KulaRaha wrote:
What will PK do now? Back to selling insurance? So sad Kenyans are not ready for real change.


Still coming round to the idea that Gatanga folks rejected him resoundingly with a paltry 900+ votes, RAO even had a bigger slice with 5,000+ votes! Yet his main strength was his 'development record' there.

@Thimioni ebu explain what cut - he was my favorite until the eleventh hr...spoke to some Gatanga folks and they didnt have much to say about him.
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madollar
#18 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 9:57:23 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,040
Location: GA
What about the media houses who commisioned this pollsters to churn out this polls on a weekly basis particulary royal media services .Would really like to know how much they paid. at least the politicians never invested a dime in them.......
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simonkabz
#19 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:17:26 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
Intelligentsia wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
What will PK do now? Back to selling insurance? So sad Kenyans are not ready for real change.


Still coming round to the idea that Gatanga folks rejected him resoundingly with a paltry 900+ votes, RAO even had a bigger slice with 5,000+ votes! Yet his main strength was his 'development record' there.

@Thimioni ebu explain what cut - he was my favorite until the eleventh hr...spoke to some Gatanga folks and they didnt have much to say about him.


Those are haters, or UK fanatics to be precise.

1. Today morning, Mutegi Njau of Cord TV said it like it is, Gatanga people never gave PK the mandate to run for president, same for Martha n Kiyiapi. They Wanted the guy to run for governer of Muranga county and to support UK. When he refused, he angered them. They told him he had jumped the gun.

2. Rumours started flying that PK is RAO's stooge in central. His image was completely soiled, as the lad is totally innocent. Infact, he is more closer to UK. Other rumours said he was a stooge of the west.

3. Railaphobia was too powerful a factor, many gatangans swore not to WASTE THEIR VOTE while a RAO presidency was too imminent. That is how the TNA wave swept the people of Gatanga........to the dustbin!
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
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Kratos
#20 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:22:07 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/19/2011
Posts: 1,694
simonkabz wrote:
Intelligentsia wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
What will PK do now? Back to selling insurance? So sad Kenyans are not ready for real change.


Still coming round to the idea that Gatanga folks rejected him resoundingly with a paltry 900+ votes, RAO even had a bigger slice with 5,000+ votes! Yet his main strength was his 'development record' there.

@Thimioni ebu explain what cut - he was my favorite until the eleventh hr...spoke to some Gatanga folks and they didnt have much to say about him.


Those are haters, or UK fanatics to be precise.

1. Today morning, Mutegi Njau of Cord TV said it like it is, Gatanga people never gave PK the mandate to run for president, same for Martha n Kiyiapi. They Wanted the guy to run for governer of Muranga county and to support UK. When he refused, he angered them. They told him he had jumped the gun.

2. Rumours started flying that PK is RAO's stooge in central. His image was completely soiled, as the lad is totally innocent. Infact, he is more closer to UK. Other rumours said he was a stooge of the west.

3. Railaphobia was too powerful a factor, many gatangans swore not to WASTE THEIR VOTE while a RAO presidency was too imminent. That is how the TNA wave swept the people of Gatanga........to the dustbin!


Very correct @Thimioni
Am sure had he run for Governor he would have won it on a landslide, it was his to take. Do you think this has ruined his chances for a stab at the presidency later on?

“People will believe a big lie sooner than a little one, and if you repeat it frequently enough, people will sooner or later believe it.” ― Walter C. Langer
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