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Why Jubilee is assured of a first Round win
holycow
#11 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:34:41 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 972
Location: Home
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Everyone has become an analysts or is is statistician.

Guess i've seen such threads and their various variants. So what do i need to be an analyst? Spreadsheet, modem and a laptop. Throw in a few statistical jargon, level of confidence, margin of error, normal or is it random distribution?
McReggae
#12 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:37:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
@Rahatupu: Eti no counter argument, people just fear reading a real analysis!!!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
digitek1
#13 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:37:26 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/3/2010
Posts: 1,797
Location: Kenya
holycow wrote:
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Everyone has become an analysts or is is statistician.

Guess i've seen such threads and their various variants. So what do i need to be an analyst? Spreadsheet, modem and a laptop. Throw in a few statistical jargon, level of confidence, margin of error, normal or is it random distribution?

no, just retweet everything that MN says or doesnt say for that matter
I may be wrong..but then I could be right
Rahatupu
#14 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:42:05 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
blueman
#15 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:47:52 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/12/2011
Posts: 237
When ROA starts complaining of vote rigging before elections, u know he might be losing; but when he surprises the nation by defending UK on land, you know he has not only lost, but he has actually admitted defeat and is seeking a job in UK's government.
We make or break our own tomorrows today!
McReggae
#16 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:49:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi



Are you sure????
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
githundi
#17 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:59:48 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/19/2010
Posts: 1,308
Location: nairobi metropolitan
Numbers.... mmmmh, they are making Rao and his brigade have sleepless nights, but the good thing is, March 4th here we come.
Democracy does not belong to the dead
harrydre
#18 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:04:39 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
poundfoolish
#19 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:07:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/2/2009
Posts: 2,458
Location: Nairobi
McReggae wrote:
Funny you assumed the tyranny of numbers part 3 that has very sound arguments backed with historical turnout and the actual registered votes......kwa debe it is!!!!


McReggea.. i did read the thread. got lost somewhere due to its length..

What i just did is look at the figures per county throw in the historical voter turnouts and voila.. with whatever adjustments possible.. Jubilee still had the edge..

even with the assumption that there is 100% turn out... the difference giving CORD an advantage is merely 210,000 votes... and thats when you give him some contested RV votes...

Unless there are more CORD voters in Jubilee zones.. this one is hard for RAO to take..
a4architect.com
#20 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:07:28 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/4/2010
Posts: 1,668
Location: nairobi
anyone willing to bet with me on the win? My bet is that Jubilee will win with 52% against CORD 43%.
As Iron Sharpens Iron, So one Man Sharpens Another.
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