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Tyrrany of numbers Part 3
McReggae
#11 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 1:11:28 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
harrydre wrote:
McReggae wrote:
harrydre wrote:
Mc, you want a bet on this? man to man?


What's the bet? Any day!!!


you pay me Kshs 10k if he garners more than 4,272,502 votes, I pay you the same if he doesn't hit that number.


....Uko na machida: The bet should be between CORD and Jubilee...the numbers are details!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
harrydre
#12 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 1:22:22 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
McReggae wrote:
harrydre wrote:
McReggae wrote:
harrydre wrote:
Mc, you want a bet on this? man to man?


What's the bet? Any day!!!


you pay me Kshs 10k if he garners more than 4,272,502 votes, I pay you the same if he doesn't hit that number.


....Uko na machida: The bet should be between CORD and Jubilee...the numbers are details!!!


LOL you are definitely scared of the tyranny of numbers!! you clearly don't agree with the simulation that you just posted up there. If UK doesn't hit 6M first round, he will be few thousands short so if turnout is not 100% country wide, then we are talking of no run-off.
i.am.back!!!!
McReggae
#13 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 7:39:43 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
harrydre wrote:
McReggae wrote:
harrydre wrote:
McReggae wrote:
harrydre wrote:
Mc, you want a bet on this? man to man?


What's the bet? Any day!!!


you pay me Kshs 10k if he garners more than 4,272,502 votes, I pay you the same if he doesn't hit that number.


....Uko na machida: The bet should be between CORD and Jubilee...the numbers are details!!!


LOL you are definitely scared of the tyranny of numbers!! you clearly don't agree with the simulation that you just posted up there. If UK doesn't hit 6M first round, he will be few thousands short so if turnout is not 100% country wide, then we are talking of no run-off.


Now who is scared stiff, the simulation simply proves that there is no basis of putting Jubilee ahead of CORD coz of the so called tyranny of numbers, my bet is that CORD will triumph over Jubilee.......whther 1st round or 2nd round...now put your money where your mouth has always been and let's get an umpire for the bet!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Jus Blazin
#14 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 8:41:32 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/23/2008
Posts: 3,966
McReggae wrote:
Jb najua lazima ungekuja kumtetea your main dish....

Main dish iko na orbit mingi.
Luck is when Preparation meets Opportunity. ~ Lucius Annaeus Seneca
innairobi
#15 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 9:19:04 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/2/2010
Posts: 845
This election has two people receiving more attention than they deserve - Mohammed Dida and Mutahi Ngunyi. The first is a clownish but very practical person and the other has everyone falling over themselves to support/discredit his theorem.

Most important, both speak very basic truths that we are all aware of but are either uncomfortable or fearful admitting.

I won't hold my breath that 50% of GEMA and 50% of Kales will vote RAO and 50% of Luos and 50% of Kaos will vote Uhuru. 90-98% of GEMA/Kales will go Uhuru and 90-98% of Luo/Kao will go RAO. The KEY question is where the remaining roughly 40% of voters will fall and whether they will even turn up to vote. That is the summary of this election.

In less than 7 days, we will see whether Kenyans have suddenly gotten 'saved' and stopped voting based on ethnicity. Ngunyi's stock will either rise to stratospheric heights (unfairly because he is not saying anything new) or his reputation will hit unprecedented lows. Ladies and gentlemen, hang on tight!
All my friends are heathens, take it slow. Wait for them to ask you who you know. Please don't make any sudden moves.
McReggae
#16 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 9:22:32 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
When people refuse to read and comprehend basic truth and resort to the one that favours them.........March 4th kwa debe!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
2012
#17 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 9:35:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
We all know that if there is a big voter turn out UhuRuto will win both rounds. Plus it's beginning to look like it might rain and rain keeps the older folks indoors to the detriment of CORD.

BBI will solve it
:)
kingfisher
#18 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 9:37:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/9/2008
Posts: 2,824
McReggae wrote:
harrydre wrote:
McReggae wrote:
harrydre wrote:
McReggae wrote:
harrydre wrote:
Mc, you want a bet on this? man to man?


What's the bet? Any day!!!


you pay me Kshs 10k if he garners more than 4,272,502 votes, I pay you the same if he doesn't hit that number.


....Uko na machida: The bet should be between CORD and Jubilee...the numbers are details!!!


LOL you are definitely scared of the tyranny of numbers!! you clearly don't agree with the simulation that you just posted up there. If UK doesn't hit 6M first round, he will be few thousands short so if turnout is not 100% country wide, then we are talking of no run-off.


Now who is scared stiff, the simulation simply proves that there is no basis of putting Jubilee ahead of CORD coz of the so called tyranny of numbers, my bet is that CORD will triumph over Jubilee.......whther 1st round or 2nd round...now put your money where your mouth has always been and let's get an umpire for the bet!!!


lets see who will chicken out!!!
When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
Liv
#19 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 11:10:22 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/14/2006
Posts: 1,311
Amores wrote:
MN should charge people for regurgitating his work over and over again.



Hii Tyranny of numbers has brought a lot of sleepless nights to many people kweli.

Wachira Maina is better at talking about law and the constitution...not crunching numbers.
QD
#20 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 11:30:24 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2009
Posts: 597
Was along read...., but i swear i have never gotten/read a clearly synthesized analysis backed with publicly available data for verification.

Tugonje debe maana si mbali.
The problem with the world is that the intelligent people are full of doubts while the stupid ones are full of confidence
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