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KENOL KOBIL .... 2012
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SymaX
#2481 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 1:13:04 PM
Rank: Hello

Joined: 2/2/2012
Posts: 2
Shame on you
mwekez@ji wrote:
Will KK benefit from the TURKANA OIL?
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hisah
#2482 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 3:27:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
KK tech readings tea leaves - Bearish RSI, bearish stochastics and constricting bollinger bands. Large move ahead, but from the bear chart pattern, downside risks outweight a bullish move. Also falling trendline since topping out @16.40 on Jul 3 2012 has been the guardrail as price slid to current levels. Downside targets 13/- and 12.50/- Breach of 12.50/- will see price dropping to 11/-

Anxiously waiting for those ulcers inducing KK results...

Stated back in Jan 30 2013.

VWAP closed @12.65/- Breaking below 12.50/- will see losses accelerate as many wanjikus are shaken out by the hard hammering.

Still a good stock to hold long term due to the hydrocarbon ace game.

Meanwhile the TOTL has finally broken out. A bullish break the opposite of KK.

Quite interesting the breakouts are happening just before the elections.

Those counters on bullish breakouts should rally hard if the polls conclude peacefully.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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SittingPretty
#2483 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 3:37:29 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/16/2013
Posts: 123
Location: MSA
That PUMA deal could be off for now, going by their behavior in the market..... It could be a PR stunt, however a keen eye will note they are back to their ways of shorting the fuel market,which had been shelved when PUMA came into the picture! Maybe they are in to regain the market leadership! However right now the oil industry is extremely susceptible .... look at the international prices, being hedged or not is equally dangerous! But then again stocks prices can be surprising (still learning)!
My 2cents!
Timely advice is as lovely as golden apples in a silver basket. Proverbs 25:11
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VituVingiSana
#2484 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 11:35:29 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
Seems Puma [like many other investors] are taking a wait & see approach. It makes sense to wait it out until after the elections just in case a few stations are destroyed, etc... Let's hope it does not come to that but better safe than sorry. Plus the price might drop if biwott decides to cut & run!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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guru267
#2485 Posted : Saturday, February 23, 2013 12:36:32 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Seems Puma [like many other investors] are taking a wait & see approach. It makes sense to wait it out until after the elections just in case a few stations are destroyed, etc... Let's hope it does not come to that but better safe than sorry. Plus the price might drop if biwott decides to cut & run!


@VVS you can't really still believe this deal will go through?? Sad

#Delusions!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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VituVingiSana
#2486 Posted : Saturday, February 23, 2013 9:32:36 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Seems Puma [like many other investors] are taking a wait & see approach. It makes sense to wait it out until after the elections just in case a few stations are destroyed, etc... Let's hope it does not come to that but better safe than sorry. Plus the price might drop if biwott decides to cut & run!


@VVS you can't really still believe this deal will go through?? Sad

#Delusions!
My delusions. I am a Buffettian so even if there is no (speculative) takeover, I expect to make money. I do my research, take a position. And wait. I buy more when prices fall [classic Buffett strategy] as long as core fundamentals remain similar.

I did the same with a stock which many dismissed (or thankfully were not interested in)... I kept my cool, waited... [2 more years than expected coz of PEV 2008] and I am very happy with the results. Sold some. Now re-deploying the cash by looking for more KK now that the price has fallen below 13. Happy Days Applause Applause Applause
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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mibbz
#2487 Posted : Sunday, February 24, 2013 3:32:12 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
the take over is still on,its going to happen and its wise to stock up
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guru267
#2488 Posted : Sunday, February 24, 2013 5:03:41 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
mibbz wrote:
the take over is still on,its going to happen and its wise to stock up


I expect full year results to confirm that the deal is off!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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hisah
#2489 Posted : Sunday, February 24, 2013 6:01:56 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@vvs - I expect fear to strike very soon. I hope that shakeout forces the price below 10. That will be awesome fear that needs to be bought into...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Aguytrying
#2490 Posted : Sunday, February 24, 2013 6:59:15 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
The fall below 13.00 has caught my eye and i might just buy some more.

The tricky thing is how the market will take the results. the deal is still on, otherwise we would have known and the price wouldnt be as high as now
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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