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Grand Final IPSOS poll
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Much Know
#41 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 1:57:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,588
Cord sliding down continu :D Laughing out loudly
Ras Kienyeji Man
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Shotgun
#42 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 1:58:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/10/2008
Posts: 480
Maggie Ireri ‏@MaggieIreri
#Ipsosynovatepoll Uhuru 44.8 and Raila 44.4. Musalia 5.2 percent

Maggie Ireri ‏@MaggieIreri
#Ipsosynovatepoll its is a statistical tie - no candidate garners more than 50 percent + one support
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kingfisher
#43 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 2:01:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/9/2008
Posts: 2,824
Amores wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
BOOOM!

Ipsos Synovate Kenya ‏@IpsosSynovateKe
Politica Alliance Support level: Jubilee 45.1%, Cord 44%, Amani 5%...



How credible are these polls before i start celebrating,wondering how CORD moved from 51% to 44 in 2 weeks


good question... what was the methodology again?? can someone tell us?
When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
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McReggae
#44 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 2:02:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Amores wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
BOOOM!

Ipsos Synovate Kenya ‏@IpsosSynovateKe
Politica Alliance Support level: Jubilee 45.1%, Cord 44%, Amani 5%...



How credible are these polls before i start celebrating,wondering how CORD moved from 51% to 44 in 2 weeks


Ipsos synovate polls two weeks ago CORD was at 45%...FACT
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Lucid_Iam
#45 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 2:02:21 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2011
Posts: 483
Lucid_Iam wrote:
Impunity wrote:
I expect the usual "too close to call" kind of stuff.

True, I expect a tie at either 44/44 or 43/43 and is this bad news for CORD. They will lose the first round, RAO needs to be ahead by +3% to guarantee a win. They also need to tell us in case of a run-off how opinion is distributed or are they allowed by law to run this poll again before round 2?

My other prediction holds, RAO will lose round 1 and by a margin of +3%. UK needs to befriend MaDVD ASAP.
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Shotgun
#46 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 2:03:04 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/10/2008
Posts: 480

Citizen TV News ‏@CitizenTVNews
Ipsos Poll: Those against Uhuru is because of the ICC issue, those against Raila is because of promotion of violence #Ipsosynovatepoll
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Lucid_Iam
#47 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 2:04:21 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2011
Posts: 483
Lucid_Iam wrote:
Impunity wrote:
I expect the usual "too close to call" kind of stuff.

True, I expect a tie at either 44/44 or 43/43 and is this bad news for CORD. They will lose the first round, RAO needs to be ahead by +3% to guarantee a win. They also need to tell us in case of a run-off how opinion is distributed or are they allowed by law to run this poll again before round 2?

My other prediction holds, RAO will lose round 1 and by a margin of +3%. UK needs to befriend MaDVD ASAP.
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innairobi
#48 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 2:04:32 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/2/2010
Posts: 845
If there is a significant disparity in turnout between CORD and Jubilee bases, this election will be over in the first round and could go either way. Are the masses psychologically prepared for that? I say no.
All my friends are heathens, take it slow. Wait for them to ask you who you know. Please don't make any sudden moves.
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Amores
#49 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 2:04:56 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/25/2011
Posts: 2,103
Location: Nrb
McReggae wrote:
Amores wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
BOOOM!

Ipsos Synovate Kenya ‏@IpsosSynovateKe
Politica Alliance Support level: Jubilee 45.1%, Cord 44%, Amani 5%...



How credible are these polls before i start celebrating,wondering how CORD moved from 51% to 44 in 2 weeks


Ipsos synovate polls two weeks ago CORD was at 45%...FACT


So it was CORDtrac whic had given RAO an imaginary lead?Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Wapi Ambitho ?
I am happy
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kingfisher
#50 Posted : Friday, February 22, 2013 2:05:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/9/2008
Posts: 2,824
Shotgun wrote:

Citizen TV News ‏@CitizenTVNews
Ipsos Poll: Those against Uhuru is because of the ICC issue, those against Raila is because of promotion of violence #Ipsosynovatepoll


was promotion of violence part of the survey questions???
When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
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