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More numbers of tyranny: Who let the CAT out of the BAG
ZZE123
#41 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 8:35:36 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/21/2008
Posts: 2,490
maligumu wrote:
ZZE123 wrote:
Can charity Ngilu deliver from KAMBA land? I hear she is only required to deliver the Kitui vote and she has been fully financed to do so!


It will be a miracle for her to deliver even 5000 to Jubilee votes from the whole of Ukambani . Remember that Jubilee is projecting hati 20 % from each of the three ukambani counties . Hio Million yote inaenda kwa CORD . Ngilu is also loosing the Senatorial contest .

I think she will deliver the Kitui vote at least 200K votes and I would not rule her out of the senatorial contest yet!
The man who marries a beautiful woman, and the farmer who grows corn by the roadside have the same problem
githundi
#42 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 8:38:00 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/19/2010
Posts: 1,308
Location: nairobi metropolitan
jyo wrote:
TAZ wrote:
Nakuru & Naivasha are both Jubilee zones, there's no way you can convince me that out of the 600K registered voters in Naks ati CORD will get anywhere near 200K.

Kwa rhonda, Kaptembwa, kipanga,parts of langalanga,Manyani, ponda mali flower farms in naivasha and by the way Solai have many many Kisii's..... this is more than 200k votes reason why Brawan gave Kinyanjui a run for his money last election

kaptebwa ward with about 70, 000 is kalenjin dominated. Other areas you have named are fairly multiethnic. By the way majority of kisiis in nakuru vote with kyuks as they share the same issues, insecurity and are predominantly farmers. Most other communities are nakuru town and flower farms of Naivasha. And by the way Nakuru has 11 constituencies. Just do your maths.
Democracy does not belong to the dead
keraka
#43 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 9:28:35 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/24/2010
Posts: 637
Location: Nairobi
githundi wrote:
jyo wrote:
TAZ wrote:
Nakuru & Naivasha are both Jubilee zones, there's no way you can convince me that out of the 600K registered voters in Naks ati CORD will get anywhere near 200K.

Kwa rhonda, Kaptembwa, kipanga,parts of langalanga,Manyani, ponda mali flower farms in naivasha and by the way Solai have many many Kisii's..... this is more than 200k votes reason why Brawan gave Kinyanjui a run for his money last election

kaptebwa ward with about 70, 000 is kalenjin dominated. Other areas you have named are fairly multiethnic. By the way majority of kisiis in nakuru vote with kyuks as they share the same issues, insecurity and are predominantly farmers. Most other communities are nakuru town and flower farms of Naivasha. And by the way Nakuru has 11 constituencies. Just do your maths.


I doubt that might happen this round considering what their ancestoral counties of Kisii and Nyamira are saying and they tend to look at what is in it for them..
The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.
kimiri
#44 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 9:32:08 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/12/2008
Posts: 215
ZZE123 wrote:
maligumu wrote:
ZZE123 wrote:
Can charity Ngilu deliver from KAMBA land? I hear she is only required to deliver the Kitui vote and she has been fully financed to do so!


It will be a miracle for her to deliver even 5000 to Jubilee votes from the whole of Ukambani . Remember that Jubilee is projecting hati 20 % from each of the three ukambani counties . Hio Million yote inaenda kwa CORD . Ngilu is also loosing the Senatorial contest .

I think she will deliver the Kitui vote at least 200K votes and I would not rule her out of the senatorial contest yet!


If there is anything that is gonna disappoint CORD - it is wipers performance in Eastern province. First, turn out in Ukambani is going to be poor than it was in 2007 when “Mutongoi” was running. Second, Jubilee is going to get a sizable chunk (I would project up to 30%) of the Kamba vote, while CORD will hardly get anything in Meru and Embu. Also, turnout is going to be high in Meru and Embu. Bearing this in mind, I think UHURUTO are likely to garner 60% or more of the vote in Eastern province. Recall that in 2007, Kibaki was able to get 50% of the vote in the province.
digitek1
#45 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 9:49:22 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/3/2010
Posts: 1,797
Location: Kenya
jyo wrote:
TAZ wrote:
Nakuru & Naivasha are both Jubilee zones, there's no way you can convince me that out of the 600K registered voters in Naks ati CORD will get anywhere near 200K.

Kwa rhonda, Kaptembwa, kipanga,parts of langalanga,Manyani, ponda mali flower farms in naivasha and by the way Solai have many many Kisii's..... this is more than 200k votes reason why Brawan gave Kinyanjui a run for his money last election

eti manyani Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Shame on you seriously these guys have interesting towns..So in ponda mali ni mwenjoyoz 247 ama ajeLaughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
I may be wrong..but then I could be right
Behemoth
#46 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 10:17:31 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/7/2012
Posts: 180
githundi wrote:
Nakuru is more cosmopolitan and if you scan the register of Nakuru County, Kisiis, Luhyas ,Akamba, Luos alone hit at 258,624 voters.
@ Pound foolish , i do not know where you got those numbers but i dispute.
Tell me where are these voters who have not managed even to elect a single mp of their own?


Members of Parliament
Elections MP [1] Party
1963 Achieng Oneko KANU
1966 Mark Waruiru Mwithaga KANU
1969 Mark Waruiru Mwithaga KANU
1974 Mark Waruiru Mwithaga KANU
1976 Willy Komen KANU
1979 Mark Waruiru Mwithaga KANU
1983 Amos Kabiru Kimemia KANU
1988 Amos Kabiru Kimemia KANU
1992 J. C. Lwali-Oyondi Ford-Asili
1997 David Manyara Njuki DP
2002 Mirugi Kariuki NARC
2006 William Kariuki Mirugi NARC-K
2007 Lee Maiyani Kinyanjui PNU
Eagles don't flock, you have to find them one at a time.
Behemoth
#47 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 10:29:56 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/7/2012
Posts: 180
FRM2011 wrote:
I cant believe it has come down to this even in wazua. Adding up tribal figures? Why not use the 2009 census report to determine the winner and use the 34bn IEBC budget to put a dual carriage from athi river to mombasa.

Let me throw a spanner into the works. Am willing to take on any daring jubilant on a bet. Kes.20K that CORD will win. Am not even voting cord but i believe in scientific polls over voodoo maths. Lets see who is willing to put their money where their mouth is.



Joshua then cast lots for them in Shiloh in the presence of the LORD, and there he distributed the land to the Israelites according to their tribal divisions...Joshua 18:10


usiogope ukabila. Just utilize it soundly.
Eagles don't flock, you have to find them one at a time.
Bigchick
#48 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 10:49:25 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
@Behemoth:- I like your quote.

You are truly a great scholar of the good book.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
poundfoolish
#49 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 11:30:16 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/2/2009
Posts: 2,458
Location: Nairobi
githundi wrote:
jyo wrote:
TAZ wrote:
Nakuru & Naivasha are both Jubilee zones, there's no way you can convince me that out of the 600K registered voters in Naks ati CORD will get anywhere near 200K.

Kwa rhonda, Kaptembwa, kipanga,parts of langalanga,Manyani, ponda mali flower farms in naivasha and by the way Solai have many many Kisii's..... this is more than 200k votes reason why Brawan gave Kinyanjui a run for his money last election

kaptebwa ward with about 70, 000 is kalenjin dominated. Other areas you have named are fairly multiethnic. By the way majority of kisiis in nakuru vote with kyuks as they share the same issues, insecurity and are predominantly farmers. Most other communities are nakuru town and flower farms of Naivasha. And by the way Nakuru has 11 constituencies. Just do your maths.


I just pointed out that the burger has the number of CORD affiliated voters down to the tenth figure... If its a lie.. then the dude knows his trade.. If he did sort out the spreadsheet by names starting with O's and ended up at 258K.. then give it to him..

Similar to Nairobi.. OBaks had 300K votes, while RAO got 220K in '07... We currently have a register of 1.7 M voters in Nairobi.
To be safe i'd double Kibaki's 07 votes then throw in an extra 200 K votes (for voters who went machinani) then ask myself who the remaining 900K came from?
poundfoolish
#50 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 11:36:18 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/2/2009
Posts: 2,458
Location: Nairobi
githundi wrote:
jyo wrote:
TAZ wrote:
Nakuru & Naivasha are both Jubilee zones, there's no way you can convince me that out of the 600K registered voters in Naks ati CORD will get anywhere near 200K.

Kwa rhonda, Kaptembwa, kipanga,parts of langalanga,Manyani, ponda mali flower farms in naivasha and by the way Solai have many many Kisii's..... this is more than 200k votes reason why Brawan gave Kinyanjui a run for his money last election

kaptebwa ward with about 70, 000 is kalenjin dominated. Other areas you have named are fairly multiethnic. By the way majority of kisiis in nakuru vote with kyuks as they share the same issues, insecurity and are predominantly farmers. Most other communities are nakuru town and flower farms of Naivasha. And by the way Nakuru has 11 constituencies. Just do your maths.


Would you also agree with me that the Kaleo's living in the frontlines would be more unwilling to follow WSR to UMK.. by voting against (for Presidential) or abstaining...?
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