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More numbers of tyranny: Who let the CAT out of the BAG
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/2/2009 Posts: 2,458 Location: Nairobi
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@McDobba Kasiri kametoka.. 1a. This first part is entirely true.. so lets look at 1b.. the smaller votes.. Quote:
Elgeyo Marakwet- 134,290
Nandi - 254,788
Baringo- 171,013
Kericho- 290,102
Bomet - 254,405
(sub total 1,104,598 voters- jubilee controlled)
In these regions, William Ruto has a superb command. There might be little unfaithfuls from Kericho and Bomet Towns which are somehow cosmopolitan. The son of Moi might also do some little spoils.
1b. RIFT VALLEY It's actually the smaller tribes who are up for grubs that have the votes.. Quote:
Kajiado- 315,053
Narok- 253,086
Turkana-120,345
West Pokot- 107,894
Samburu- 56,662
Trans Nzoia- 231,352
Uasini Gishu- 318,717
Laikipia- 170,267
Nakuru- 695,879
(sub-total:2,269,255 – contestable votes for CORD and JUBILEE )
In these regions JUBILEE can not confidently claim even a 60% command: The Maasai Narok and Kajiado not at any point have they shown to be faithful followers of William Ruto. They are more inclined to ODM CORD. Samburu,West Pokot might be a fifty fifty scoop for both CORD and JUBILEE. Trans Nzoia is a home of none. Luhyas, Kisii farmers and kalenjin mix gives neither CORD nor JUBILEE an edge. Nakuru is more cosmopolitan and if you scan the register of Nakuru County, Kisiis, Luhyas ,Akamba, Luos alone hit at 258,624 voters.
Nairobi... i feel the CORD votes are greatly over estimated at 1M votes in the city Quote:
2.NAIROBI : (1,778,903 voters)
Now that elections will be held in march, the IEBC calendar has forced the village voters to vote from the city as they wont be travelling home for Christmas holidays as they used. No wonder we had a voter registration turn out of 138% in Nairobi. As per Register scan Luos, Luhyas, Kambas and Kisiis who are CORD inclined tally to 1,192,037 if they will be faithful to their ethnic spirit like their village counterparts then they are likely to vote for CORD. I hope JUBILEE are aware of this variance in numbers. There is no doubt RAILA will emerge a winner from NAIROBI by 1M votes plus.
3. EASTERN Quote:
Eastern has for long time been supporting presidential candidates from central under the GEMA banner. Does JUBILEE count on the same support? Can charity Ngilu deliver from KAMBA land?
Let me sample the numbers from all the counties in EASTERN.
Makueni- 300,086
Machakos- 445,819
Kitui- 323,624
(sub-total:1,069,529) undisputed CORD command.
Meru- 483,517
Isiolo- 52,617
Marsabit- 104,408
Embu- 226,989
Tharaka- 155,823 (Subtotal:1,023,354 voters)
Isiolo and Marsabit might be an equal share or a slight win for CORD.
Meru, Tharaka and Embu have been for long faithful in GEMA. With the presence of William Ruto do they have an upper hand in the jubilee coalition? With these displacement most voters especially the youth might vote outside GEMA .
The analyst says he is 'Mutahi Ngunyi.' but the writing doesnt sound like him.. probably some smart CORDashian somewhere.. Its down to Turnout my friends.. and a good turnout takes damn maCORDOfia closer to the win..
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/19/2010 Posts: 1,308 Location: nairobi metropolitan
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Nakuru is more cosmopolitan and if you scan the register of Nakuru County, Kisiis, Luhyas ,Akamba, Luos alone hit at 258,624 voters. @ Pound foolish , i do not know where you got those numbers but i dispute. Tell me where are these voters who have not managed even to elect a single mp of their own? Democracy does not belong to the dead
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Rank: Member Joined: 2/22/2010 Posts: 510 Location: De egg
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poundfoolish wrote:@McDobba Kasiri kametoka.. 1a. This first part is entirely true.. so lets look at 1b.. the smaller votes.. Quote:
Elgeyo Marakwet- 134,290
Nandi - 254,788
Baringo- 171,013
Kericho- 290,102
Bomet - 254,405
(sub total 1,104,598 voters- jubilee controlled)
In these regions, William Ruto has a superb command. There might be little unfaithfuls from Kericho and Bomet Towns which are somehow cosmopolitan. The son of Moi might also do some little spoils.
1b. RIFT VALLEY It's actually the smaller tribes who are up for grubs that have the votes.. Quote:
Kajiado- 315,053
Narok- 253,086
Turkana-120,345
West Pokot- 107,894
Samburu- 56,662
Trans Nzoia- 231,352
Uasini Gishu- 318,717
Laikipia- 170,267
Nakuru- 695,879
(sub-total:2,269,255 – contestable votes for CORD and JUBILEE )
In these regions JUBILEE can not confidently claim even a 60% command: The Maasai Narok and Kajiado not at any point have they shown to be faithful followers of William Ruto. They are more inclined to ODM CORD. Samburu,West Pokot might be a fifty fifty scoop for both CORD and JUBILEE. Trans Nzoia is a home of none. Luhyas, Kisii farmers and kalenjin mix gives neither CORD nor JUBILEE an edge. Nakuru is more cosmopolitan and if you scan the register of Nakuru County, Kisiis, Luhyas ,Akamba, Luos alone hit at 258,624 voters.
Nairobi... i feel the CORD votes are greatly over estimated at 1M votes in the city Quote:
2.NAIROBI : (1,778,903 voters)
Now that elections will be held in march, the IEBC calendar has forced the village voters to vote from the city as they wont be travelling home for Christmas holidays as they used. No wonder we had a voter registration turn out of 138% in Nairobi. As per Register scan Luos, Luhyas, Kambas and Kisiis who are CORD inclined tally to 1,192,037 if they will be faithful to their ethnic spirit like their village counterparts then they are likely to vote for CORD. I hope JUBILEE are aware of this variance in numbers. There is no doubt RAILA will emerge a winner from NAIROBI by 1M votes plus.
3. EASTERN Quote:
Eastern has for long time been supporting presidential candidates from central under the GEMA banner. Does JUBILEE count on the same support? Can charity Ngilu deliver from KAMBA land?
Let me sample the numbers from all the counties in EASTERN.
Makueni- 300,086
Machakos- 445,819
Kitui- 323,624
(sub-total:1,069,529) undisputed CORD command.
Meru- 483,517
Isiolo- 52,617
Marsabit- 104,408
Embu- 226,989
Tharaka- 155,823 (Subtotal:1,023,354 voters)
Isiolo and Marsabit might be an equal share or a slight win for CORD.
Meru, Tharaka and Embu have been for long faithful in GEMA. With the presence of William Ruto do they have an upper hand in the jubilee coalition? With these displacement most voters especially the youth might vote outside GEMA .
The analyst says he is 'Mutahi Ngunyi.' but the writing doesnt sound like him.. probably some smart CORDashian somewhere.. Its down to Turnout my friends.. and a good turnout takes damn maCORDOfia closer to the win.. This looks more analytical than the chest thumbing one of Jubilee "we have the numbers " . Scratch the surface even deeper and you will see the light . Peace be with you
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/21/2008 Posts: 2,490
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Can charity Ngilu deliver from KAMBA land? I hear she is only required to deliver the Kitui vote and she has been fully financed to do so! The man who marries a beautiful woman, and the farmer who grows corn by the roadside have the same problem
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Rank: Member Joined: 3/17/2009 Posts: 201
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Remove Nakuru, Laikipia and Kajiado from your list else you are dreaming.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,941
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githundi wrote: Nakuru is more cosmopolitan and if you scan the register of Nakuru County, Kisiis, Luhyas ,Akamba, Luos alone hit at 258,624 voters.
@ Pound foolish , i do not know where you got those numbers but i dispute.
Tell me where are these voters who have not managed even to elect a single mp of their own? They elected Reuben Oyondi, Shikuku's brother. And Nakuru think about that population of Ergaton, Njoro etc. Dont think Nakuru town alone. In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/2/2009 Posts: 2,458 Location: Nairobi
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gmg wrote:Remove Nakuru, Laikipia and Kajiado from your list else you are dreaming. there is 200K or there about already removed from Nakuru... ofcause Laikipia is 100% TNA, Kajiado is 50/50... @Githundi.. stop asking hoi polloi questions and lets figure out how to raise the bar above 60% Dont you know Nakuru stretches to Naivasha where there are pastrolists and flower farm workers (who in 2002 had the numbers and say to squeeze in mayor Hamisi, a break from the norm
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/19/2010 Posts: 1,308 Location: nairobi metropolitan
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Angelica _ann wrote:githundi wrote: Nakuru is more cosmopolitan and if you scan the register of Nakuru County, Kisiis, Luhyas ,Akamba, Luos alone hit at 258,624 voters.
@ Pound foolish , i do not know where you got those numbers but i dispute.
Tell me where are these voters who have not managed even to elect a single mp of their own? They elected Reuben Oyondi, Shikuku's brother. And Nakuru think about that population of Ergaton, Njoro etc. Dont think Nakuru town alone. I come from Nakuru and more specifically new Njoro constituency. > 80% of Nakuru contituency is either Kyuks or Kaleos. I project >0.5 m for Jubilee. Mark this place and revisit after March 4th. Democracy does not belong to the dead
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/19/2010 Posts: 1,308 Location: nairobi metropolitan
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Angelica _ann wrote:githundi wrote: Nakuru is more cosmopolitan and if you scan the register of Nakuru County, Kisiis, Luhyas ,Akamba, Luos alone hit at 258,624 voters.
@ Pound foolish , i do not know where you got those numbers but i dispute.
Tell me where are these voters who have not managed even to elect a single mp of their own? They elected Reuben Oyondi, Shikuku's brother. And Nakuru think about that population of Ergaton, Njoro etc. Dont think Nakuru town alone. Most possibly when there was Shikuku Matiba alliance. Democracy does not belong to the dead
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/2/2009 Posts: 2,458 Location: Nairobi
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ZZE123 wrote:Can charity Ngilu deliver from KAMBA land? I hear she is only required to deliver the Kitui vote and she has been fully financed to do so! She is facing a strong battle from the CORD masterminds.. huko iko chida kwake
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