What the IMF says isn't necessarily true. I'd prefer if they said that they do not know how the 'Kenyan' economy would fare regardless of who wins the elections.
I don't want to be construed as casting doubt on the Jubilee candidacy, but I want to question the validity of what the IMF is trying to say, and perhaps even look into some of their motives for saying so.
For example, could they be saying so because the Jubilee government, or the next government is likely to increase spending and hence debt?
Will the coming government increase imports from the EU directly or indirectly - hence a rise in inflation to bolster the European position?
That is, how the Kenyan economy will fare with a new government is entirely a Kenyan policy issue.
Otherwise, the IMF is feeding us with illusions.