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El Nino is Back!
Mwekahazina
#11 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2009 3:03:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2008
Posts: 21
Very Correct. First predicted by the Australian Meteorological department a few weeks ago. Talked to some local agri guys and they were in a stupor! At least,farmers will plant twice. Mau Forest will recover faster. Diminished water table will rise up again. Crocs in Lake Kamnarock will get their home back. The Mara River... now that will be a nightmare... for the Wilderbeest. We'll use horses and donkeys...
Mwekahazina
#12 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2009 3:11:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2008
Posts: 21
El-Nino &gt; Damaged infrastructure =&gt; Delays in infrastructure development =&gt; Infrastructure Bondholders developing High BP
El-Nino &gt; Improved agriculture productivity except horticulture activity due to decline in U.V. light spectrum =&gt; Coffee,Tea,Sugar,Rice,Potatoes in plenty but declining margins for floriculture
El-Nino &gt; Makes You forget the game plan... and you've no emergency domestic food storage plan
kyt
#13 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2009 3:18:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
dont get on my case please guys,i had a plan,if it does not rain sufficiently in dec i was planning for a way out of nairobi so i am 120% for elnino who is against? any one!

hasta la vista
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
Wakanyugi
#14 Posted : Saturday, September 19, 2009 5:07:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/3/2007
Posts: 1,635
I think this time round the benefits of El nino will outweigh the harm. Of course our urban areas will take a major hit and a lot of infrastructure will be destroyed. But agriculture will recover and our pastoral communities will finally see some relief. Kenya is largely an agricultural economy and the return of regular rains is bound to restart growth. So I agree we should see an impact on most counters.
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
pm
#15 Posted : Saturday, September 19, 2009 9:38:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 60









I've seen El Nino since the sixties,it comes in cycles except these days the cycles are amplified by global climatic conditions ... in the 60s,Athi River form high grounds a far looked as humongous as you would see lake Victoria from high areas of Kakamega or Nandi Hills ... El Nino is extreme rain,and not much grows except vegetables&hellip;. corn,wheat,tea,coffee ... and other commodities will not grow under El Nino conditions even livestock die of famine during El Nino because all there is for feed is very green wet stuff which gives livestock diarrhea,its an extreme weather condition that is the opposite of draught,other woes of El Nino are correctly articulated ... bridges will be washed,it will be all water outside and none inside your house (quite a dilemma),transportation will be a nightmare,communities will be flooded,tremendous erosion,infrastructures will be destroyed, flats/houses will be flooded / some washed a drift...and your KenGen,generation woes used to be low water levels, it will be overflow conditions; much worse,so don&rsquo;t expect that the power generation will be 'fine' ... ground water/ water table will be replenished ... enuff for now

K22
#16 Posted : Monday, September 21, 2009 6:03:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/12/2008
Posts: 436
Location: illobi
@pm,and somehow we have managed to survive since 60's! Amazing!

Randomly insane

A successful man is one who makes more money than his wife can spend. A successful woman is one who can find such a man
pm
#17 Posted : Monday, September 21, 2009 2:21:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 60

@k22 wrote '@pm,and somehow we have managed to survive since 60's! Amazing!'









We are a resilient people,and through the graces of God,we have always managed ... I recall the river between home and school was flooded to the banks during the 60s El Nino,to nearly 25 feet wide and about as much average depth as 5 feet,and only a single log about 3 inches wide crossed the river,despite all this,we could not be late for school,and the uniform was to be neat & smart,so,what we did was when we came to the river,we took out the clothes,making sure there were no girls in sight,tied them with a bark and threw them across,and then crossed the river ...

Yes we can survive ANY catastrophe and come out even stronger. Kenya is well endowed with it's people; how we manage the resource is crucial ...

Bashka
#18 Posted : Tuesday, September 22, 2009 6:02:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/31/2008
Posts: 116
For pastoralist it will be a disaster in the first month. The animals are already weak,cannot cope with heavy rain,hence most animals will die. After that the remaining ones will do better with abundant pasture and water. Generally cattle rastling and ethnic clashes in pastoral regions will stop.
akowally
#19 Posted : Wednesday, September 23, 2009 5:54:00 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/20/2008
Posts: 1,126
Location: Nairobi
I am hoping you saw what was there yesterday in Kisumu. A few days and already 4 dead because of the rains. Please tell your friends to prepare early. This is not an ease to the drought but rather a looming disaster especially at first. And remember that prices for sweaters,umbrellas e.t.c. will go up so buy now while they are still very low

Romans 8:28 (New International Version)
More Than Conquerors
And we know that in all things God works for the good of those who love him,who have been called according to his purpose.
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akowally
#20 Posted : Monday, October 05, 2009 12:48:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/20/2008
Posts: 1,126
Location: Nairobi
Were these people serious when they were saying it is coming,first in sep,now oct inaendelea,or was it October 2010??

When we pray in praise to God,he makes a difference in our lives.
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