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El Nino is Back!
FundamentAli
#1 Posted : Thursday, July 16, 2009 12:42:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/4/2008
Posts: 1,289
Location: Nairobi
According to scientist,the sea temperatures are rising. The El Nino season is back. Am looking at it from the point of view how it is going to affect our rain driven economy. I think all counters will be winners. What is your take?

Fundamentals + Sentiments = Position
kyt
#2 Posted : Thursday, July 16, 2009 3:28:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
i am met guy and i think that its a blessing ONLY for people in the arid areas. its going to increase rainfall by 10x and that is scary for people in the wet areas so you cannot celebrate i don't think the counter will really gain anything. on the upside though Masinga dam will be reopened and Nairobians will see and end to rationing and yah many people will die and others will suffer from weather related diseases.

hasta la vista
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
Eddy
#3 Posted : Thursday, July 16, 2009 6:20:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/20/2006
Posts: 277
@ FundamentAli

When is this likely to happen and is it in Kenya,are this Kenyan sciencetist predicting this. As much as everybody would like rains i thinks excesses are a no go zone,but what to do if that is what that has to happen.
Jaymiggy
#4 Posted : Thursday, July 16, 2009 7:02:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/18/2008
Posts: 23
If this is the case,then to me it's a big blessing. The reason is,I come from an arid area and the last time this area got enough rainfall was like 5 years ago,that is 2004ish. Folks there depend only on farming,and you know what that means kama mvua hakuna. In 1997/8 El Nino,the economy of the area was just good for the next 2-3 years. The enviromnemt was suberb for everything,name it.

So if we could have another El Nino,then good for those folks,they have being dying of hunger,the gava doesnt give a hoot at all. There is piped water,the road infrastructure is a whack. That rainfall will saidia sana,naomba tu sana for it to come!!
FundamentAli
#5 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2009 6:40:00 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/4/2008
Posts: 1,289
Location: Nairobi
@ Eddy

The report is from an Organisation abbreviated NOAA (National Oceanic and Atomspheric Agency) of the US Government. Our mets do not have those sopiscated equipments. THey were however warned by their counterparts. Read yesterday's Standard.

This country can never get enough water. Figure this,

rain = increased tea output which always has a market.

Rain = Reduced food prices leaving people to spend money on other goods and services

Rain = Reduced power bills

Rain = Increased agricultural and livestock output

Rain = Cheaper water for Nairobian!

The mets will give an update in three months time


Fundamentals + Sentiments = Position
kyt
#6 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2009 12:48:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
@ fundament ali
you forgot
rain- more weather related illnesses
rain- erosion of poorly constructed roads
rain- more floods and maybe more death
look on both sides my guy

hasta la vista
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
FundamentAli
#7 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2009 1:02:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/4/2008
Posts: 1,289
Location: Nairobi
@kyt

Heavy rains expose shoddy roadworks

Lack of clean tap water leads to use of dirty water which leads to diseases like cholera

Lack of water undermine personal hygiene which lead to diseases

Hunger causes malnutrition and when it affects babies can lead to permanent retardation!

Lack of rain = Very many unreported deaths countryide. Cause satarvation.

If 5 guys drown,and that is nothing compared with the above scenario. Livestock herds have been wiped out.


Fundamentals + Sentiments = Position
FundamentAli
#8 Posted : Monday, July 20, 2009 6:41:00 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/4/2008
Posts: 1,289
Location: Nairobi
@kyt

How many people died in the last three days over fights for grazing land,water points and cattle rustling? Lack of rain leads to increased conflict and crime in the arid and semi arid areas.


Fundamentals + Sentiments = Position
chi20
#9 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2009 7:02:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/24/2008
Posts: 223
looking at it like a double edged sword,the masingas,dakaini which have since been closed for lack of enough water,should be drained to lower dams to create room for expansion and de-siltation. in this way,the dam could hold alot more litres of water for the nairobians.

areas in perrenial drought regions could benefit from massive expansive and intensive dam projects. these could hold more water for long into the future after the elnino. inhabitants around here could do more meaningful activities to enrich their lives.

and then bundalangi,its time to move higher up if buidling dykes is a tall order.



mwana wa kahii. . . .
Douvante
#10 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2009 12:16:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/14/2008
Posts: 55
Be careful what you wish for!

Everything happens for a reason.
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