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probable voting pattern 2013
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/10/2008 Posts: 9,131 Location: Kanjo
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Buster wrote:I really really wonder with some Wazuans....
Most of us reside in Nairobi. Have you asked your Luhyia friends who they will be voting for? For those of you who have.. be honest and tell us what they said. This time round RAO is getting 80% vote from this community.
I was in western in november and again last month. Both times I stayed for two weeks and travelled to almost all corners. Guys there are sooo mad at MDVD. They look at His moves as blunder after blunder. To them He is an embarasment. They cant understand why he had to wait untill the Final Year to bolt out on His own. This at a time when They had all but settled for ODM. They have waited for Him to convince them Why Him/UDF and Not RAO/ODM. nobody has heard anything worthwhile. That saga of Jubillee instead of earning him sympathy votes only made the Guys more mad at Him that He does not have a fight in Him. I came back on Monday. The latest going on there is.. a vote for MDVD is a vote for Uhuru. (A vote to RAO denied). A mention of MDVD or UDF results in laughter! (Most places not all) Rao is running with western 80%. its no swing vote this time. you think I am lying... go to western and talk to people you will be shocked. Its going to be a huge embarrasment for MDVD unless a miracle happens. And I again Challenge you to ask your Luhyia friends who they will be voting for... most if not all will tell you RAO.
This thing I believe will end with a runoff. Jubillee will take the first round with a small margin then Cord to take it at the Final. u still don't get it do you? Jubilee does not need a single luhya vote to win this thing and that's why they kicked out MaDvD after they got hold of the registered numbers. things are thick for cord...unless over 1/4 of the registered voters in jubilee strongholds are their own supporters. i.am.back!!!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/10/2008 Posts: 9,131 Location: Kanjo
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Very worrying, i foresee petitions after petitions RINKi.am.back!!!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/9/2008 Posts: 2,824
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McReggae wrote:The supporters of the suspects are making a fundamental mistake, considering Madvd will have a effect in the CORD numbers but completely disregarding the effect of Martha, PK, Gideon. Assuming nairobi numbers (effect of a march vote), assuming they have solid meru numbers, assuming the likely voter apathy in kale land......mtashangaa tu sana!!!% Am sure i will not vote for either cord or jubilee, neither will I vote for Amani. But these jubilee fellows appear to be doing good maths for now. So you cord guys don't assume their supporters here are doing mistakes, you could actually be the ones making mistakes!!! And now a question for the cord fellows... now that you don't agree with jubilee numbers, can we have your numbers we compare?? When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 10/11/2009 Posts: 1,223
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I do not agree with the prophesies and pollsters but i also have to spin my numbers and let the people decide their presidency. This time not on population census but on registration data. I also agree with Mutahi Ngunyi who tweeted that one of the the suspects will be the next president and i strongly believe him. A little bit of spinning the numbers to make it 14.3 million. I have also to make it clear that these numbers have not been verified. keywords: spinning, tribal arithmetic, luo, kikuyu, kalenjin, kamba,swinging votes, luhyia Central Province Kikuyus....................2,190,477 Kamba......................1,069,529 Meru/Embu..................866,329 North Eastern............ 347,457 Boran.................... 157,025 Coast..................... 1,164,083 Luo....................... 1,320,647 Kisii................... 634,109 Kikuyu in Rift Valley..... 1,166,146 Kakenjin.................. 1,523,325 Luhya..................... 1,566,339 Masai,Samburu,Turkana .. 571,040 Nairobi................... 1,778,903 History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 10/11/2009 Posts: 1,223
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With ICC not a campaign issue anymore, Kigeugeu is running out of options and he has lost it. It even gets interesting with dropping of witness 4 by the prosecutor which shows that UK has no case. It just demonstrates that the whole thing was political process aimed at eliminating some people from the ballot paper and it has failed miserably. On 14th Miguna Miguna will deliver Kigeugeu to Bondo and he can call mass action from there if he so wishes. Even Royal Media opinion polls and campaigns may not help them..... As you all know SKM is part of CORD summit. Jubilee will win round one. History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/10/2008 Posts: 9,131 Location: Kanjo
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BGL wrote:I do not agree with the prophesies and pollsters but i also have to spin my numbers and let the people decide their presidency. This time not on population census but on registration data. I also agree with Mutahi Ngunyi who tweeted that one of the the suspects will be the next president and i strongly believe him.
A little bit of spinning the numbers to make it 14.3 million. I have also to make it clear that these numbers have not been verified.
keywords: spinning, tribal arithmetic, luo, kikuyu, kalenjin, kamba,swinging votes, luhyia
Central Province Kikuyus....................2,190,477
Kamba......................1,069,529
Meru/Embu..................866,329
North Eastern............ 347,457
Boran.................... 157,025
Coast..................... 1,164,083
Luo....................... 1,320,647
Kisii................... 634,109
Kikuyu in Rift Valley..... 1,166,146
Kakenjin.................. 1,523,325
Luhya..................... 1,566,339
Masai,Samburu,Turkana .. 571,040
Nairobi................... 1,778,903 Biggie, could you break this further? i.am.back!!!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/2/2009 Posts: 26,335 Location: Masada
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BGL wrote:With ICC not a campaign issue anymore, Kigeugeu is running out of options and he has lost it. It even gets interesting with dropping of witness 4 by the prosecutor which shows that UK has no case. It just demonstrates that the whole thing was political process aimed at eliminating some people from the ballot paper and it has failed miserably. On 14th Miguna Miguna will deliver Kigeugeu to Bondo and he can call mass action from there if he so wishes.
Even Royal Media opinion polls and campaigns may not help them..... As you all know SKM is part of CORD summit.
Jubilee will win round one. You are trying to throw stones at a CORD police station?  Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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Rank: Member Joined: 6/5/2009 Posts: 119 Location: nairobi, dolnhom
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BGL wrote:I do not agree with the prophesies and pollsters but i also have to spin my numbers and let the people decide their presidency. This time not on population census but on registration data. I also agree with Mutahi Ngunyi who tweeted that one of the the suspects will be the next president and i strongly believe him.
A little bit of spinning the numbers to make it 14.3 million. I have also to make it clear that these numbers have not been verified.
keywords: spinning, tribal arithmetic, luo, kikuyu, kalenjin, kamba,swinging votes, luhyia
Central Province Kikuyus....................2,190,477
Kamba......................1,069,529
Meru/Embu..................866,329
North Eastern............ 347,457
Boran.................... 157,025
Coast..................... 1,164,083
Luo....................... 1,320,647
Kisii................... 634,109
Kikuyu in Rift Valley..... 1,166,146
Kakenjin.................. 1,523,325
Luhya..................... 1,566,339
Masai,Samburu,Turkana .. 571,040
Nairobi................... 1,778,903 please please lets keep off raw data but if you insist>>>>> Kikuyus 2,190,477 Meru/embu 866,329 kikuyu in Riftvalley 1,166,146 Kalenjin 1,523,325 5,746,277Kamba 1,069,529 North eastern 347,457 borana 157,025 Coast 1,164,083 Luo 1,320,647 Kisii 634,109 Luhya 1,566,339 Maasai Samburu Turkana 571,040 6,830,229
Deficit over 1 million hata tukichukua North eastern Borana maasai samburu na turkana bado tutachindwa Your work will form a large part of your life the only way to be trully satisfied is to love what you do.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi
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@jyo......nobody wants to see that, Mutahi Ngunyi has told them they have a 6.2M votes headstart!!!! ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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