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Jimnah is back on the Mbus!
Amores
#81 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 7:44:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/25/2011
Posts: 2,103
Location: Nrb
Much Know wrote:
Just a reminder to my friends who think clustering around a violent, dumb-ish , stone thrower is a realistic way to bag governorship when they look through tribal lens, look back at 2007 to understand Nairobi.
1.Langata – Raila Odinga – ODM
2.Kasarani – Elizabeth Ongoro – ODM
3.Starehe – Margret Wanjiru – ODM
4.Westlands – Fred Gumo – ODM
5.Embakassi – Mugabi Were – ODM (yt2 after death)
6.Makadara – Gideon Mbuvi – Narc (Ngilu basically ODM)
7.Kamkunji – Simon Mbugua – PNU (controversial)
8.Dagoretti – Beth Mugo – PNU (Kiare ODM did well some say he won)

This is the reality of Nairobi, in this Nairobi, a broke, impractical, ridiculous, yt2 is a non-starter from what I see and believe, particularly when tribe card is played, Mbaru stands a chance with his resources, respectability and capabilities, but realistically it would have been better for more informed Jubilee people to “court” other communities, especially when it was yt2 (who seeing the above stands no chance) vs Kidero, but some of us just shut down their brains when it comes to tribe and start telling people how “good” a recorded violent criminal is. We should have courted westerners for western vote in presidency when we need it later rather than cluster around a clown, some even insulting Kidero on facebook and writing their names their for all to see the mentality and the fact was Yt2 would have and will loose anyway (particularly after sharing tribe with Jimnah). Now it is another race!



Your analysis lacks some vital information. You decide to forget that PNU thru it's affiliate parties fielded many candidates,meaning they shared votes. ODM had a united front. This is what will happen now with the Mbaru,YT2 etal . Share votes and lose.

To think that Kiarie ( who just lost nominations fairly) won against Beth Mugo is laughable .



I am happy
essyk
#82 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 7:57:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/15/2011
Posts: 4,518
Much Know wrote:
2012 wrote:
essyk wrote:
Is it kidero vs Jimnah or Yt2 vs Jimnah?


If the three of them are on the ballot then Waititu will be the biggest winner!
Jimnah and Kidero will split and share the rich and middle class votes.

The masufferer will vote with their tribes, think luhya, luo, kamba and so on..when waititu and mbaru stands as UK & Jubilee backers, it's two against one, Kidero is already leading by far in that case as we speak, Mbaru can afford to "buy"(whether through hype, marketing, "sponsoring" events) himself more support from more neutral people, waititu can become "humbler" and beg for media coverage but there are only so many sufferers to share, and they can really hype someone amongst themselves when paid out. And they are not as stupid as you think not to realize waititu is not that smart, some of them have real degrees!


Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly This is the craziest comment I have heard today.

*dead*
"The true measure of a man is how he treats someone who can do him absolutely no good.
TAZ
#83 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 8:01:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/14/2007
Posts: 4,152
@Amores....anajifanya amesahau......btw hata Jonnie wa Kamukunji alihama from ODM after realising hakuna vile he would have won the parliamentary seat akiwa kwa Hiyo chama. I think we all know why or how Were and Ongoro ended up in parliament


@Much Know.....Sonko alishinda na Narc Kenya (Karua) si Narc ya Ngilu....get your facts right)
essyk
#84 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 8:09:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/15/2011
Posts: 4,518
Njung'e wrote:
McReggae wrote:
YT2's running mate: From Ondieki to Omanga and now TNA has chosen for him one Achoki ......which is which?


Plans to win the Kisii votes you can't see that....Just the same reason why Kisia has been dropped and now Coard is considering Jonathan Mueke.


same case with Ongoro and Bishop.
"The true measure of a man is how he treats someone who can do him absolutely no good.
holycow
#85 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 8:12:44 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 972
Location: Home
essyk wrote:
watu wanachemka Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

I wonder hw 2007 was like on wazua.



It was very very bad. Its good that the threads were archived.
Amores
#86 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 8:17:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/25/2011
Posts: 2,103
Location: Nrb
TAZ wrote:
@Amores....anajifanya amesahau......btw hata Jonnie wa Kamukunji alihama from ODM after realising hakuna vile he would have won the parliamentary seat akiwa kwa Hiyo chama. I think we all know why or how Were and Ongoro ended up in parliament


@Much Know.....Sonko alishinda na Narc Kenya si Narc ya Ngilu


Yes,ndio ninamkumbusha awacha pang'ang'a
I am happy
essyk
#87 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 8:19:04 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/15/2011
Posts: 4,518
holycow wrote:
essyk wrote:
watu wanachemka Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

I wonder hw 2007 was like on wazua.



It was very very bad. Its good that the threads were archived.


It's going to get real crazy here come Feb.
Bracing myself for heated exchanges next month.
"The true measure of a man is how he treats someone who can do him absolutely no good.
mawinder
#88 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 8:32:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/30/2008
Posts: 6,029
Amores wrote:
TAZ wrote:
@Amores....anajifanya amesahau......btw hata Jonnie wa Kamukunji alihama from ODM after realising hakuna vile he would have won the parliamentary seat akiwa kwa Hiyo chama. I think we all know why or how Were and Ongoro ended up in parliament


@Much Know.....Sonko alishinda na Narc Kenya si Narc ya Ngilu


Yes,ndio ninamkumbusha awacha pang'ang'a

@muchknow,you should know that Sonko never vied for any political position in 2007.
Much Know
#89 Posted : Thursday, January 24, 2013 9:00:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,588
mawinder wrote:
Amores wrote:
TAZ wrote:
@Amores....anajifanya amesahau......btw hata Jonnie wa Kamukunji alihama from ODM after realising hakuna vile he would have won the parliamentary seat akiwa kwa Hiyo chama. I think we all know why or how Were and Ongoro ended up in parliament


@Much Know.....Sonko alishinda na Narc Kenya si Narc ya Ngilu


Yes,ndio ninamkumbusha awacha pang'ang'a

@muchknow,you should know that Sonko never vied for any political position in 2007.

Oh yes, it was a disputed unknowable situation between Rueben "weka tairi", whom i think the courts declared the winner and a DP candidate wa Thika whom had been declared winner by kiviutus agents. Thing is tribal balance is not the way some of us picture it to be.

Tribal dynamics of Nairobi. Weekday elections(hawkers, shopkeepers, perhaps mechanikas, all small business people,are free), but watchies, "chefs", enjineers, even panel beaters are not free, they are employees but are always free during general elections, that's why one group wins by-elections(or buy-elections) and the other the general elections. It's never the same thing!
Ras Kienyeji Man
Dash
#90 Posted : Friday, January 25, 2013 7:08:54 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 677
Location: Nairobi
Question, why are people assuming "ma-sufferer" and "middle class" will not vote according to tribes? Tuache za ovyo please. This is Kenya.
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