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CORD to win in round one
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Ngalaka
#1 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 4:33:35 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/29/2008
Posts: 1,566
With the settling of nomination dust, the road to March 4th is fairly clear now.

My estimation tells me that the final outcome on the Presidential vote will largely take the following shape.

CORD Ticket: 53% - 59%
Jubilee Ticket: 33-39%.

I am aware that those burying their heads in the sand, as most Jubilee supporters here seem to, will contest the above figures.

But considering that URP constituency will only half-heartedly vote the Jubilee Presidential ticket, and that the Western side of Mt. Kenya is not too enthusiastic towards Uhuru, things couldn’t get worse for Uhuruto.

The above coupled with the realisation that Western is overwhelmingly voting for CORD despite Mudavadi.


I wait to be vindicated on March 5th.
Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu
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TAZ
#2 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 4:39:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/14/2007
Posts: 4,152
Ngalaka wrote:
With the settling of nomination dust, the road to March 4th is fairly clear now.

My estimation tells me that the final outcome on the Presidential vote will largely take the following shape.

CORD Ticket: 53% - 59%
Jubilee Ticket: 33-39%.

I am aware that those burying their heads in the sand, as most Jubilee supporters here seem to, will contest the above figures.

But considering that URP constituency will only half-heartedly vote the Jubilee Presidential ticket, and that the Western side of Mt. Kenya is not too enthusiastic e towards Uhuru, things couldn’t get worse for Uhuruto.

The above coupled with the realisation that Western is overwhelmingly voting for CORD despite Mudavadi.


I wait to be vindicated on March 5th.


This is laughable at best...
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Ngalaka
#3 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 4:45:12 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/29/2008
Posts: 1,566
TAZ wrote:
Ngalaka wrote:
With the settling of nomination dust, the road to March 4th is fairly clear now.

My estimation tells me that the final outcome on the Presidential vote will largely take the following shape.

CORD Ticket: 53% - 59%
Jubilee Ticket: 33-39%.

I am aware that those burying their heads in the sand, as most Jubilee supporters here seem to, will contest the above figures.

But considering that URP constituency will only half-heartedly vote the Jubilee Presidential ticket, and that the Western side of Mt. Kenya is not too enthusiastic e towards Uhuru, things couldn’t get worse for Uhuruto.

The above coupled with the realisation that Western is overwhelmingly voting for CORD despite Mudavadi.


I wait to be vindicated on March 5th.


This is laughable at best...


Lets laugh on March 5th, hoping you wont be suppressing a tear.
Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu
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nakujua
#4 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 4:48:01 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/17/2009
Posts: 3,583
Location: Kenya
With the settling of nomination dust, the road to March 4th is fairly clear now.

My estimation tells me that the final outcome on the Presidential vote will largely take the following shape.

JUBILEE Ticket: 53% - 59%
Cord Ticket: 33-39%.

I am aware that those burying their heads in the sand, as most Cord supporters here seem to, will contest the above figures.

But considering that Ford-Kenya constituency will only half-heartedly vote the Cord Presidential ticket, and that the North Eastern side of Lake. Victoria is not too enthusiastic e towards rao, things couldn’t get worse for ralonzo.

The above coupled with the realisation that central is overwhelmingly voting for JUBILEE despite Karua.


I wait to be vindicated on March 5th.
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Obi 1 Kanobi
#5 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 4:52:29 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
I am tempted to agree with you Ngalaka. Rift Valley and western are the 2 swing votes that either parties have not locked in and I am tempted to think that Jubilee will in the end lose out the most.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
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ZZE123
#6 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 4:56:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/21/2008
Posts: 2,490
43 days to go and counting – and let’s forget of a round one win from any of the horses/ donkeysShame on you Shame on you . A runoff is a must.
The man who marries a beautiful woman, and the farmer who grows corn by the roadside have the same problem
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madollar
#7 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 4:59:47 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,038
Location: GA
TNA just handed the kamukunji nomination to yusuf despite his condition and with that NE is likely to go jubilee if WSR DELIVERS mambo kwisha
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TAZ
#8 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 5:01:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/14/2007
Posts: 4,152
Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:
I am tempted to agree with you Ngalaka. Rift Valley and western are the 2 swing votes that either parties have not locked in and I am tempted to think that Jubilee will in the end lose out the most.


Western is not a swing vote it will definitely go to CORD but to suggest that CORD will trounce Jubilee in R.V or even some parts of Mt. Kenya is just wishfull thinking.
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TPK
#9 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 5:02:49 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/17/2011
Posts: 129
Location: Nairobi
My prediction: No win in round 1. We go to round 2 and IEBC's Hassan says, I don't know who won this election. Wait and see.
As long as you're going to be thinking anyway, think big
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ballistic
#10 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 5:06:48 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 6/30/2011
Posts: 81
TPK wrote:
My prediction: No win in round 1. We go to round 2 and IEBC's Hassan says, I don't know who won this election. Wait and see.


So we negotiate a coalition government again. This is the likely scenario.
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ZZE123
#11 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 5:50:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/21/2008
Posts: 2,490
ballistic wrote:
TPK wrote:
My prediction: No win in round 1. We go to round 2 and IEBC's Hassan says, I don't know who won this election. Wait and see.


So we negotiate a coalition government again. This is the likely scenario.

Brick wall Brick wall
The man who marries a beautiful woman, and the farmer who grows corn by the roadside have the same problem
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jaggernaut
#12 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 6:00:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/9/2008
Posts: 5,389
ballistic wrote:
TPK wrote:
My prediction: No win in round 1. We go to round 2 and IEBC's Hassan says, I don't know who won this election. Wait and see.


So we negotiate a coalition government again. This is the likely scenario.

Another coalition govt would be a good thing since everyone would be happy in govt.
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digitek1
#13 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 6:05:48 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/3/2010
Posts: 1,797
Location: Kenya
then why not share out now and save us the money & stress
I may be wrong..but then I could be right
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Lolest!
#14 Posted : Monday, January 21, 2013 7:45:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
Ngalaka wrote:

CORD Ticket: 53% - 59%
Jubilee Ticket: 33-39%.



Ngalaka what happened to you? 59%??????

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Leave such propaganda for the hired hands, you have a reputation to protect.
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
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