Let me put the rcord straight.
harrydre wrote:[quote=githundi][quote=githundi]
Am looking at these figures and the sampling frame is biased
e.g in eastearn they polled 2 counties leaning to cord that is kitui and machakos while only one jubilee leaning (Meru)to give cord 61% to jubilees 28%. More to follow
http://www.infotrakresea...TRAK%20POLL%20FINAL.pdf
The counties sampled for Mombasa did not include Mijikenda counties.
They are also giving Cord 36% in riftvalley as opposed to Jubilees 52%. AM ASKING, FROM WHERE?
I project at least 70 % support for jubilee in Rift and as Angela says round 50 % in nairobi drastically changinging her biased poll. they give cord 54% against Jubilees 37 % in Nairobi.
What i fear is this expectation that the poll creates in cord supporters which are misplaced.
They create false expectations.
I expect Infotrack polls to show a tight race by polling day just to give credibility to their polls as they did in 2007/2008.
They also forget that jubilee leaning zones have traditionally have high turnout compared to corn leaning zones.
Democracy does not belong to the dead