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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
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sparkly
#1871 Posted : Thursday, January 10, 2013 11:09:08 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
[quote=Mukiri]
1. Genghis capital have valued this stock at 20.90
2. From my observation of Mpesa and Simba, there's a strong rally where prices shoot up, then slightly fall and stall.
3. Elections are not far off. Prices are bound to fall then, no?

Questions here are?
Will this rally on Kengen get to 20Pray And if so when? If the 'when' is way after election, what is to be done in the short-term ie take profits at the peak, wait for [quote]

A break above 10 is a sign for you to pile in the money, regardless of the elections and other blah blah blah factors. This stock is obscenly undervalued.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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murchr
#1872 Posted : Thursday, January 10, 2013 11:13:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
[quote=sparkly][quote=Mukiri]
1. Genghis capital have valued this stock at 20.90
2. From my observation of Mpesa and Simba, there's a strong rally where prices shoot up, then slightly fall and stall.
3. Elections are not far off. Prices are bound to fall then, no?

Questions here are?
Will this rally on Kengen get to 20Pray And if so when? If the 'when' is way after election, what is to be done in the short-term ie take profits at the peak, wait for
Quote:


A break above 10 is a sign for you to pile in the money, regardless of the elections and other blah blah blah factors. This stock is obscenly undervalued.


Ditto!!
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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hisah
#1873 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 8:09:16 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Btw S&P 500 index yesterday closed at 5yr highs. Shanghai comp index as well as Nikkei have been on steriods after Japan's Abe promised to flood yens making the yen to nosedive.

$, € and ¥ 2013 tsunami fund floods will definitely overheat equities & commodities.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Cde Monomotapa
#1874 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 8:19:37 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Been observing all the Casinonomics going on out there, most recently the BoJ/Abe, SA downgrade, I think we should expect more 'hot money' into the NSE. If we can keep showing that real economics prevails in the EAC it should stick around. Vote peacefully too!
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, January 11, 2013 8:21 AM | Reason: Not specified
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1875 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 9:42:59 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
@Hisah,slight correction,NSE's high of 6161 was in Jan 2007 & not June 2008. Nice analysis though.
Keep the updates coming!
@SufficientlyP
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hisah
#1876 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 9:53:08 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
@Hisah,slight correction,NSE's high of 6161 was in Jan 2007 & not June 2008. Nice analysis though.
Keep the updates coming!

My bad with MSCI KE & NASI 2008 levels fascination...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Mukiri
#1877 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 11:36:54 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
sparkly wrote:
A break above 10 is a sign for you to pile in the money, regardless of the elections and other blah blah blah factors. This stock is obscenly undervalued.


Laughing out loudly You've called my tu-ideas bla bla bla? We are touching 10.30, sell?

Proverbs 19:21
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, January 11, 2013 11:39 AM | Reason: Not specified
the deal
#1878 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 12:06:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
My buying average on this KenGen thing is 7.40 if it gets to 20.90 i will afford a smile!
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Aguytrying
#1879 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 12:24:58 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
kengen. its our turn to eat. the nav of this share is 30.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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sparkly
#1880 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 12:31:30 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Mukiri wrote:
sparkly wrote:
A break above 10 is a sign for you to pile in the money, regardless of the elections and other blah blah blah factors. This stock is obscenly undervalued.


Laughing out loudly You've called my tu-ideas bla bla bla? We are touching 10.30, sell?


Buy! KShs 10 will provide a strong support. Its 9% of my portfolio but am going to double it.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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