Is anyone assured of victory in the coming elections? 'No. No one is assured of victory'.
But each player is doing his best to increase chances of victory.
For the 'Muhuruto' camp victory means not going to the Hague, only. The status quo they may want to preserve is already gone and can't be recovered.
The other axis involving Raila and C. also needs victory, but why is victory important to them? I see no other reason for them to pursue victory other than to go down in history as the people who 'liberated' Kenya and set the foundations of the new constitution.
If and when these two forces battle it out the result is loss to themselves and to the republic.
PK's supporters have done much in showing the possible consequences of a Muhuruto victory. The republic will be used as a human shield against the dictates of Justice and decency. And if this camp wins, we might just as well forget about freedom in all its forms.
On the other hand, Raila's victory will be marred by the idea of handing over the Hague suspects. Chances are that they will be unable to administer justice, and their victory will amount to nothing.
Paradoxically, both sides can win by giving way to a third option which is about administering justice by radically changing Kenya's 'hygiene' conditions with respect to leadership and the creation of wealth.
I think this third option which I am willing and ready to implement, is the best way forward for Kenya and the world.