I have decided to waste a few of my energy and time and tried to analyze the Presidential Elections, an important sub-section of the Kenya General Elections 2013.

It’s regrettable, but true, that tribalism and tribal votes will win and lose this coming Presidential Elections and some Gubernatorial Elections.

Following is a table of percentages that i have thought each candidate will get from various ethnic tribes. Data used are from the KNBS Census report 2009.

Kindly note that personally am not voting on tribal line, and i discourage this stupidity.

------RAILO----UHURK----MUDVD----OTHER----TOTAL
KKYU--1.715%---12.864%---1.715%---0.858---17.152%
ALHY--3.457%---01.383%---8.296%---0.691%--13.827%
KALN--2.573%---08.362%---1.287%---0.643%--12.865%
DHLU--10.475%---0.000%---0.000%---0.000%--10.475%
AKAM--08.571%---0.504%---0.504%---0.504%---10.083%
SOML--3.398%---1.854%---0.618%---0.309%---6.179%
KSSI--3.428%---1.428%---0.571%---0.286%---5.713%
MJKN--3.047%---0.762%---1.016%---0.254%---5.078%
AMRU--0.644%---3.221%---0.215%---0.215%---4.294%
TURK--1.280%---0.896%---0.256%---0.128%---2.560%
MSAI--1.090%---0.763%---0.109%---0.218%---2.180%
ATSO--0.395%---0.088%---0.351%---0.044%---0.878%
AEMB--0.042%---0.630%---0.126%---0.042%---0.839%
TATA--0.319%---0.248%---0.071%---0.071%---0.708%
AKUR--0.438%---0.135%---0.067%---0.034%---0.674%
SAMB--0.246%---0.276%---0.061%---0.031%---0.614%
THAR--0.068%---0.319%---0.023%---0.046%---0.456%
MBEE--0.022%---0.327%---0.044%---0.044%---0.436%
BORA--0.125%---0.230%---0.042%---0.021%---0.418%
SWAL--0.115%---0.043%---0.115%---0.014%---0.286%
GABR--0.070%---0.116%---0.023%---0.023%---0.232%
ORMA--0.086%---0.043%---0.034%---0.009%---0.172%
REND--0.047%---0.078%---0.016%---0.016%---0.157%
OTHER-1.513%---1.177%---0.336%---0.336%---3.362%

TOTAL-43.51%---35.75%---15.90%---4.85%---100.00%

I THEREFORE CALL ON UHURK TO WITHDRAW HIS CANDIDATURE AND JOIN THE THIRD FORCE SINCE HE CANNOT BEAT RAO.

Disclaimer: MMud-PKen-RTuj is my dream team.

MS Excel