A smart move for ODM would be Kosgei as the running mate. Ruto is a serious threat and if not countered well on time, RAO might be too late.

I see him in media fighting with IDAh (wife) over consultation issues by next year.

A good try in anlysis: I think the 50% plus 1 is more difficult than the 25% requirement in 24counties, with Wamalwa leaning toward Raila, getting 25% in all the western Kenya counties will be much easier!!!!

even with wamalwa only three more counties will be added Vihiga, Kakamega,bungoma coz busia is taken into account. A simple analysis Central province voter turnout equates to the total cast votes in Nyanza and western, if doubting check 2007,2002 voting statistics, now the issue is what about RIFT VALLEY? Raila & ODM must break up Rift valley and Mt Kenya if they wish to have any chances. He must also tone done the attacks directed towards Mt Kenya + Rift valley if not so the two cummunities will feel under attack and will record very high voter turn out and be christened together. LOOSING RUTO WAS A MISTAKE