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Presidential Opinion Polls Tracking - now to 2012
Rank: Member Joined: 9/30/2011 Posts: 483
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If you believe anything Ambitho releases, then we cannot help you much.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/14/2006 Posts: 1,311
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McReggae wrote:Impunity wrote:McReggae wrote:Liv wrote:McReggae wrote:Infotrack poll: Raila 35.4% Uhuru 24% Ruto 10.3% Musalia 10%, Kalonzo 8.8% These are VERY BIASED POLLS.
Isn't it an open secret that Infotract is part of FORA / ODM? @Liv, didn't Ipsos Synovate project similar results just a few weeks ago???? .........add 16% in the run-off and we are home, live with it!!! 16% from which swing tribe? The only swing tribe left for oar are the Luo-Abasuba.  Not too fast mblo, there some article in the star today, GEMA plus Kalenjin (all the sun tribes) barely make 35%...we are in this for the long haul man!!! @McReggae,
I don't want to break your heart.
But don't rely too much on the numbers from STAR. Remember they are all part of FORA anyway.
Look at the numbers from 2010 referendum results below. Nairobi, Central and RV - total votes were 52% higher than the rest of the country. This 52% exclude Embu and Meru (real Mt Kenya) which more than compensates for those who may vote against G7 in Nairobi and Rift Valley.
2010 Referendum Results ('000)
RV 1,994
Nairobi 887
Central 1,511
Sub/T 4,392-52.0%
Eastern 1,313
Western 808
N.Eastn 116
Nyanza 1,276
Coast 538
Sub/T 4,051-48.0%
Total 8,443
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/9/2008 Posts: 2,824
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Liv wrote: Embu and Meru (real Mt Kenya) Thank you. but next time use the correct adjective... The Embu and The Meru... The real Mt.Kenya people. All those others have been pretending to be from the mountain region. When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/14/2006 Posts: 1,311
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kingfisher wrote:Liv wrote: Embu and Meru (real Mt Kenya) Thank you. but next time use the correct adjective... The Embu and The Meru... The real Mt.Kenya people. All those others have been pretending to be from the mountain region. @Kingfisher,
Thanks... all protocols observed.... lol
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi
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@Liv, don't add the regions, add the tribes from the referendum, c'mon dawg!!!! ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi
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Lucid_Iam wrote:If you believe anything Ambitho releases, then we cannot help you much. You and who???? By the way both Infotrack and Synnovate have similar numbers for Raila, ama ni vile the prince ameshuka after the TNA launch euphoria!!!!! ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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Heck, the elections were about which tribe has a higher birth rate! And, we are all expected to vote for our tribal chiefs! 
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi
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Lolest! wrote:Heck, the elections were about which tribe has a higher birth rate! And, we are all expected to vote for our tribal chiefs! Just an analysis of the TNA/URP merger mblo.......in any case why would lie to yourself that it aint tribal in Kenya????......all the alliance building talks are actually based on tribal arithmetics and that is a fact!!!! ......fellows are now liking PK for expediency, wait till the elections come!!!! ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/14/2006 Posts: 1,311
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McReggae wrote:@Liv, don't add the regions, add the tribes from the referendum, c'mon dawg!!!! @McReggae,
Numbers do not lie. Please refer to the gazetted IIEC numbers for 2010 Referendum.
Kalenjin only Constituencies in RV (NO Vote was the majority vote). Total votes cast for these 30 constituencies = 1451k
28 Central Province constituencies total votes cast = 1463k
Mt Kenya Constituencies (The Embu and The Meru) - Total votes for 14 constituencies =648k
Nairobi - total votes cast in 8 Constituencies =887k... assuming a conservative 50% are Mt Kenya people = total votes for these were 443k
Other Constituencies who vote with Mt Kenya...Naivasha, Laikipia (East & West), Subukia, 50% of Nakuru and Naivasha - Total votes = 280k
Total votes cast in the above = 4,286k which is 51% of the total NATIONAL votes cast.
The above tally excludes other constituencies like Kajiado North, South , Central, Saboti Kwanza, etc and all other provinces.
Whoever is tallying for Star or FORA is missing something ..... the current G7 as constituted could represent more than the 35% the national total vote the Star newspaper is referring to.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/19/2007 Posts: 2,047
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kingfisher wrote:Liv wrote: Embu and Meru (real Mt Kenya) Thank you. but next time use the correct adjective... The Embu and The Meru... The real Mt.Kenya people. All those others have been pretending to be from the mountain region. Geeke ! Attention Cocoon! @ kingfisher is back!!!!
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