tyjayden wrote:Am happy the market is currently doing well, the index is almost 4k and selected stocks are at their best. However will the market be able to ignore investor's dysphoria which comes with elections in Kenya? Am a bit concerned with the security situation in Kenya bearing in mind the new threats posed by terrorism which was absent during the last elections in 2007. Intelligence reports indicate that Kenyans are still polarized along tribal Alliances, unsettled IDPs still in camps forms a reserve which can be tapped by malicious politicians to cause chaos incase the votes don't go the way they want. ICC cases have not yet been determined and a aggravated parties still feel justice has not yet been served. Slow police reforms which might not be in place before ballot day, this in itself makes the police force susceptible to being misused. KDF being in Somalia denies the country useful security asset which can be used when other security agencies are unable to maintain law and order. This will be the first election to be held under the new constitution. All that said, how will the market behave?
This is a genuine and logical concern.
But be rest assured the magnitude of chaos will be minimal and the loser will accept defeat.
That is what the two contenders affirm at least.
The electoral commision helmsman look serious
and fair.
Good news the incumbent is not contesting so it is a semi neutral ground like 2002. Also
for now there is no anointed prefered candidate
courtesy of ICC. I will advise you if the market goes down
take position as you will laugh by late 2013 / early 2014 when the chips are down.
The incoming have to undo the wrongs like IDP,
ethnicity.
ICC ? The world is watching, all wil be well, we pray.
This is a non resident foreigner point of view.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .