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Property Prices
Bashka
#1 Posted : Wednesday, March 18, 2009 9:40:00 AM
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Joined: 7/31/2008
Posts: 116
Guys,currently there are predictions that property price are coming down. Knight Franc has also expressed this sentiments. The main funding in this sector is remittances from the diaspora which is falling coz of the global crisis. Is there tangible evidence? any one who is following this?
eli
#2 Posted : Wednesday, March 18, 2009 3:09:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 294
It could be true ( True that the remitances from US/ Abroad) is headed south!

But you shall remember the LORD your God,for it is He who is giving you power to make wealth,that He may confirm His covenant which He swore to your fathers,as it is this day. Deu 8:18
murenj
#3 Posted : Wednesday, March 18, 2009 4:34:00 PM
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Joined: 7/22/2008
Posts: 851
Location: nairobi
Demand is slowing down on the high income end. But in the middle class demand is high. Truck loads are being ferried to kamulu weekly.

The cunning of the Buffalo
Mr.Tea
#4 Posted : Thursday, March 19, 2009 10:10:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/4/2008
Posts: 341
Location: Nairobi
Property prices can only come down if there is an over supply. There is no evidence to that effect. Remittances may have dwindled alright but this is not the only stimulus to growth in this sector. True there has been a slow down in the construction of highrise residential properties in the traditional locations.But slack demand,scarcity of land and steep land prices are some of the factors responsible for this. If you watch keenly there has been diversification in the sector with investment shifting towards commercial facilities.

Patience Pays in Guaranteed Checks
Patience Pays In Guaranteed Checks.
Gordon Gekko
#5 Posted : Friday, March 20, 2009 5:40:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
Supply or lack of it will not affect the prices of property significantly. A glut will only reduce the profit margins for the developer,but how big a component is the profit margins?

I saw in yesterday's paper that an acre along Lenana Road is going for 120M. Assuming you put 40 units on it,the cost of land per unit is 3M. Construction costs are probably 3-4M per unit (my guess,I stand corrected). On that basis,a unit on Lenana Road will be at least 8M. Add administrative costs and are you not close current selling prices?
Mr.Tea
#6 Posted : Friday, March 20, 2009 7:46:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/4/2008
Posts: 341
Location: Nairobi
@Gekko,

Those are some of the factors driving up property prices and thereby stifling demand.In effect this slows down growth in that market segment.BTW in such an area you can only put up a maximum of 32 units but suitably 24 units in an acre for optimum results. Work out the selling prices per unit from that.

Patience Pays in Guaranteed Checks
Patience Pays In Guaranteed Checks.
Bashka
#7 Posted : Monday, March 23, 2009 6:16:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/31/2008
Posts: 116
Note that banks are now reluctant to give out loans to risky customers with the current credit crunch. Banks are also trying to buld up their core capital. Profitability will go down in 2009. Last week some bankers were calling for a reduction in the cash reserve ratio-this will free some money. The MPC of CBK met on Friday,what was their decision? According to analysts Kenya will be affected by the 2nd round effects of global financial crisis. I just hope the property prices comes down drastically.
kingfisher
#8 Posted : Monday, March 23, 2009 3:22:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/9/2008
Posts: 2,824
take heed....they will come down and some will sing while others will be crying.....it will be the time to collect bones for those who will be having cash,just as it is today on shares for those who have cash........this will come to pass,but if you wish to bury your head in the sand,so be it...my 2cts.......don't ask for silly fundamentals......they don't work in such times!!

If you have money that you expect to start using in five years,it does not belong in stocks.
When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
Bashka
#9 Posted : Tuesday, June 30, 2009 12:33:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/31/2008
Posts: 116
House prices suffer as diaspora inflows dwindle!

This article was in today's Standard. That property prices have fallen down and most affected areas are milimani,South B/C,kileleshwa and Langata. Is this REAL?
alma
#10 Posted : Tuesday, June 30, 2009 1:45:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/20/2007
Posts: 4,432
This crunch has been going on and only a fool thinks prices are going up as people are being laid off.....by the time property managers accept that prices are going down,it is already too late for the developers who secured loans and now cannot sell......They will fall further as the real economic shock guys have been hiding from starts to show up.
Jose: If I make it through this thug life, I'll see you one day. The Lord is the only way to stop the hurt.
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