Final will be Holland vs Italy. Italy wins (though i would love Netherlands to win, but they always fail at the final huddle).
Russia is capable of upsetting the form books in this tournament. if that happens then i can see a Russia v Germany semi-final, and Russia will progress if the Germans are unable to deal with Alan Dzagoev (Qualifying record - 8 games, 4 goals). And if that happens not even Italy will stop them at Kyiv on 1st July, which will give them some sort of home ground advantage.
When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.